Estela vs Caceres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 95-75

22-23 29-17 19-17 25-18

Position#14

Record4-7

FormLLWWL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game84.8

Estela 🏆

Caceres

Position#17

Record3-8

FormWLLLL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game83.6

Primera FEBRound 12

Other2023-24

Meetings · Estela v Caceres

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caceres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstela

Date

Competition

Ourense

#12

76-80 OT

-4

no box

H14/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

90-119

119

-29

75avg 70

A22/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

75-63

+12

66avg 70

H28/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

79-89

-10

73avg 70

A01/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

72-84

-12

62avg 70

H05/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

81-82

-1

73avg 70

H12/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

84-93

-9

75avg 70

A18/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

91-80

+11

84avg 70

H25/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

75-69

71avg 70

H29/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

61-101

101

-40

54avg 70

A03/12

Primera FEB

12-16

15-21

18-4

18-22

13-33

23-30

23-31

31-25

20-12

25-10

14-25

16-16

22-27

14-18

21-21

22-23

16-24

17-18

24-23

15-19

20-15

27-25

18-24

16-18

27-27

23-25

15-22

19-19

30-20

25-16

20-27

16-17

23-20

18-18

19-12

15-19

10-31

20-29

14-21

17-20

164.4Avg total

78.4Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	78.4	84.8	163.2	-6.5	36%
Season at home (6)	78.3	76.3	154.7	+2.0	50%
Season away (5)	78.4	95.0	173.4	-16.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	86.0	164.4	-7.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	85.0	163.4	-6.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	72.1	86.5	158.7	-14.4	27%
vs Similar (14)	80.9	78.0	158.9	+2.9	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	74.0	85.0	159.0	-11.0	0%

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caceres

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCaceres

Date

Competition

Castello

#15

86-90

-4

73avg 63

A13/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

90-76

+14

86avg 63

H20/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

61-73

-12

56avg 63

A27/10

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

85-78

77avg 63

H01/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

87-92

-5

76avg 63

A05/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

84-81

75avg 63

H10/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

64-88

-24

44avg 63

A19/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

75-84

-9

59avg 63

H24/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

67-94

-27

55avg 63

A29/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

60-81

-21

49avg 63

H03/12

Primera FEB

27-24

17-20

25-29

17-17

27-19

28-24

19-19

16-14

6-15

14-22

13-22

28-14

23-26

21-14

16-17

25-21

21-21

29-20

20-24

17-27

21-24

20-15

21-16

22-26

11-26

15-22

17-16

21-24

19-23

16-15

24-21

16-25

20-17

9-25

23-25

15-27

15-21

19-17

6-22

20-21

159.6Avg total

75.9Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	74.5	83.6	158.1	-9.2	27%
Season at home (6)	75.7	80.5	156.2	-4.8	50%
Season away (5)	73.0	87.4	160.4	-14.4	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	83.7	159.6	-7.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	85.6	155.6	-15.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	75.4	85.5	160.9	-10.1	16%
vs Similar (11)	84.4	81.1	165.5	+3.3	64%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstelaCaceres

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.9	41.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	23.8	44.1	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.9	22.1	41.1	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	20.4	40.8	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	37%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.3	21.3	43.5	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.2	38.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.9	21.5	39.4	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.6	39.3	+0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.0	41.6	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.7	37%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.2	18.5	40.7	+3.6	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#12

27-37

-10

H14/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

36-63

-27

A22/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

45-22

+23

H28/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

36-45

-9

A01/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

33-42

-9

H05/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

47-40

H12/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

50-52

-2

A18/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

55-36

+19

H25/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

41-38

H29/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

30-60

-30

A03/12

Primera FEB

83.5Avg total

40.0Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	41.2	79.9	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	37.6	76.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	45.3	83.4	-7.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	43.5	83.5	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	45.2	89.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	36.9	43.6	80.5	-6.7	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.9	38.5	79.4	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	38.0	42.0	80.0	-4.0	0%	-

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#15

44-44

A13/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

55-43

+12

H20/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

20-37

-17

A27/10

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

44-40

H01/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

50-41

A05/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

41-39

H10/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

26-48

-22

A19/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

35-38

-3

H24/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

29-42

-13

A29/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

34-38

-4

H03/12

Primera FEB

78.8Avg total

37.8Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.1	80.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	40.0	80.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	42.3	81.9	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	41.0	78.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	41.0	74.0	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.2	41.8	78.9	-4.6	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	44.5	39.8	84.3	+4.6	73%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.1	19.9	36.0	-3.9	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	19.8	38.1	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	22.9	41.9	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.5	18%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.7	21.2	37.9	-4.5	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.5	42.9	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	13%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	19.4	37.7	-1.0	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	24.6	43.4	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.0	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.1	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	40.8	77.9	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.9	39.6	75.4	-3.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	42.1	80.6	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	40.8	77.9	-3.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	39.8	73.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.3	42.9	78.2	-7.7	7%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.1	38.3	77.4	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	42.2	80.7	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	40.8	79.2	-2.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	43.9	82.3	-5.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.7	80.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	44.6	81.6	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.6	42.8	80.4	-5.2	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.9	41.3	81.2	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estela wins

Caceres wins

Date	Game	Score
18/03/23	Estela v Caceres	93-96
20/11/22	Caceres v Estela	66-79

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/23	A	Estudiantes	61-101
29/11/23	H	Melilla	75-69
25/11/23	H	Castello	91-80
18/11/23	A	Tizona Burgos	84-93
12/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	81-82
05/11/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	72-84
01/11/23	A	Alicante	79-89
28/10/23	H	Forca Lleida	75-63
22/10/23	A	Leyma Coruna	90-119
14/10/23	H	Ourense	76-80 OT

Cacereslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	60-81
29/11/23	A	Fuenlabrada	67-94
24/11/23	H	Alicante	75-84
19/11/23	A	Gipuzkoa	64-88
10/11/23	H	Leyma Coruna	84-81
05/11/23	A	Tizona Burgos	87-92
01/11/23	H	Clavijo	85-78
27/10/23	A	Ourense	61-73
20/10/23	H	Melilla	90-76
13/10/23	A	Castello	86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	36%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	36%	50%	20%
Points / game	78.4	78.3	78.4
Allowed / game	84.8	76.3	95.0
Point differential	-6.5	+2.0	-16.6
Avg total	163.2	154.7	173.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

Caceres

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	27%
Home	WWWLL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	27%	50%	0%
Points / game	74.5	75.7	73.0
Allowed / game	83.6	80.5	87.4
Point differential	-9.2	-4.8	-14.4
Avg total	158.1	156.2	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	12	11	1	92%	84.6	73.7	+10.9
2	Estudiantes	11	9	2	82%	86.8	71.7	+15.1
3	Gipuzkoa	11	8	3	73%	79.9	71.5	+8.4
4	Real Valladolid	11	8	3	73%	80.0	78.6	+1.4
5	Tizona Burgos	12	8	4	67%	89.9	84.5	+5.4
6	Leyma Coruna	11	7	4	64%	88.0	80.7	+7.3
7	Alicante	12	7	5	58%	78.3	75.8	+2.6
8	Forca Lleida	11	6	5	55%	79.5	75.7	+3.8
9	Ourense	11	6	5	55%	73.6	76.0	-2.4
10	Oviedo	12	6	6	50%	80.4	79.8	+0.6
11	Melilla	11	4	7	36%	73.8	79.3	-5.5
12	Estela	11	4	7	36%	78.4	84.8	-6.5
13	Fuenlabrada	12	4	8	33%	75.8	81.2	-5.4
14	Castello	12	4	8	33%	80.4	86.4	-6.0
15	Caceres	11	3	8	27%	74.5	83.6	-9.2
16	Real Betis	12	3	9	25%	79.9	80.2	-0.3
17	Hestia Menorca	12	3	9	25%	66.1	75.6	-9.5
18	Clavijo	11	2	9	18%	63.5	74.1	-10.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estela	22	29	19	25	95
Caceres	23	17	17	18	75

← all games of the day

Estela vs Caceres Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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