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Estela vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-80
30-20 25-16 20-27 16-17
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.4
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#15
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game84.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 9
Other2023-24
Meetings · Estela v Castello
15 Feb 2025
ESTE96
CAST76
25 Nov 2023
ESTE91
CAST80
18 Feb 2023
ESTE84
CAST64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Almansa
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
A13/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
64avg 70
A07/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
no box
H14/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
90-119
90
119
-29
75avg 70
A22/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
75-63
75
63
+12
66avg 70
H28/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 70
A01/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 70
H05/11
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 70
H12/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 70
A18/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
22-24
20-20
20-25
17-21
16-24
25-18
18-27
30-17
14-19
14-16
20-21
12-16
15-21
18-4
18-22
13-33
23-30
23-31
31-25
20-12
25-10
14-25
16-16
22-27
14-18
21-21
22-23
16-24
17-18
24-23
15-19
20-15
27-25
18-24
16-18
27-27
23-25
15-22
19-19
166.5Avg total
80.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.485.4164.8-6.025%
Season at home (4)76.077.2153.2-1.225%
Season away (4)82.893.5176.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)80.186.4166.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)78.282.2160.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.585.8159.3-12.325%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.878.7159.5+2.154%
vs Weaker (1)74.085.0159.0-11.00%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#14
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A13/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H19/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
80-93
80
93
-13
75avg 74
A07/10
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
90-86
90
86
+4
83avg 74
H13/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
65-85
65
85
-20
52avg 74
A21/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 74
H27/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
92avg 74
A31/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
83-61
83
61
+22
80avg 74
H04/11
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
69avg 74
A12/11
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
79-72 OT
79
72
+7
no box
H17/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-23
21-23
11-19
31-18
19-19
20-26
30-18
17-21
18-20
26-19
19-33
24-27
20-17
29-25
17-17
13-21
12-21
30-17
10-26
23-25
16-22
26-31
16-16
27-11
26-26
20-26
25-22
21-11
21-21
23-13
18-16
21-32
16-22
22-30
23-13
17-15
17-17
18-24
17-13
166.1Avg total
82.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.284.1166.4-1.950%
Season at home (4)83.278.2161.5+5.075%
Season away (4)81.290.0171.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)82.483.7166.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.386.2166.5-5.854%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.778.2154.9-1.550%
vs Weaker (7)80.076.4156.4+3.671%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
EstelaCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Almansa
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A13/05
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H19/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H14/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-63
36
63
-27
A22/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H28/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A01/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/11
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A18/11
Primera FEB
82.9Avg total
40.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.778.8-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.374.9+0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)38.744.082.7-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.882.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.442.579.9-5.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.938.377.2+0.638%-
vs Weaker (1)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A13/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/10
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/10
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A21/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A31/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H04/11
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A12/11
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H17/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
39.3Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.878.2-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.977.8+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)35.842.878.6-7.027%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.780.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.481.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.344.482.7-6.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.738.273.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker (7)38.038.076.0+0.043%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estela wins
1
Castello wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Estela v Castello84-64
21/10/22Castello v Estela76-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ATizona Burgos84-93
12/11/23HReal Valladolid81-82
05/11/23HSan Pablo Burgos72-84
01/11/23AAlicante79-89
28/10/23HForca Lleida75-63
22/10/23ALeyma Coruna90-119
14/10/23HOurense76-80 OT
07/10/23AFuenlabrada78-73
19/05/23HOviedo76-90
13/05/23AAlmansa90-91
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HClavijo79-72 OT
12/11/23AForca Lleida82-97
04/11/23HOviedo83-61
31/10/23AFuenlabrada98-85
27/10/23HSan Pablo Burgos81-94
21/10/23AHestia Menorca65-85
13/10/23HCaceres90-86
07/10/23AOurense80-93
19/05/23HAlicante100-81
13/05/23AOviedo66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.476.082.8
Allowed / game85.477.293.5
Point differential-6.0-1.2-10.8
Avg total164.8153.2176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game82.283.281.2
Allowed / game84.178.290.0
Point differential-1.9+5.0-8.8
Avg total166.4161.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes87188%84.971.0+13.9
2 San Pablo Burgos87188%83.671.5+12.1
3 Leyma Coruna97278%90.080.6+9.4
4 Gipuzkoa97278%82.073.3+8.7
5 Tizona Burgos96367%89.886.9+2.9
6 Alicante96367%77.275.0+2.2
7 Ourense96367%75.974.1+1.8
8 Real Valladolid85362%78.579.8-1.2
9 Castello84450%82.284.1-1.9
10 Forca Lleida94544%78.478.2+0.2
11 Oviedo94544%79.281.1-1.9
12 Caceres93633%76.982.8-5.9
13 Melilla93633%73.380.4-7.1
14 Estela82625%79.485.4-6.0
15 Hestia Menorca82625%64.171.9-7.8
16 Fuenlabrada92722%72.678.4-5.9
17 Clavijo92722%64.973.2-8.3
18 Real Betis91811%76.280.4-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela3025201691
Castello2016271780
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