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Estela vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-78
18-21 18-19 19-23 25-15
Position#12
Record9-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.2
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Estudiantes
Spain
Position#4
Record15-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.9
SpainPrimera FEBRound 26
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estela v Estudiantes
07 Nov 2026
ESTE73
EST71
21 Mar 2026
ESTE80
EST78
04 Jan 2025
ESTE75
EST92
20 Apr 2024
ESTE67
EST81
17 Dec 2022
ESTE76
EST82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
67-102
67
102
-35
57avg 70
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 70
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 70
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 70
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
75avg 70
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
84avg 70
H15/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 70
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 70
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
83-86
83
86
-3
83avg 70
A15/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
17-20
13-20
20-32
17-15
18-20
20-21
18-20
24-20
25-23
11-16
14-22
24-16
15-25
24-12
15-19
16-34
22-17
22-21
21-17
18-26
23-23
23-7
15-31
34-20
15-26
20-15
22-29
22-23
22-17
16-21
17-22
20-24
14-11
20-14
19-19
19-24
20-19
19-18
25-25
161.0Avg total
77.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.084.2162.3-6.239%
Season at home (11)78.082.0160.0-4.055%
Season away (12)78.186.2164.3-8.225%
Last 10 (10)77.683.4161.0-5.830%
Last 5 (5)80.682.8163.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.788.4167.1-9.833%
vs Similar (12)79.175.2154.2+3.967%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
W
92-75
92
75
+17
87avg 79
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
78avg 79
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
52avg 79
A01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
60avg 79
H08/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
97-103
97
103
-6
94avg 79
A14/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
82-105
82
105
-23
72avg 79
A20/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 79
H08/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 79
A10/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
90-66
90
66
+24
88avg 79
H15/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
18-25
32-14
18-18
18-19
17-24
20-14
21-23
20-24
23-25
16-11
22-14
16-18
22-26
17-15
11-14
17-15
15-30
16-25
24-24
16-27
33-27
23-17
25-32
19-35
14-24
20-27
29-19
18-16
16-31
25-18
26-13
20-18
32-18
21-24
13-15
19-14
25-21
21-12
25-19
165.0Avg total
82.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.080.9165.8+4.165%
Season at home (12)87.880.5168.2+7.275%
Season away (11)81.981.3163.2+0.655%
Last 10 (10)82.782.3165.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)88.085.4173.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.592.2168.7-15.70%
vs Similar (7)86.183.4169.6+2.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.977.5166.4+11.582%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
EstelaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A04/01
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A18/01
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H31/01
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/03
Primera FEB
83.5Avg total
40.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.681.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.681.7+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.542.682.1-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.383.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.245.385.4-5.139%-
vs Similar (12)40.636.176.7+4.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H04/01
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A11/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H08/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A14/02
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A20/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H08/03
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A10/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/03
Primera FEB
85.7Avg total
40.2Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.685.2+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.141.787.9+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.482.5-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.245.585.7-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.288.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.346.382.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (7)43.341.184.4+2.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.440.186.4+6.376%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.7
56.3%
51.5%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.7
29.1%
33.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.8%
73.4%14.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.3
58.1%
51.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.5
34.5%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
73.4%15.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
LWLWLLWLLL
Estudiantes
WWWLLLLWLW
#12
League position
#4
-8.6
Net rating
-0.1
107.7
Offensive rating
115.4
116.3
Defensive rating
115.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
4.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.1%
3-point %
34.5%
57.6%
Assist %
54.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 115.4Defence116.3 · 115.5Shooting50.7% · 55.3%3-point %29.1% · 34.5%Ball care0.0% · 4.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Estela   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estela wins
7
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
18/01/26Estudiantes v Estela81-74
22/04/25Estudiantes v Estela101-76
04/01/25Estela v Estudiantes75-92
20/04/24Estela v Estudiantes67-81
03/12/23Estudiantes v Estela101-61
16/04/23Estudiantes v Estela80-54
17/12/22Estela v Estudiantes76-82
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26APalmer Basket83-86
08/03/26AFibwi Palma73-68
22/02/26AMelilla77-83
15/02/26HGipuzkoa91-90
11/02/26HOviedo79-87
07/02/26AHestia Menorca81-89
31/01/26HCartagena78-72
18/01/26AEstudiantes74-81
10/01/26HPalmer Basket73-76
04/01/26ALeyma Coruna67-102
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HFibwi Palma90-66
10/03/26AZamora86-75
08/03/26HHestia Menorca85-78
20/02/26ALeyma Coruna82-105
14/02/26AOurense97-103
08/02/26HPalencia72-94
01/02/26AGipuzkoa66-73
18/01/26HEstela81-74
11/01/26AFibwi Palma76-80
04/01/26HOurense92-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL39%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%55%25%
Points / game78.078.078.1
Allowed / game84.282.086.2
Point differential-6.2-4.0-8.2
Avg total162.3160.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%75%55%
Points / game85.087.881.9
Allowed / game80.980.581.3
Point differential+4.1+7.2+0.6
Avg total165.8168.2163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%33%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2523292%92.078.0+14.0
2 Obradoiro CAB2421388%92.877.2+15.6
3 Palencia2519676%84.072.5+11.6
4 Estudiantes2315865%85.080.9+4.1
5 Gipuzkoa25151060%79.674.7+4.9
6 Hestia Menorca23131057%82.177.6+4.6
7 Oviedo24131154%83.279.8+3.4
8 Alicante24131154%83.682.3+1.3
9 Fuenlabrada24131154%79.482.5-3.1
10 Ourense24111346%81.080.7+0.2
11 Zamora2391439%83.788.0-4.3
12 Estela2391439%78.084.2-6.2
13 Fibwi Palma2491538%77.382.0-4.7
14 Cartagena2361726%72.785.2-12.5
15 Palmer Basket2461825%73.284.6-11.4
16 Tizona Burgos2552020%82.089.5-7.4
17 Melilla2332013%75.787.7-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela1818192580
Estudiantes2119231578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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