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Estela vs Leyma Coruna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-88
15-20 21-21 16-22 27-25
Position#12
Record10-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game84.0
Estela
Spain
vs
Leyma Coruna 🏆
Spain
Position#2
Record24-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game78.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 28
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estela v Leyma Coruna
04 Apr 2026
ESTE79
LKO88
20 Jan 2024
ESTE81
LKO83
23 Apr 2023
ESTE84
LKO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leyma Coruna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 72
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 72
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
75avg 72
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 72
H15/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 72
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 72
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
83-86
83
86
-3
83avg 72
A15/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 72
H21/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 72
A27/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
25-23
11-16
14-22
24-16
15-25
24-12
15-19
16-34
22-17
22-21
21-17
18-26
23-23
23-7
15-31
34-20
15-26
20-15
22-29
22-23
22-17
16-21
17-22
20-24
14-11
20-14
19-19
19-24
20-19
19-18
25-25
18-21
18-19
19-23
25-15
25-27
25-19
19-20
8-20
161.3Avg total
79.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.184.0162.1-6.040%
Season at home (12)78.281.7159.8-3.558%
Season away (13)78.086.2164.2-8.223%
Last 10 (10)79.382.0161.3-2.740%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.788.7167.4-10.133%
vs Similar (12)78.275.6153.8+2.658%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leyma Coruna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leyma CorunaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCoruna
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
105-72
105
72
+33
103avg 85
A01/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
76avg 85
A07/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 85
H11/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
85-65
85
65
+20
85avg 85
A15/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
105-82
105
82
+23
104avg 85
H20/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 85
H08/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
74-59
74
59
+15
67avg 85
A11/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
78avg 85
A14/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
105-84
105
84
+21
105avg 85
H20/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
82-77
82
77
+5
81avg 85
H27/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
25-22
19-26
33-13
24-26
18-17
19-18
28-23
18-14
21-25
21-18
21-19
26-9
22-17
20-22
17-17
35-19
24-14
27-20
19-29
16-19
25-17
23-17
19-21
17-10
20-23
19-15
18-11
23-19
13-28
22-33
29-19
27-15
27-19
27-25
24-25
25-18
18-19
19-20
20-20
166.8Avg total
89.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.778.0169.6+13.792%
Season at home (13)92.976.5169.5+16.4100%
Season away (13)90.479.4169.8+11.085%
Last 10 (10)89.677.2166.8+12.490%
Last 5 (5)86.278.6164.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)90.299.2189.4-9.00%
vs Similar (2)84.587.0171.5-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.076.1168.0+15.9100%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
EstelaLeyma Coruna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A27/03
Primera FEB
85.3Avg total
41.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.182.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.981.2-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.243.383.5-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.485.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.545.585.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (12)41.437.078.4+4.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Leyma Coruna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leyma CorunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A01/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H11/02
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A15/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H20/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A11/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A14/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H20/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H27/03
Primera FEB
81.3Avg total
45.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.586.2+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.940.688.5+7.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.540.583.9+3.060%-
Last 10 (10)45.236.181.3+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.252.096.2-7.80%-
vs Similar (2)41.047.088.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.437.583.9+8.978%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.0
57.6%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.6
28.8%
33.9%22.9
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
73.4%15.1
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leyma Corunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leyma Coruna: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.1
54.8%
51.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.5
41.1%
33.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
73.4%17.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
LWLWLWLLWL
Leyma Coruna
WWLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-7.7
Net rating
+17.7
108.3
Offensive rating
124.1
116.0
Defensive rating
106.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
57.7%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
1.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.8%
3-point %
41.1%
53.5%
Assist %
69.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 124.1Defence116.0 · 106.4Shooting51.2% · 57.7%3-point %28.8% · 41.1%Ball care0.0% · 1.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Estela   ■ Leyma Coruna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estela wins
5
Leyma Coruna wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Leyma Coruna v Estela102-67
20/01/24Estela v Leyma Coruna81-83
22/10/23Leyma Coruna v Estela119-90
23/04/23Estela v Leyma Coruna84-86
21/12/22Leyma Coruna v Estela109-95
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26ATizona Burgos77-86
21/03/26HEstudiantes80-78
15/03/26APalmer Basket83-86
08/03/26AFibwi Palma73-68
22/02/26AMelilla77-83
15/02/26HGipuzkoa91-90
11/02/26HOviedo79-87
07/02/26AHestia Menorca81-89
31/01/26HCartagena78-72
18/01/26AEstudiantes74-81
Leyma Corunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26HCartagena82-77
20/03/26HTizona Burgos105-84
14/03/26APalencia87-99
11/03/26AOurense74-59
08/03/26HAlicante83-74
20/02/26HEstudiantes105-82
15/02/26APalmer Basket85-65
11/02/26HZamora81-76
07/02/26AOviedo89-84
01/02/26AMelilla105-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWLWW58%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%58%23%
Points / game78.178.278.0
Allowed / game84.081.786.2
Point differential-6.0-3.5-8.2
Avg total162.1159.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leyma Coruna
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %92%100%85%
Points / game91.792.990.4
Allowed / game78.076.579.4
Point differential+13.7+16.4+11.0
Avg total169.6169.5169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2624292%91.778.0+13.7
2 Obradoiro CAB2522388%92.576.6+15.9
3 Palencia2620677%84.072.1+11.9
4 Gipuzkoa25151060%79.674.7+4.9
5 Estudiantes25151060%84.580.9+3.6
6 Oviedo26151158%83.278.8+4.4
7 Alicante26141254%83.382.1+1.2
8 Fuenlabrada26141254%79.682.0-2.4
9 Hestia Menorca25131252%80.877.1+3.7
10 Ourense25111444%81.181.7-0.6
11 Zamora25111444%84.087.0-3.0
12 Estela25101540%78.184.0-6.0
13 Fibwi Palma2691735%76.482.7-6.3
14 Cartagena2571828%73.084.7-11.7
15 Palmer Basket2561924%73.084.7-11.8
16 Tizona Burgos2662023%82.289.0-6.8
17 Melilla2542116%75.487.0-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela1521162779
Leyma Coruna2021222588
← all games of the day
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