Hamburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 84-90

22-29 22-24 15-13 25-24

Position#8

Record4-4

FormWWLLW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game74.4

Hamburg

Crailsheim Merlins 🏆

Position#2

Record6-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game70.1

Pro ARound 9

Other2016-17

Meetings · Hamburg v Crailsheim Merlins

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crailsheim Merlins winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hamburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gotha

66-70

-4

H15/04

Pro A

Gotha

64-81

-17

A17/04

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

74-60

+14

A25/09

Pro A

Hanau

#11

68-71

-3

H01/10

Pro A

Koln

#10

60-79

-19

A04/10

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

78-74

H08/10

Pro A

Essen

#15

99-86

+13

H23/10

Pro A

Heidelberg

56-71

-15

A27/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

89-90

-1

A29/10

Pro A

Gotha

75-64

+11

H04/11

Pro A

14-14

23-15

19-21

10-20

16-24

17-23

24-18

7-16

24-10

10-21

22-11

18-18

14-17

26-24

16-14

12-16

13-18

16-21

15-24

16-16

27-18

14-20

19-12

18-24

23-23

27-18

24-24

25-21

14-19

14-16

15-17

13-19

16-18

22-23

23-27

28-22

24-13

16-17

18-17

17-17

147.5Avg total

72.9Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.9	74.4	149.2	+0.5	50%
Season at home (4)	80.0	73.8	153.8	+6.2	75%
Season away (4)	69.8	75.0	144.8	-5.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	74.6	147.5	-1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	77.0	156.4	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	67.5	70.2	137.8	-2.8	50%
vs Similar (15)	69.5	72.9	142.3	-3.4	47%
vs Weaker (11)	78.7	72.1	150.8	+6.6	64%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tubingen

#14

74-91

-17

H29/04

BBL

Phoenix Hagen

#11

83-94

-11

A01/05

BBL

Nurnberger

#12

79-47

+32

A24/09

Pro A

Heidelberg

67-72 OT

-5

H01/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

84-62

+22

A04/10

Pro A

Essen

#15

85-70

+15

H08/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

84-86

-2

A15/10

Pro A

Dresden

#16

97-71

+26

H22/10

Pro A

Koln

#10

82-78

A28/10

Pro A

Chemnitz

85-75

+10

H04/11

Pro A

15-21

25-25

20-17

14-28

24-25

16-19

16-23

27-27

–

14-12

12-14

16-20

18-14

24-11

22-17

23-13

15-21

20-18

30-13

25-17

10-22

20-23

25-16

14-19

25-28

14-12

28-22

25-15

30-22

24-11

15-22

21-16

22-29

19-20

29-11

18-20

19-24

156.6Avg total

82.0Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	82.9	70.1	153.0	+12.8	75%
Season at home (4)	83.5	72.0	155.5	+11.5	75%
Season away (4)	82.2	68.2	150.5	+14.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	74.6	156.6	+7.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	76.0	162.6	+10.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	72.2	85.9	158.0	-13.7	9%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	82.9	70.1	153.0	+12.8	75%

This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HamburgCrailsheim Merlins

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	16.8	35.0	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	19.1	35.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.4	35.9	+1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	14.5	16.5	31.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	30%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.4	32%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.3	15.3	34.6	+4.0	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	16.3	36.3	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	15.7	35.4	+4.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	21.1	37.7	-4.6	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	17.7	40.1	+4.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	16.8	42.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	16.8	21.1	37.9	-4.3	18%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.0	16.4	39.4	+6.6	71%	-

HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gotha

37-29

H15/04

Pro A

Gotha

33-47

-14

A17/04

Pro A

Ehingen

#14

34-31

A25/09

Pro A

Hanau

#11

40-41

-1

H01/10

Pro A

Koln

#10

29-39

-10

A04/10

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

41-38

H08/10

Pro A

Essen

#15

50-41

H23/10

Pro A

Heidelberg

28-35

-7

A27/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

38-41

-3

A29/10

Pro A

Gotha

40-30

+10

H04/11

Pro A

74.2Avg total

37.0Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.5	35.1	71.6	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	33.1	71.3	+5.1	86%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.9	37.1	71.9	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	37.0	76.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	32.0	34.2	66.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.7	36.1	73.9	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	36.7	33.9	70.6	+2.8	70%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tubingen

#14

40-46

-6

H29/04

BBL

Phoenix Hagen

#11

40-44

-4

A01/05

BBL

Heidelberg

26-26

H01/10

Pro A

Baunach

#13

46-28

+18

A04/10

Pro A

Essen

#15

50-31

+19

H08/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

45-39

A15/10

Pro A

Dresden

#16

42-34

H22/10

Pro A

Koln

#10

39-33

A28/10

Pro A

Chemnitz

48-31

+17

H04/11

Pro A

76.4Avg total

41.8Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.0	39.6	76.6	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	40.1	77.2	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.8	34.7	76.4	+7.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	33.6	78.4	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	35.4	42.0	77.4	-6.7	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.3	31.7	74.0	+10.6	86%	-

This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.7	18.2	37.0	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	13.8	32.5	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.9	18.8	35.6	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.3	21.0	39.4	-2.7	41%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	20.3	17.1	37.4	+3.1	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	17.6	33.9	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	18.9	35.3	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	15.4	18.0	33.4	-2.6	21%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.7	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	22.8	41.6	-4.0	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	24.7	44.2	-5.2	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.0	23.9	43.9	-3.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.0	46.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.5	22.8	41.3	-4.3	23%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.9	22.9	42.7	-3.0	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.8	37.0	73.8	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	37.1	75.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.9	36.9	71.8	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	37.4	73.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	32.3	36.8	69.1	-4.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.5	37.8	81.3	+5.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.6	42.9	80.5	-5.3	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	40.7	77.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	45.2	83.7	-6.7	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.8	41.7	81.4	-1.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	36.8	43.8	80.6	-7.0	23%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	40.1	40.0	80.1	+0.1	29%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hamburg wins

Crailsheim Merlins wins

No previous meetings.

Hamburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/16	H	Gotha	75-64
29/10/16	A	Baunach	89-90
27/10/16	A	Heidelberg	56-71
23/10/16	H	Essen	99-86
08/10/16	H	Mitteldeutscher	78-74
04/10/16	A	Koln	60-79
01/10/16	H	Hanau	68-71
25/09/16	A	Ehingen	74-60
17/04/16	A	Gotha	64-81
15/04/16	H	Gotha	66-70

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/16	H	Chemnitz	85-75
28/10/16	A	Koln	82-78
22/10/16	H	Dresden	97-71
15/10/16	A	Kirchheim	84-86
08/10/16	H	Essen	85-70
04/10/16	A	Baunach	84-62
01/10/16	H	Heidelberg	67-72 OT
24/09/16	A	Nurnberger	79-47
01/05/16	A	Phoenix Hagen	83-94
29/04/16	H	Tubingen	74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	50%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	50%	75%	25%
Points / game	74.9	80.0	69.8
Allowed / game	74.4	73.8	75.0
Point differential	+0.5	+6.2	-5.2
Avg total	149.2	153.8	144.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crailsheim Merlins

Pro A 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	75%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	75%	75%	75%
Points / game	82.9	83.5	82.2
Allowed / game	70.1	72.0	68.2
Point differential	+12.8	+11.5	+14.0
Avg total	153.0	155.5	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	9	8	1	89%	86.2	68.7	+17.6
2	Kirchheim	8	7	1	88%	84.1	79.2	+4.9
3	Crailsheim Merlins	8	6	2	75%	82.9	70.1	+12.8
4	Heidelberg	8	6	2	75%	70.5	67.9	+2.6
5	Hanau	8	5	3	62%	74.5	70.0	+4.5
6	Chemnitz	8	5	3	62%	73.9	73.6	+0.2
7	Gotha	9	5	4	56%	74.6	67.7	+6.9
8	Trier	8	4	4	50%	76.6	72.6	+4.0
9	Hamburg	8	4	4	50%	74.9	74.4	+0.5
10	Paderborn	9	4	5	44%	81.4	82.2	-0.8
11	Nurnberger	8	3	5	38%	74.5	78.5	-4.0
12	Baunach	8	3	5	38%	68.4	76.6	-8.2
13	Koln	8	2	6	25%	72.0	76.2	-4.2
14	Essen	8	2	6	25%	72.1	84.2	-12.1
15	Ehingen	8	1	7	12%	67.2	79.0	-11.8
16	Dresden	9	1	8	11%	84.1	98.1	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hamburg	22	22	15	25	84
Crailsheim Merlins	29	24	13	24	90

← all games of the day

Hamburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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