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Estepona W vs Araski W Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game64.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#16
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game75.7
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 15
Women2026-27
Meetings · Estepona W v Araski W
29 Dec 2026
ESTE v ARAS
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ESTE74
ARAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Araski W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
49-90
49
90
-41
28avg 63
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
65-76
65
76
-11
47avg 63
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
71-76
71
76
-5
61avg 63
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
41-68
41
68
-27
24avg 63
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 63
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 63
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 63
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
70-52
70
52
+18
70avg 63
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
W
70-55
70
55
+15
no box
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
53-69
53
69
-16
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
4-19
24-19
9-22
25-25
13-16
16-13
11-22
16-25
14-17
24-14
17-20
8-22
11-16
9-11
13-19
14-17
20-11
25-10
23-17
23-19
17-19
18-20
14-26
21-28
22-16
21-15
17-8
17-16
14-15
15-9
24-12
14-17
20-16
19-7
17-15
12-20
16-17
18-19
7-13
134.6Avg total
65.4Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)67.064.3131.3+2.757%
Season at home (3)77.759.0136.7+18.7100%
Season away (4)59.068.2127.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)65.469.2134.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)69.265.4134.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.676.9139.5-14.317%
vs Similar (8)72.468.0140.4+4.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.568.7148.2+10.870%
This opponent (Araski W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Araski WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
L
54-61
54
61
-7
35avg 54
A12/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
86-66
86
66
+20
83avg 54
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
80avg 54
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 54
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
L
45-76
45
76
-31
34avg 54
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
L
63-76
63
76
-13
59avg 54
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
L
57-67
57
67
-10
43avg 54
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#11
L
58-63
58
63
-5
45avg 54
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#14
L
56-75
56
75
-19
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
13-12
9-17
19-13
24-18
18-19
26-11
18-18
19-17
20-21
21-26
17-10
22-21
20-22
16-14
19-25
17-15
10-30
7-11
11-20
18-17
11-19
23-25
11-15
12-17
21-21
8-15
16-14
14-16
16-14
14-17
14-16
21-26
13-22
21-19
14-24
7-17
18-20
11-23
20-15
137.3Avg total
64.2Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)60.775.7136.4-15.00%
Season at home (3)57.078.0135.0-21.00%
Season away (4)63.574.0137.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)64.273.1137.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)60.674.4135.0-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)65.574.7140.2-9.228%
vs Similar (3)61.774.0135.7-12.30%
vs Weaker (2)77.078.0155.0-1.050%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Estepona WAraski W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zaragoza W
#1
L
16-49
16
49
-33
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#22
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
69.4Avg total
31.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.237.972.1-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.337.172.4-1.838%-
Last 30 away (14)33.038.771.7-5.729%-
Last 10 (10)31.338.169.4-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.340.870.1-11.417%-
vs Similar (8)36.435.071.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.436.775.1+1.740%-
This opponent (Araski W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Araski WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A12/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#15
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#11
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Mallorca Palma W
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H31/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#14
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
71.0Avg total
32.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.439.872.3-7.413%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.441.374.7-7.914%-
Last 30 away (16)31.638.670.1-7.012%-
Last 10 (10)32.738.371.0-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)30.237.868.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)32.639.872.4-7.216%-
vs Similar (3)29.337.066.3-7.70%-
vs Weaker (2)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.215.8
44.9%
46.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
30.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.710.3
75.2%
74.7%10.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Araski Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Araski W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.315.6
41.8%
46.9%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.0
31.0%
30.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws13.69.6
70.6%
74.7%9.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
LWWWLWLLLL
Araski W
LLLLLLLWWL
#7
League position
#16
-8.6
Net rating
-9.9
94.0
Offensive rating
93.0
102.5
Defensive rating
102.9
45.7%
Effective FG%
43.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
3.7%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.2%
3-point %
31.0%
59.3%
Assist %
62.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 93.0Defence102.5 · 102.9Shooting45.7% · 43.7%3-point %31.2% · 31.0%Ball care3.7% · 0.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Estepona W   ■ Araski W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estepona W wins
1
Araski W wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Estepona W v Araski W74-77
06/12/25Araski W v Estepona W71-91
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AMallorca Palma W53-69
31/10/26HUni Girona W70-55
24/10/26AEstudiantes W70-52
17/10/26HPerfumerias Avenida W81-67
11/10/26AFerrol W72-84
08/10/26HEnsino W82-55
04/10/26AZaragoza W41-68
30/09/26ASan Giovanni W71-76
24/09/26HSan Giovanni W65-76
03/05/26AZaragoza W49-90
Araski Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ACelta W56-75
31/10/26HMallorca Palma W69-91
24/10/26ALeganes W58-63
17/10/26HUni Girona W57-67
11/10/26AEnsino W63-76
08/10/26HEstudiantes W45-76
04/10/26AFerrol W77-82
25/04/26AEstepona W77-74
18/04/26HFerrol W86-66
12/04/26AJairis W54-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game67.077.759.0
Allowed / game64.359.068.2
Point differential+2.7+18.7-9.2
Avg total131.3136.7127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Araski W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.757.063.5
Allowed / game75.778.074.0
Point differential-15.0-21.0-10.5
Avg total136.4135.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W770100%83.059.7+23.3
2 Valencia W76186%82.164.9+17.3
3 Mallorca Palma W76186%78.164.9+13.3
4 Jairis W76186%72.661.4+11.1
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W75271%70.164.6+5.6
6 Ferrol W75271%72.975.7-2.9
7 Estepona W74357%67.064.3+2.7
8 Cadi La Seu W74357%64.165.4-1.3
9 Gernika Bizkaia W74357%77.380.3-3.0
10 Perfumerias Avenida W72529%71.475.6-4.1
11 Leganes W72529%61.769.4-7.7
12 Estudiantes W72529%66.775.1-8.4
13 Uni Girona W71614%66.171.1-5.0
14 Celta W71614%65.977.4-11.6
15 Ensino W71614%60.975.1-14.3
16 Araski W7070%60.775.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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