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Estela vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-64
29-14 21-14 20-14 14-22
Position#11
Record9-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game76.6
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#9
Record8-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game77.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 21
Other2022-23
Meetings · Estela v Castello
15 Feb 2025
ESTE96
CAST76
25 Nov 2023
ESTE91
CAST80
18 Feb 2023
ESTE84
CAST64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A11/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
95-109
95
109
-14
A21/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A07/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H14/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A21/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A27/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H01/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A05/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
26-22
13-27
27-22
16-23
22-18
17-22
21-19
22-24
20-33
22-29
31-23
15-17
15-16
21-20
19-17
14-14
20-15
10-16
16-22
17-17
18-11
19-24
17-16
18-22
14-11
18-22
19-7
29-23
16-13
12-25
20-17
20-23
15-13
16-20
11-24
14-24
19-23
14-20
23-29
155.5Avg total
74.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.376.6148.9-4.245%
Season at home (9)73.171.6144.7+1.667%
Season away (11)71.780.7152.5-9.027%
Last 10 (10)74.281.3155.5-7.130%
Last 5 (5)69.876.8146.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.285.1154.3-15.910%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.967.9141.8+6.083%
vs Weaker (8)77.571.2148.8+6.275%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A11/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H16/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
81-101
81
101
-20
A20/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H27/12
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A07/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H13/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A28/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
H01/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#13
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H05/02
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
15-22
13-16
9-14
15-19
29-22
13-22
24-23
22-18
21-22
17-37
21-24
21-18
25-18
17-20
17-21
16-22
18-19
20-21
23-20
13-10
18-21
20-16
24-24
15-18
26-13
14-17
15-26
18-31
19-12
15-20
20-21
17-25
15-19
22-18
31-23
17-25
21-18
16-11
22-10
156.6Avg total
76.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.777.0152.7-1.340%
Season at home (10)78.476.6155.0+1.860%
Season away (10)73.077.4150.4-4.420%
Last 10 (10)76.080.6156.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)77.876.6154.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.976.3150.2-2.436%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.679.7161.3+1.938%
vs Weaker (6)78.777.8156.5+0.850%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
EstelaCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A21/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H28/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A07/01
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A21/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A27/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H01/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A05/02
Primera FEB
74.5Avg total
36.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.871.4-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.533.469.9+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)34.937.972.8-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.274.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.072.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.641.274.8-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.832.167.9+3.875%-
vs Weaker (8)37.934.672.5+3.275%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A11/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A20/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H27/12
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A07/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#14
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H13/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A21/01
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A28/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H01/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H05/02
Primera FEB
77.3Avg total
37.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.779.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.742.482.1-2.629%-
Last 30 away (13)38.238.676.8-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.777.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.474.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.539.377.8-0.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.242.581.7-3.231%-
vs Weaker (6)39.539.779.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estela wins
1
Castello wins
DateGameScore
21/10/22Castello v Estela76-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23AGipuzkoa70-96
01/02/23HMoraBanc Andorra62-80
27/01/23AAlicante77-78
21/01/23AOviedo69-62
14/01/23HAlmansa71-68
07/01/23AReal Valladolid60-67
28/12/22HMelilla83-80 OT
21/12/22ALeyma Coruna95-109
17/12/22HEstudiantes76-82
11/12/22AForca Lleida79-91
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/23HOurense76-64
01/02/23HGipuzkoa96-90 OT
28/01/23AMoraBanc Andorra72-84
21/01/23AAlicante70-74
13/01/23HOviedo75-71
07/01/23AAlmansa77-82
27/12/22HReal Valladolid80-77
20/12/22AMelilla81-101
16/12/22HLeyma Coruna81-86
11/12/22AEstudiantes52-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%67%27%
Points / game72.373.171.7
Allowed / game76.671.680.7
Point differential-4.2+1.6-9.0
Avg total148.9144.7152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game75.778.473.0
Allowed / game77.076.677.4
Point differential-1.3+1.8-4.4
Avg total152.7155.0150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)50% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 MoraBanc Andorra2119290%82.068.7+13.3
2 Palencia2119290%81.569.8+11.7
3 Estudiantes2116576%79.672.6+7.0
4 Leyma Coruna2114767%83.076.1+6.9
5 Real Valladolid2114767%75.671.0+4.6
6 Forca Lleida2114767%81.078.3+2.7
7 San Pablo Burgos2113862%80.374.8+5.5
8 Alicante2113862%76.174.9+1.3
9 Gipuzkoa2112957%77.071.4+5.5
10 Estela2091145%72.376.6-4.2
11 Castello2081240%75.777.0-1.3
12 Caceres2161529%71.878.4-6.6
13 Ourense2161529%73.280.7-7.5
14 Almansa2161529%71.680.1-8.6
15 Albacete2151624%70.376.6-6.3
16 Iraurgi SB2151624%72.081.0-9.0
17 Oviedo2151624%68.177.6-9.4
18 Melilla2141719%75.481.1-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela2921201484
Castello1414142264
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