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U. De Concepcion vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 87-67
25-13 28-19 22-14 12-21
Position#2
Record4-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#13
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game76.3
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2023-24
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Liceo Pablo Neruda
02 Mar 2024
U. D87
LICE67
05 Jan 2024
U. D111
LICE68
15 Oct 2023
U. D144
LICE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
L
90-107
90
107
-17
73avg 84
H12/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 84
H13/01
LNB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
67-96
67
96
-29
47avg 84
H20/01
Champions League Americas
Franca
#2
L
87-109
87
109
-22
82avg 84
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Las Animas
#5
W
84-68
84
68
+16
85avg 84
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A27/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
no box
H02/02
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
84-70
84
70
+14
76avg 84
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 84
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
54avg 84
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
17-37
19-26
28-24
19-14
11-22
27-13
21-19
11-22
22-30
16-24
18-20
26-30
17-37
23-18
21-24
25-10
15-12
22-20
22-26
10-25
19-19
23-14
23-17
23-25
21-31
24-17
20-15
29-13
13-17
25-22
17-18
22-22
22-26
14-23
14-17
15-26
19-11
11-11
20-31
167.9Avg total
80.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.283.2169.3+3.067%
Season at home (4)88.085.8173.8+2.275%
Season away (2)82.578.0160.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.887.1167.9-6.340%
Last 5 (5)80.484.6165.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.890.5161.3-19.70%
vs Similar (2)85.597.5183.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.464.4153.7+25.095%
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
63-57
63
57
+6
56avg 58
A26/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
68-111
68
111
-43
54avg 58
A05/01
Supercopa
CD Puerto Varas
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 58
A06/01
Supercopa
Puerto Montt
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 58
A13/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
71avg 58
A14/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
H19/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
56avg 58
H20/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 58
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
60-69
60
69
-9
53avg 58
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 58
H10/02
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
21-17
15-13
10-14
12-20
14-36
17-27
25-28
16-26
18-22
21-23
18-9
20-21
19-22
15-14
12-18
21-14
20-27
16-15
18-24
14-16
26-22
19-19
16-18
19-21
12-26
12-10
19-23
24-13
12-19
16-25
18-16
21-17
24-15
9-20
6-17
26-25
20-17
11-12
20-21
148.2Avg total
70.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.976.3147.1-5.429%
Season at home (5)71.075.8146.8-4.840%
Season away (2)70.577.5148.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)70.078.2148.2-8.230%
Last 5 (5)71.075.8146.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)67.889.3157.1-21.518%
vs Similar (5)70.073.8143.8-3.860%
vs Weaker (8)90.868.0158.8+22.8100%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
U. De ConcepcionLiceo Pablo Neruda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ancud
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H12/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H13/01
LNB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H20/01
Champions League Americas
Franca
#2
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Las Animas
#5
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A26/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A27/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H02/02
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/02
LNB
Franca
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
83.1Avg total
38.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.237.081.2+7.259%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.238.184.3+8.259%-
Last 30 away (12)41.335.676.9+5.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.983.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.049.784.7-14.70%-
vs Similar (2)36.050.586.5-14.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.632.179.8+15.581%-
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A26/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A05/01
Supercopa
CD Puerto Varas
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/01
Supercopa
Puerto Montt
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H19/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H20/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/02
LNB
78.5Avg total
37.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.440.879.2-2.448%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.438.380.6+4.165%-
Last 30 away (12)32.844.377.2-11.525%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.978.5-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.277.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.446.578.8-14.129%-
vs Similar (5)36.838.074.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker (7)54.329.083.3+25.3100%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.2
51.5%
50.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.5
32.0%
32.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
70.3%15.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.5
48.1%
50.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.3
31.3%
32.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.810.2
64.6%
70.3%10.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
LLWWLWLLWL
Liceo Pablo Neruda
WLLLWLLLLW
#2
League position
#13
+1.9
Net rating
-3.5
105.4
Offensive rating
93.3
103.5
Defensive rating
96.8
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
21.1%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.0%
3-point %
31.3%
55.1%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 93.3Defence103.5 · 96.8Shooting49.9% · 47.8%3-point %32.0% · 31.3%Ball care16.6% · 21.1%Off. rebounds27.8% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Liceo Pablo Neruda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
U. De Concepcion wins
0
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24AObras Sanitarias65-79
08/02/24AFranca72-88
03/02/24HPuerto Montt84-70
02/02/24HCD Puerto Varas100-98 OT
27/01/24AEspanol Osorno81-88 OT
26/01/24ALas Animas84-68
22/01/24HFranca87-109
20/01/24HObras Sanitarias67-96
13/01/24HNaviera Ulloa78-68
12/01/24HAncud90-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HAncud77-75
09/02/24HNaviera Ulloa60-69
27/01/24HValdivia70-73
20/01/24HLeones Quilpue62-80
19/01/24HCatolica86-82 OT
14/01/24ACD Puerto Varas75-80
13/01/24APuerto Montt66-75
06/01/24ACD Puerto Varas73-80
05/01/24AU. De Concepcion68-111
26/11/23AEspanol de Talca63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game86.288.082.5
Allowed / game83.285.878.0
Point differential+3.0+2.2+4.5
Avg total169.3173.8160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%25%50%
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %29%40%0%
Points / game70.971.070.5
Allowed / game76.375.877.5
Point differential-5.4-4.8-7.0
Avg total147.1146.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud109190%86.177.5+8.6
2 Leones Quilpue87188%78.967.1+11.8
3 Espanol Osorno107370%79.970.1+9.8
4 U. De Concepcion64267%86.283.2+3.0
5 Valdivia85362%86.480.1+6.2
6 Las Animas106460%81.878.7+3.1
7 CD Puerto Varas105550%84.686.3-1.7
8 Naviera Ulloa94544%73.174.6-1.4
9 Sportiva Italiana62433%71.783.7-12.0
10 Puerto Montt103730%70.278.0-7.8
11 Liceo Pablo Neruda72529%70.976.3-5.4
12 Catolica92722%78.182.2-4.1
13 Espanol de Talca61517%79.890.2-10.3
14 Puente Alto71614%73.682.1-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion2528221287
Liceo Pablo Neruda1319142167
← all games of the day
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