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Leverkusen vs Essen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-71
17-20 23-16 25-18 12-17
Position#15
Record5-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#14
Record7-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game75.3
GermanyPro ARound 27
Other2015-16
Meetings · Leverkusen v Essen
11 Mar 2016
LEVE77
ESSE71
22 Mar 2015
LEVE70
ESSE66
19 Oct 2013
LEVE66
ESSE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leverkusen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Essen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeverkusenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A10/01
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A16/01
Pro A
Gotha
#4
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H24/01
Pro A
Jena
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H30/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A06/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H14/02
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H19/02
Pro A
Hamburg
#5
L
68-98
68
98
-30
A21/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/02
Pro A
Baunach
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A06/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
21-17
11-17
22-19
20-24
10-25
13-14
14-19
11-22
21-16
22-8
9-20
22-17
13-14
28-27
14-21
21-21
12-23
11-28
17-6
–
–
–
–
25-14
23-19
18-16
27-21
15-17
17-25
13-23
23-33
15-14
14-14
12-20
14-13
19-19
12-14
13-24
19-19
140.9Avg total
66.6Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.577.3144.9-9.819%
Season at home (12)69.070.4139.4-1.442%
Season away (14)66.383.3149.6-17.00%
Last 10 (10)66.674.3140.9-7.720%
Last 5 (5)68.473.2141.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.678.0145.6-10.420%
vs Similar (3)64.064.7128.7-0.733%
vs Weaker (2)78.580.5159.0-2.050%
This opponent (Essen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EssenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#5
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H10/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A16/01
Pro A
Jena
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A23/01
Pro A
Baunach
#7
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A30/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H06/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H13/02
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A19/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H21/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A28/02
Pro A
Gotha
#4
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
H05/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
16-10
22-18
19-20
17-12
11-18
19-20
14-18
–
–
–
–
17-17
13-19
9-18
24-20
18-18
27-22
22-19
15-27
24-17
10-21
14-12
16-17
23-27
9-28
27-27
17-16
17-16
25-18
15-22
12-23
17-14
13-15
12-18
20-16
15-25
26-22
23-12
16-21
149.6Avg total
71.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.175.3145.4-5.227%
Season at home (13)71.475.1146.5-3.738%
Season away (13)68.875.5144.3-6.615%
Last 10 (10)71.678.0149.6-6.410%
Last 5 (5)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.175.0142.1-7.929%
vs Similar (11)71.275.5146.7-4.418%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)85.572.0157.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
LeverkusenEssen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeverkusenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#6
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A10/01
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A16/01
Pro A
Gotha
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H24/01
Pro A
Jena
#2
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A06/02
Pro A
Rhondorf
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H19/02
Pro A
Hamburg
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H28/02
Pro A
Baunach
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A06/03
Pro A
70.8Avg total
33.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)35.239.674.8-4.523%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.335.370.6+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)35.142.377.4-7.26%-
Last 10 (9)33.737.170.8-3.433%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.070.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.840.675.4-5.814%-
vs Similar (3)33.032.065.0+1.067%-
vs Weaker (2)42.040.582.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Essen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#5
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H10/01
Pro A
Kirchheim
#3
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A16/01
Pro A
Baunach
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A30/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H06/02
Pro A
Paderborn
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H13/02
Pro A
Hanau
#9
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A19/02
Pro A
Trier
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/02
Pro A
Heidelberg
#8
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/02
Pro A
Gotha
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H05/03
Pro A
71.4Avg total
34.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)34.736.771.4-2.044%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.035.773.7+2.357%-
Last 30 away (11)30.538.068.5-7.527%-
Last 10 (9)34.836.771.4-1.944%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.676.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.035.468.4-2.440%-
vs Similar (9)36.138.774.8-2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)47.039.086.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Leverkusen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leverkusen wins
4
Essen wins
DateGameScore
08/11/15Essen v Leverkusen82-73
22/03/15Leverkusen v Essen70-66
05/10/14Essen v Leverkusen73-61
30/03/14Essen v Leverkusen101-71
19/10/13Leverkusen v Essen66-70
Leverkusenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/16ABaunach63-76
28/02/16HPaderborn55-61
21/02/16AHamburg68-98
19/02/16HRhondorf93-70
14/02/16HHeidelberg63-61
06/02/16AKirchheim61-78
30/01/16HJena77-79
24/01/16HGotha63-66
16/01/16AHanau57-82
10/01/16ATrier66-72
Essenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/16HGotha99-103 OT
28/02/16AHeidelberg62-63
21/02/16HTrier69-79
19/02/16AHanau76-98
13/02/16HPaderborn64-67
06/02/16HNurnberger82-86
30/01/16ABaunach63-74
23/01/16AJena68-83
16/01/16AKirchheim61-68
10/01/16HHamburg72-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leverkusen
Pro A 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL19%
HomeLLWWL42%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %19%42%0%
Points / game67.569.066.3
Allowed / game77.370.483.3
Point differential-9.8-1.4-17.0
Avg total144.9139.4149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Essen
Pro A 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%38%15%
Points / game70.171.468.8
Allowed / game75.375.175.5
Point differential-5.2-3.7-6.6
Avg total145.4146.5144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena2724389%77.366.0+11.3
2 Vechta2623388%82.765.2+17.6
3 Kirchheim2619773%75.667.8+7.8
4 Gotha2619773%77.370.6+6.7
5 Hamburg26161062%71.869.2+2.7
6 Trier27151256%72.470.3+2.1
7 Baunach26131350%70.771.6-0.9
8 Nurnberger27131448%74.074.6-0.6
9 Heidelberg26121446%69.571.3-1.9
10 Hanau27121544%70.472.5-2.1
11 Chemnitz26111542%73.671.9+1.7
12 Koln26101638%68.873.5-4.8
13 Paderborn2691735%70.276.0-5.8
14 Essen2671927%70.175.3-5.2
15 Leverkusen2652119%67.577.3-9.8
16 Rhondorf262248%68.387.5-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leverkusen1723251277
Essen2016181771
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