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Estela vs Cartagena Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-72
24-16 15-25 24-12 15-19
Position#12
Record6-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#16
Record4-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game85.9
SpainPrimera FEBRound 18
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estela v Cartagena
31 Jan 2026
ESTE78
CART72
09 May 2025
ESTE84
CART69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cartagena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 70
H15/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
90-101
90
101
-11
93avg 70
A23/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-97
79
97
-18
64avg 70
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 70
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
74-68
74
68
+6
68avg 70
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
77-65
77
65
+12
74avg 70
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
67avg 70
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
67-102
67
102
-35
57avg 70
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 70
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
12-23
22-27
22-18
19-21
22-25
24-28
25-27
21-32
14-19
27-23
17-23
24-12
19-21
17-29
23-18
16-10
18-20
12-17
28-21
27-21
23-13
13-15
14-16
14-29
25-17
17-19
21-23
17-30
17-20
13-20
20-32
17-15
18-20
20-21
18-20
24-20
25-23
11-16
14-22
162.7Avg total
77.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.185.1162.2-8.138%
Season at home (8)76.281.6157.9-5.450%
Season away (8)77.988.6166.5-10.825%
Last 10 (10)77.884.9162.7-7.130%
Last 5 (5)73.682.4156.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)77.788.5166.2-10.830%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.875.2153.0+2.667%
vs Weaker (1)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Cartagena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCartagena
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
L
65-91
65
91
-26
54avg 63
A08/11
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
62avg 63
H15/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
71-90
71
90
-19
no box
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
68-77
68
77
-9
54avg 63
A14/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
68-74
68
74
-6
59avg 63
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 63
H20/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
77-95
77
95
-18
66avg 63
A28/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 63
H04/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
91-84
91
84
+7
80avg 63
A11/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
no box
H17/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
20-25
22-24
8-18
15-28
17-23
20-26
16-17
19-23
19-22
19-19
14-26
24-13
11-24
22-10
11-30
10-16
20-18
17-12
21-28
14-23
22-24
19-21
25-21
14-25
18-29
25-21
20-20
20-19
19-37
17-17
19-15
30-27
19-12
19-19
23-26
12-22
20-20
17-21
26-12
162.1Avg total
75.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.685.9159.4-12.325%
Season at home (8)75.284.4159.6-9.138%
Season away (8)71.987.4159.2-15.512%
Last 10 (10)75.286.9162.1-11.720%
Last 5 (5)82.488.6171.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)74.186.0160.2-11.929%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.579.9158.4-1.450%
vs Weaker (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.0-3.0
EstelaCartagena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H15/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A23/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H13/12
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A17/12
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A28/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
40.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.779.9-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.438.779.1+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.780.7-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.481.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.683.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.043.582.5-4.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.235.074.2+4.256%-
vs Weaker (1)42.037.079.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Cartagena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CartagenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A08/11
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H15/11
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A22/11
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/12
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H20/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A28/12
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H04/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A11/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H17/01
Primera FEB
81.2Avg total
35.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.044.480.4-8.417%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.343.880.1-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)35.845.080.8-9.220%-
Last 10 (10)35.845.481.2-9.610%-
Last 5 (5)37.647.685.2-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)35.346.481.7-11.110%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.540.179.6-0.638%-
vs Weaker (1)24.037.061.0-13.00%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.5
55.7%
51.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws12.58.5
68.0%
73.4%8.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cartagenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cartagena: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.023.0
67.6%
51.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.06.5
21.7%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.5
71.4%
73.4%17.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
LLLLWWWLLL
Cartagena
WWLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#16
-28.2
Net rating
-4.2
104.0
Offensive rating
115.6
132.2
Defensive rating
119.8
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
61.9%
Opp. effective FG%
61.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.4%
3-point %
21.7%
50.0%
Assist %
42.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 115.6Defence132.2 · 119.8Shooting50.8% · 51.2%3-point %29.4% · 21.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Estela   ■ Cartagena
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estela wins
1
Cartagena wins
DateGameScore
17/12/25Cartagena v Estela68-74
09/05/25Estela v Cartagena84-69
12/01/25Cartagena v Estela87-78
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26AEstudiantes74-81
10/01/26HPalmer Basket73-76
04/01/26ALeyma Coruna67-102
28/12/25AGipuzkoa77-88
21/12/25HFibwi Palma77-65
17/12/25ACartagena74-68
13/12/25HHestia Menorca83-80
06/12/25AOviedo79-97
23/11/25AAlicante90-101
15/11/25HTizona Burgos84-91
Cartagenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HTizona Burgos89-87 OT
11/01/26AMelilla91-84
04/01/26HFuenlabrada75-88
28/12/25AAlicante77-95
20/12/25HLeyma Coruna80-89
17/12/25HEstela68-74
14/12/25APalmer Basket68-77
22/11/25AZamora71-90
15/11/25HObradoiro CAB68-94
08/11/25AOurense65-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game77.176.277.9
Allowed / game85.181.688.6
Point differential-8.1-5.4-10.8
Avg total162.2157.9166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cartagena
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW25%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game73.675.271.9
Allowed / game85.984.487.4
Point differential-12.3-9.1-15.5
Avg total159.4159.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna1615194%92.978.4+14.5
2 Obradoiro CAB1714382%91.378.4+12.9
3 Estudiantes1612475%86.079.1+6.9
4 Palencia1610662%83.174.3+8.8
5 Alicante1610662%86.580.6+5.9
6 Hestia Menorca169756%82.877.4+5.3
7 Gipuzkoa169756%78.274.9+3.3
8 Fuenlabrada158753%80.683.1-2.5
9 Oviedo178947%82.779.9+2.8
10 Fibwi Palma178947%77.581.5-4.0
11 Ourense157847%82.782.2+0.5
12 Zamora167944%85.287.6-2.4
13 Estela1661038%77.185.1-8.1
14 Tizona Burgos1751229%84.489.1-4.7
15 Cartagena1641225%73.685.9-12.3
16 Palmer Basket1631319%70.185.4-15.4
17 Melilla1621412%76.288.2-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela2415241578
Cartagena1625121972
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