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Essen vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-93
25-30 20-24 11-18 16-21
Position#15
Record6-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#2
Record20-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game74.3
GermanyPro ARound 26
Other2016-17
Meetings · Essen v Crailsheim Merlins
04 Mar 2017
ESSE72
CME93
22 Feb 2014
ESSE85
CME77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koln
#10
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A22/12
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H07/01
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H13/01
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A21/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
A28/01
Pro A
Baunach
#13
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H04/02
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A11/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H17/02
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
A19/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A26/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-14
24-16
13-10
16-16
17-20
21-17
21-20
19-22
24-23
20-18
26-16
22-21
25-26
14-19
16-21
22-18
20-12
20-30
13-26
18-3
19-22
28-14
14-22
11-24
–
–
–
–
20-18
18-15
16-21
11-16
18-22
21-26
26-24
28-20
12-31
24-30
11-14
14-10
153.8Avg total
75.4Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.881.6155.4-7.724%
Season at home (12)73.980.2154.1-6.225%
Season away (13)73.882.8156.6-9.123%
Last 10 (10)75.478.4153.8-3.030%
Last 5 (5)73.080.8153.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.681.8155.4-8.221%
vs Similar (7)71.080.7151.7-9.714%
vs Weaker (4)83.876.2160.0+7.575%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#4
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H23/12
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H05/01
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
W
107-99
107
99
+8
A08/01
Pro A
Gotha
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A24/01
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
A28/01
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H01/02
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
115-66
115
66
+49
H04/02
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A11/02
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H19/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
W
101-62
101
62
+39
A26/02
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
30-19
17-14
15-21
25-9
25-28
28-16
21-15
19-21
30-33
30-19
28-26
19-22
15-20
22-20
29-21
23-29
18-7
16-22
19-18
10-21
21-16
10-19
22-15
39-14
22-20
28-18
26-14
30-21
21-25
18-19
27-22
30-16
25-18
30-13
18-13
25-16
33-7
24-19
19-20
169.7Avg total
94.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.174.3161.4+12.880%
Season at home (13)84.770.1154.8+14.669%
Season away (12)89.878.8168.6+10.992%
Last 10 (10)94.775.0169.7+19.790%
Last 5 (5)95.669.2164.8+26.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.089.1167.1-11.114%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.972.6159.5+14.383%
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.9+3.9
EssenCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koln
#10
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A22/12
Pro A
Hamburg
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/01
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/01
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A21/01
Pro A
Paderborn
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/01
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H04/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/02
Pro A
Kirchheim
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A19/02
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A26/02
Pro A
80.6Avg total
39.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.341.177.4-4.841%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.539.576.0-3.147%-
Last 30 away (14)36.142.979.0-6.736%-
Last 10 (9)39.141.480.6-2.356%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.741.976.6-7.326%-
vs Similar (6)38.239.878.0-1.767%-
vs Weaker (4)41.239.280.5+2.075%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kirchheim
#4
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H23/12
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H05/01
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A08/01
Pro A
Gotha
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/01
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/01
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/02
Pro A
Ehingen
#14
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H04/02
Pro A
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A11/02
Pro A
Baunach
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H19/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#5
W
58-23
58
23
+35
A26/02
Pro A
86.5Avg total
48.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.336.379.7+7.066%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.733.977.6+9.767%-
Last 30 away (14)43.038.981.9+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)48.837.786.5+11.170%-
Last 5 (5)51.234.886.0+16.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.043.980.9-6.90%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.433.979.3+11.586%-
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Essen wins
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
08/10/16Crailsheim Merlins v Essen85-70
22/02/14Essen v Crailsheim Merlins85-77
23/11/13Crailsheim Merlins v Essen81-95
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17ANurnberger61-85
19/02/17AKirchheim93-92
17/02/17HHeidelberg65-70
11/02/17AEhingen74-75
04/02/17HBaunach72-82
28/01/17APaderborn82-83 OT
21/01/17AMitteldeutscher77-84
13/01/17HDresden92-78
07/01/17HHamburg78-79
22/12/16AKoln60-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17AHeidelberg101-62
19/02/17HBaunach103-60
11/02/17AChemnitz96-87
04/02/17HEhingen115-66
01/02/17HKoln63-71
28/01/17ATrier88-85 OT
24/01/17AGotha85-83
08/01/17AMitteldeutscher107-99
05/01/17HNurnberger99-68
23/12/16HKirchheim90-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL24%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%25%23%
Points / game73.873.973.8
Allowed / game81.680.282.8
Point differential-7.7-6.2-9.1
Avg total155.4154.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)17% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%69%92%
Points / game87.184.789.8
Allowed / game74.370.178.8
Point differential+12.8+14.6+10.9
Avg total161.4154.8168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%69%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %12%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher2522388%86.673.5+13.1
2 Crailsheim Merlins2520580%87.174.3+12.8
3 Chemnitz2417771%76.270.0+6.3
4 Kirchheim2517868%79.878.4+1.4
5 Heidelberg2516964%74.069.8+4.1
6 Gotha25141156%78.673.8+4.8
7 Trier25141156%73.373.2+0.1
8 Hanau25131252%72.671.8+0.8
9 Koln25121348%74.773.4+1.2
10 Paderborn25121348%78.578.9-0.4
11 Hamburg25101540%73.975.4-1.5
12 Nurnberger2491538%73.678.5-4.9
13 Ehingen2581732%74.580.9-6.4
14 Baunach2571828%70.879.9-9.1
15 Essen2561924%73.881.6-7.7
16 Dresden252238%75.690.2-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Essen2520111672
Crailsheim Merlins3024182193
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