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Essen vs Kirchheim Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-81 (OT)
14-19 15-23 21-20 18-6 11-13
Position#15
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game81.0
GermanyPro ARound 3
Other2016-17
Meetings · Essen v Kirchheim
03 Oct 2016
ESSE79
KIRC81
24 Oct 2015
ESSE65
KIRC64
22 Nov 2014
ESSE76
KIRC87
12 Oct 2013
ESSE73
KIRC74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Essen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kirchheim winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hanau
#9
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A19/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H21/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A28/02
Pro A
Gotha
#4
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
H05/03
Pro A
Leverkusen
#15
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A11/03
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H13/03
Pro A
Chemnitz
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A19/03
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H26/03
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
64-107
64
107
-43
H24/09
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A01/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
9-28
27-27
17-16
17-16
25-18
15-22
12-23
17-14
13-15
12-18
20-16
15-25
26-22
23-12
16-21
20-17
16-23
18-25
17-12
22-15
11-11
19-14
20-22
20-8
9-18
11-14
21-10
15-19
22-23
26-24
19-27
9-27
22-23
17-28
16-29
16-30
16-16
18-17
15-24
154.0Avg total
72.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.597.0161.5-32.50%
Season at home (1)64.0107.0171.0-43.00%
Season away (1)65.087.0152.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)72.181.9154.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)68.879.8148.6-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)66.576.9143.5-10.427%
vs Similar (11)71.676.9148.5-5.318%
vs Weaker (4)78.570.8149.2+7.875%
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KirchheimGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A05/03
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H11/03
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
A13/03
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H19/03
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H26/03
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H08/04
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A10/04
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H12/04
Pro A
Dresden
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A25/09
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H01/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
14-21
18-19
24-14
16-17
18-20
12-20
16-21
16-20
16-17
14-4
13-18
15-13
14-20
28-18
17-15
18-11
26-17
22-17
16-14
23-24
10-21
17-22
25-15
28-19
14-23
16-21
18-16
13-20
23-23
12-20
17-17
28-30
19-21
16-15
29-24
22-12
22-24
20-23
24-13
152.6Avg total
77.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)88.072.0160.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)92.090.0182.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.375.3152.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)79.280.6159.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.088.0147.0-29.00%
vs Similar (3)78.774.7153.3+4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)76.967.6144.5+9.480%
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
EssenKirchheim
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hanau
#9
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A19/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/02
Pro A
Gotha
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/03
Pro A
Leverkusen
#15
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/03
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H13/03
Pro A
Chemnitz
#11
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A19/03
Pro A
Koln
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/03
Pro A
Mitteldeutscher
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H24/09
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/10
Pro A
73.8Avg total
34.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)34.536.471.0-1.944%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.135.372.4+1.857%-
Last 30 away (11)31.337.969.2-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)34.339.573.8-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.070.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.835.268.0-2.346%-
vs Similar (9)35.638.874.3-3.233%-
vs Weaker (3)38.735.073.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Kirchheim) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KirchheimLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#13
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A05/03
Pro A
Vechta
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/03
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A13/03
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H19/03
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H26/03
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H08/04
Pro A
Trier
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/04
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H12/04
Pro A
Dresden
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A25/09
Pro A
Koln
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H01/10
Pro A
76.4Avg total
37.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)36.834.871.6+1.954%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.234.972.1+2.456%-
Last 30 away (12)36.134.870.8+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.876.4-1.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.483.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.542.574.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.730.768.3+7.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.134.771.8+2.452%-
This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Essen wins
4
Kirchheim wins
DateGameScore
16/01/16Kirchheim v Essen68-61
24/10/15Essen v Kirchheim65-64
13/03/15Kirchheim v Essen57-56
22/11/14Essen v Kirchheim76-87
01/03/14Kirchheim v Essen103-109 OT
12/10/13Essen v Kirchheim73-74
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/16ATrier65-87
24/09/16HMitteldeutscher64-107
26/03/16HKoln82-93
19/03/16AChemnitz61-50
13/03/16HRhondorf72-62
11/03/16ALeverkusen71-77
05/03/16HGotha99-103 OT
28/02/16AHeidelberg62-63
21/02/16HTrier69-79
19/02/16AHanau76-98
Kirchheimlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/16HKoln88-72
25/09/16ADresden92-90
12/04/16HTrier65-80
10/04/16ATrier76-79
08/04/16HTrier75-82
26/03/16HRhondorf82-59
19/03/16HNurnberger74-66
13/03/16AHeidelberg82-78 OT
11/03/16HVechta62-78
05/03/16APaderborn77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Essen
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.564.065.0
Allowed / game97.0107.087.0
Point differential-32.5-43.0-22.0
Avg total161.5171.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kirchheim
Pro A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.088.092.0
Allowed / game81.072.090.0
Point differential+9.0+16.0+2.0
Avg total171.0160.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mitteldeutscher220100%96.067.5+28.5
2 Trier220100%85.070.5+14.5
3 Kirchheim220100%90.081.0+9.0
4 Chemnitz220100%77.571.5+6.0
5 Heidelberg220100%74.069.5+4.5
6 Paderborn32167%93.786.3+7.3
7 Crailsheim Merlins21150%73.059.5+13.5
8 Gotha21150%82.569.5+13.0
9 Hamburg21150%71.065.5+5.5
10 Hanau21150%71.572.0-0.5
11 Nurnberger21150%62.077.5-15.5
12 Koln2020%74.085.5-11.5
13 Dresden3030%93.3105.0-11.7
14 Ehingen2020%65.577.5-12.0
15 Baunach2020%64.080.0-16.0
16 Essen2020%64.597.0-32.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Essen141521181179
Kirchheim19232061381
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