Estudiantes vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 101-61

31-10 29-20 21-14 20-17

Position#4

Record8-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.4

Allowed / game72.8

Estudiantes 🏆

Estela

Position#14

Record4-6

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game83.2

Primera FEBRound 11· WiZink Center

Other2023-24

Meetings · Estudiantes v Estela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Caceres

#17

83-60

+23

72avg 80

A06/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

76-87

-11

64avg 80

H15/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

86-77

84avg 80

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

93-75

+18

89avg 80

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

103-85

103

+18

103avg 80

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

77-73

70avg 80

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

80-55

+25

75avg 80

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

81-56

+25

85avg 80

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

91-92 OT

-1

no box

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

84-68

+16

83avg 80

A29/11

Primera FEB

25-14

24-14

19-18

15-14

21-22

7-22

24-17

24-26

27-13

10-14

24-23

25-27

24-21

29-21

32-21

8-12

30-22

27-19

22-19

24-25

22-16

18-15

21-22

16-20

20-14

17-7

22-19

21-15

17-15

15-10

26-15

23-16

28-18

28-31

17-16

7-15

20-21

23-19

22-19

19-9

158.2Avg total

85.4Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	85.4	72.8	158.2	+12.6	80%
Season at home (5)	88.8	79.0	167.8	+9.8	60%
Season away (5)	82.0	66.6	148.6	+15.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	72.8	158.2	+12.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	68.8	151.4	+13.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	58.5	79.5	138.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	86.9	83.1	170.0	+3.8	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	81.9	72.4	154.3	+9.5	68%

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstela

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

78-73

64avg 72

A07/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

76-80 OT

-4

no box

H14/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

90-119

119

-29

75avg 72

A22/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

75-63

+12

66avg 72

H28/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

79-89

-10

73avg 72

A01/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

72-84

-12

62avg 72

H05/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

81-82

-1

73avg 72

H12/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

84-93

-9

75avg 72

A18/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

91-80

+11

84avg 72

H25/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

75-69

71avg 72

H29/11

Primera FEB

30-17

14-19

14-16

20-21

12-16

15-21

18-4

18-22

13-33

23-30

23-31

31-25

20-12

25-10

14-25

16-16

22-27

14-18

21-21

22-23

16-24

17-18

24-23

15-19

20-15

27-25

18-24

16-18

27-27

23-25

15-22

19-19

30-20

25-16

20-27

16-17

23-20

18-18

19-12

15-19

163.3Avg total

80.1Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.1	83.2	163.3	-3.1	40%
Season at home (6)	78.3	76.3	154.7	+2.0	50%
Season away (4)	82.8	93.5	176.2	-10.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	83.2	163.3	-3.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	81.6	162.2	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	72.1	84.3	156.3	-12.2	27%
vs Similar (14)	80.9	78.0	158.9	+2.9	57%
vs Weaker (1)	74.0	85.0	159.0	-11.0	0%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesEstela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.0	38.7	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.1	41.1	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	16.9	36.3	+2.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	17.6	41.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.0	17.0	26.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.3	17.1	38.3	+4.2	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.2	44.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.2	38.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	20.5	38.5	-2.6	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

#17

49-28

+21

A06/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

28-44

-16

H15/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

37-27

+10

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

53-42

+11

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

57-41

+16

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

40-31

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

37-21

+16

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

32-25

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

56-49

H26/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

43-40

A29/11

Primera FEB

78.0Avg total

43.2Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	36.9	77.2	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	38.8	81.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	34.9	72.9	+3.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	34.8	78.0	+8.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	33.2	74.8	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	39.5	66.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.3	41.0	83.3	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.7	34.6	75.4	+6.1	84%	-

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#10

44-36

A07/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

27-37

-10

H14/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

36-63

-27

A22/10

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

45-22

+23

H28/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

36-45

-9

A01/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

33-42

-9

H05/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

47-40

H12/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

50-52

-2

A18/11

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

55-36

+19

H25/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

41-38

H29/11

Primera FEB

82.5Avg total

41.4Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.3	37.6	76.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	43.1	81.5	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	41.1	82.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	41.6	86.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.1	41.5	78.7	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.9	38.5	79.4	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	42.0	80.0	-4.0	0%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	18.9	41.8	+4.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	20.6	40.3	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.3	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.3	37.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	19.0	33.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.0	32.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.6	17.2	36.7	+2.4	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.7	21.2	37.9	-4.5	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.1	23.1	42.3	-4.0	13%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	19.4	37.7	-1.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	36.1	76.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	39.3	78.7	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	36.8	77.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	33.2	72.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.5	40.0	71.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	39.9	81.3	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.1	36.4	76.5	+3.7	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	40.7	77.6	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.9	39.6	75.4	-3.7	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	41.9	80.1	-3.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	40.4	77.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	40.0	75.4	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.9	42.7	77.7	-7.8	7%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.1	38.3	77.4	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Estela wins

Date	Game	Score
16/04/23	Estudiantes v Estela	80-54
17/12/22	Estela v Estudiantes	76-82

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/23	A	Castello	84-68
26/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
19/11/23	H	Hestia Menorca	81-56
11/11/23	A	Fuenlabrada	80-55
05/11/23	A	Clavijo	77-73
01/11/23	H	Tizona Burgos	103-85
29/10/23	H	Alicante	93-75
20/10/23	A	Real Betis	86-77
15/10/23	H	Oviedo	76-87
06/10/23	A	Caceres	83-60

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/23	H	Melilla	75-69
25/11/23	H	Castello	91-80
18/11/23	A	Tizona Burgos	84-93
12/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	81-82
05/11/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	72-84
01/11/23	A	Alicante	79-89
28/10/23	H	Forca Lleida	75-63
22/10/23	A	Leyma Coruna	90-119
14/10/23	H	Ourense	76-80 OT
07/10/23	A	Fuenlabrada	78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	80%
Home	LWWWL	60%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	80%	60%	100%
Points / game	85.4	88.8	82.0
Allowed / game	72.8	79.0	66.6
Point differential	+12.6	+9.8	+15.4
Avg total	158.2	167.8	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	60%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

Estela

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	40%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	40%	50%	25%
Points / game	80.1	78.3	82.8
Allowed / game	83.2	76.3	93.5
Point differential	-3.1	+2.0	-10.8
Avg total	163.3	154.7	176.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	10	9	1	90%	83.6	72.9	+10.7
2	Estudiantes	10	8	2	80%	85.4	72.8	+12.6
3	Gipuzkoa	11	8	3	73%	79.9	71.5	+8.4
4	Real Valladolid	11	8	3	73%	80.0	78.6	+1.4
5	Leyma Coruna	11	7	4	64%	88.0	80.7	+7.3
6	Alicante	11	7	4	64%	76.8	73.7	+3.1
7	Tizona Burgos	11	7	4	64%	87.3	85.2	+2.1
8	Forca Lleida	11	6	5	55%	79.5	75.7	+3.8
9	Oviedo	11	6	5	55%	80.6	79.5	+1.2
10	Ourense	11	6	5	55%	73.6	76.0	-2.4
11	Estela	10	4	6	40%	80.1	83.2	-3.1
12	Fuenlabrada	11	4	7	36%	75.7	77.8	-2.1
13	Castello	11	4	7	36%	79.7	85.2	-5.5
14	Melilla	11	4	7	36%	73.8	79.3	-5.5
15	Caceres	10	3	7	30%	75.9	83.9	-8.0
16	Real Betis	11	2	9	18%	78.1	79.5	-1.5
17	Clavijo	11	2	9	18%	63.5	74.1	-10.5
18	Hestia Menorca	11	2	9	18%	64.5	75.4	-10.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	31	29	21	20	101
Estela	10	20	14	17	61

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Estudiantes vs Estela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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