Essen vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 78-79

17-20 21-17 21-20 19-22

Position#15

Record4-12

FormWLLLW

Points / game72.0

Allowed / game81.9

Essen

Hamburg 🏆

Position#8

Record6-10

FormWWLLL

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game73.8

Pro ARound 17

Other2016-17

Meetings · Essen v Hamburg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Hamburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

#12

84-82

H29/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

58-70

-12

A04/11

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

66-78

-12

H06/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

59-87

-28

A13/11

Pro A

Paderborn

71-76

-5

H19/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

100-88

100

+12

A27/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

79-83

-4

H03/12

Pro A

Gotha

74-86

-12

A11/12

Pro A

Koln

#10

66-83

-17

H17/12

Pro A

Koln

#10

60-56

A22/12

Pro A

27-15

15-26

19-14

23-27

21-12

14-18

16-22

7-18

14-15

18-14

18-22

16-27

20-24

8-25

17-16

14-22

16-23

22-19

20-14

13-20

27-31

25-19

26-22

22-16

21-23

17-22

19-24

22-14

18-15

19-18

20-26

17-27

14-28

14-19

17-18

21-18

7-14

24-16

13-10

16-16

150.6Avg total

71.7Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	72.0	81.9	153.9	-9.9	25%
Season at home (8)	72.5	81.6	154.1	-9.1	25%
Season away (8)	71.5	82.2	153.8	-10.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	71.7	78.9	150.6	-7.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	79.2	155.0	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	70.8	79.7	150.5	-8.9	22%
vs Similar (9)	70.8	79.0	149.8	-8.2	11%
vs Weaker (3)	81.0	75.7	156.7	+5.3	67%

This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Hamburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baunach

#13

89-90

-1

A29/10

Pro A

Gotha

75-64

+11

H04/11

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

84-90

-6

H06/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

59-72

-13

A12/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

63-79

-16

H19/11

Pro A

Paderborn

71-65

A26/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

86-54

+32

H03/12

Pro A

Trier

55-66

-11

A10/12

Pro A

Dresden

#16

61-75

-14

A22/12

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

83-84

-1

H30/12

Pro A

16-18

22-23

23-27

28-22

24-13

16-17

18-17

17-17

22-29

22-24

15-13

25-24

15-19

16-11

13-22

15-20

19-10

14-19

12-29

18-21

12-17

14-8

29-22

16-18

15-14

26-12

19-19

26-9

11-23

14-15

10-9

20-19

14-20

11-11

18-24

18-20

34-15

17-19

12-20

20-30

146.5Avg total

72.6Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	72.6	73.8	146.3	-1.2	38%
Season at home (8)	79.5	75.2	154.8	+4.2	50%
Season away (8)	65.6	72.2	137.9	-6.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	73.9	146.5	-1.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	68.8	140.0	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.0	79.5	152.5	-6.5	25%
vs Similar (15)	68.3	72.9	141.3	-4.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	81.4	71.8	153.2	+9.5	64%

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EssenHamburg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	18.8	36.9	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.8	36.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	18.9	37.7	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.4	19.4	35.7	-3.0	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	19.3	36.1	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.9	20.7	35.6	-5.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.9	20.5	37.4	-3.5	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.7	20.7	36.3	-5.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	16.6	34.1	+0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	15.9	33.1	+1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	13.0	29.4	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.7	15.7	36.5	+5.0	55%	-

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

#12

42-41

H29/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

35-30

A04/11

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

32-29

H06/11

Pro A

Heidelberg

28-49

-21

A13/11

Pro A

Paderborn

38-42

-4

H19/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

52-50

A27/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

38-45

-7

H03/12

Pro A

Gotha

37-33

A11/12

Pro A

Koln

#10

28-47

-19

H17/12

Pro A

Koln

#10

31-30

A22/12

Pro A

75.7Avg total

36.1Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.6	39.1	73.7	-4.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	38.6	74.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.7	39.6	73.3	-5.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.6	75.7	-3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.0	78.2	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	33.3	39.8	73.1	-6.5	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.2	37.8	73.0	-2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	38.7	79.0	+1.7	67%	-

This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baunach

#13

38-41

-3

A29/10

Pro A

Gotha

40-30

+10

H04/11

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

44-53

-9

H06/11

Pro A

Kirchheim

31-30

A12/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

33-29

H19/11

Pro A

Paderborn

26-25

A26/11

Pro A

Dresden

#16

41-26

+15

H03/12

Pro A

Trier

25-38

-13

A10/12

Pro A

Dresden

#16

25-31

-6

A22/12

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

51-34

+17

H30/12

Pro A

69.1Avg total

35.4Scored

33.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	35.4	72.7	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	34.7	75.6	+6.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.3	35.9	70.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	33.7	69.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	30.8	64.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	38.5	75.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	35.9	35.8	71.7	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	39.4	33.6	73.0	+5.7	73%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	19.3	37.8	-0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-0.9	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.2	37.1	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.3	19.2	36.5	-1.9	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.7	38.7	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.5	37.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.8	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (15)	15.1	17.9	33.0	-2.9	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.9	18.5	40.5	+3.4	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.3	38.7	74.9	-2.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	39.1	76.3	-1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.3	38.1	73.4	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.3	74.9	-3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.9	37.6	73.5	-1.7	53%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.6	41.2	76.8	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	37.0	77.7	+3.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	38.0	74.4	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	38.8	76.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	37.4	72.5	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	40.2	77.4	-3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	41.0	76.8	-5.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	32.4	37.1	69.5	-4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.0	38.2	80.2	+3.8	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Essen wins

Hamburg wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/16	Hamburg v Essen	99-86
10/01/16	Essen v Hamburg	72-59
25/09/15	Hamburg v Essen	72-61
04/01/15	Hamburg v Essen	86-77
02/11/14	Essen v Hamburg	76-69

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/16	A	Koln	60-56
17/12/16	H	Koln	66-83
11/12/16	A	Gotha	74-86
03/12/16	H	Chemnitz	79-83
27/11/16	A	Dresden	100-88
19/11/16	H	Paderborn	71-76
13/11/16	A	Heidelberg	59-87
06/11/16	H	Ehingen	66-78
04/11/16	A	Baunach	58-70
29/10/16	H	Nurnberger	84-82

Hamburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/16	H	Nurnberger	83-84
22/12/16	A	Dresden	61-75
10/12/16	A	Trier	55-66
03/12/16	H	Dresden	86-54
26/11/16	A	Paderborn	71-65
19/11/16	H	Chemnitz	63-79
12/11/16	A	Kirchheim	59-72
06/11/16	H	Crailsheim Merlins	84-90
04/11/16	H	Gotha	75-64
29/10/16	A	Baunach	89-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	25%
Home	WLLLL	25%
Away	LLWLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	25%	25%	25%
Points / game	72.0	72.5	71.5
Allowed / game	81.9	81.6	82.2
Point differential	-9.9	-9.1	-10.8
Avg total	153.9	154.1	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	0%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	25% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Hamburg

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	38%
Home	WLLWL	50%
Away	LLWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	72.6	79.5	65.6
Allowed / game	73.8	75.2	72.2
Point differential	-1.2	+4.2	-6.6
Avg total	146.3	154.8	137.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	16	15	1	94%	87.1	71.4	+15.7
2	Crailsheim Merlins	17	13	4	76%	83.5	73.2	+10.4
3	Chemnitz	16	11	5	69%	76.0	69.6	+6.4
4	Heidelberg	16	11	5	69%	71.6	66.9	+4.8
5	Kirchheim	16	11	5	69%	77.6	76.8	+0.8
6	Hanau	16	10	6	62%	73.4	70.3	+3.1
7	Gotha	17	10	7	59%	76.1	70.7	+5.4
8	Trier	17	9	8	53%	75.1	72.8	+2.3
9	Koln	17	8	9	47%	75.6	74.5	+1.2
10	Paderborn	16	7	9	44%	79.9	80.1	-0.2
11	Hamburg	16	6	10	38%	72.6	73.8	-1.2
12	Nurnberger	17	6	11	35%	71.5	79.2	-7.7
13	Ehingen	17	5	12	29%	73.3	79.2	-5.9
14	Baunach	16	4	12	25%	70.5	79.6	-9.1
15	Essen	16	4	12	25%	72.0	81.9	-9.9
16	Dresden	18	2	16	11%	77.2	91.7	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Essen	17	21	21	19	78
Hamburg	20	17	20	22	79

← all games of the day

Essen vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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