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Estela vs Almansa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 71-68
17-17 18-11 19-24 17-16
Position#11
Record7-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game76.5
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record5-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 16
Other2022-23
Meetings · Estela v Almansa
14 Jan 2023
ESTE71
ALMA68
23 Mar 2019
ESTE84
ALMA90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almansa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#18
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H05/11
Primera FEB
Caceres
#15
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A20/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H26/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
A03/12
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
77-49
77
49
+28
H06/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A11/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
95-109
95
109
-14
A21/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A07/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
20-18
16-19
16-11
13-20
25-13
15-19
26-14
13-20
17-19
13-14
24-24
13-22
12-28
22-15
15-24
21-13
15-9
25-16
16-11
13-20
26-22
13-27
27-22
16-23
22-18
17-22
21-19
22-24
20-33
22-29
31-23
15-17
15-16
21-20
19-17
14-14
20-15
10-16
16-22
152.6Avg total
75.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.276.5149.7-3.347%
Season at home (7)75.070.9145.9+4.171%
Season away (8)71.681.5153.1-9.925%
Last 10 (10)75.077.6152.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)78.685.8164.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.084.4154.4-14.412%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.467.4141.9+7.089%
vs Weaker (13)78.872.3151.1+6.569%
This opponent (Almansa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmansaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H05/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
66-100
66
100
-34
A20/11
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H26/11
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
A03/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#13
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
H10/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
55-101
55
101
-46
A16/12
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H20/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
53-79
53
79
-26
A27/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H07/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
18-19
12-16
22-16
15-26
18-22
18-27
15-25
22-27
20-18
15-12
13-7
24-22
12-10
16-13
12-19
18-14
18-17
19-22
18-13
23-16
22-21
29-20
12-29
12-31
18-23
8-19
17-28
17-25
28-18
8-20
22-19
12-23
10-15
13-21
18-20
22-16
19-18
21-20
20-23
153.5Avg total
71.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.581.3154.8-7.933%
Season at home (8)77.276.9154.1+0.450%
Season away (7)69.186.4155.6-17.314%
Last 10 (10)71.382.2153.5-10.930%
Last 5 (5)71.888.0159.8-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.186.8159.9-13.76%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.480.8160.2-1.454%
vs Weaker (1)80.061.0141.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
EstelaAlmansa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albacete
#18
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/11
Primera FEB
Caceres
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A20/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H26/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A03/12
Primera FEB
Iraurgi SB
#17
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H06/12
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A21/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A07/01
Primera FEB
73.4Avg total
35.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.372.6-0.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.133.570.6+3.679%-
Last 30 away (16)35.438.874.2-3.444%-
Last 10 (10)35.238.273.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.477.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.541.174.6-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.332.067.3+3.378%-
vs Weaker (13)38.536.474.9+2.269%-
This opponent (Almansa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmansaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H05/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/11
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H26/11
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A03/12
Primera FEB
Ourense
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A16/12
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H20/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A27/12
Primera FEB
Castello
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H07/01
Primera FEB
77.1Avg total
36.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.378.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.339.678.9-0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)35.243.178.4-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.577.1-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.277.8-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.443.779.1-8.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.239.579.7+0.646%-
vs Weaker (1)33.025.058.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estela wins
2
Almansa wins
DateGameScore
04/05/19Almansa v Estela83-77
23/03/19Estela v Almansa84-90
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23AReal Valladolid60-67
28/12/22HMelilla83-80 OT
21/12/22ALeyma Coruna95-109
17/12/22HEstudiantes76-82
11/12/22AForca Lleida79-91
06/12/22HIraurgi SB77-49
03/12/22ASan Pablo Burgos62-89
26/11/22HPalencia67-77
20/11/22ACaceres79-66
05/11/22HAlbacete72-66
Almansalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HCastello82-77
27/12/22AGipuzkoa53-79
20/12/22HMoraBanc Andorra75-82
16/12/22AAlicante55-101
10/12/22HOviedo94-101 OT
06/12/22HOurense73-66
03/12/22AReal Valladolid75-77 OT
26/11/22HMelilla70-64
20/11/22ALeyma Coruna66-100
05/11/22HEstudiantes70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game73.275.071.6
Allowed / game76.570.981.5
Point differential-3.3+4.1-9.9
Avg total149.7145.9153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Almansa
Primera FEB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game73.577.269.1
Allowed / game81.376.986.4
Point differential-7.9+0.4-17.3
Avg total154.8154.1155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Palencia1615194%82.269.8+12.4
2 MoraBanc Andorra1513287%83.269.3+13.9
3 Estudiantes1511473%79.373.5+5.8
4 Forca Lleida1611569%81.278.6+2.7
5 Real Valladolid1510567%75.970.1+5.8
6 Alicante1510567%77.174.7+2.3
7 Gipuzkoa159660%74.670.0+4.6
8 San Pablo Burgos159660%79.975.6+4.3
9 Leyma Coruna169756%82.876.7+6.1
10 Estela157847%73.276.5-3.3
11 Castello1661038%75.076.8-1.8
12 Ourense1551033%74.280.5-6.3
13 Almansa1551033%73.581.3-7.9
14 Albacete1541127%71.777.5-5.8
15 Melilla1641225%76.680.1-3.4
16 Caceres1641225%71.178.9-7.8
17 Oviedo1641225%69.979.8-9.9
18 Iraurgi SB1631319%72.283.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela1718191771
Almansa1711241668
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