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Zaragoza W vs Estepona W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-49
30-12 19-4 19-24 22-9
Position#1
Record28-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#9
Record14-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game74.5
SpainLiga Femenina WLiga Femenina Women - Quarter-finals· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Women2025-26
Meetings · Zaragoza W v Estepona W
04 Oct 2026
ZARA68
ESTE41
03 May 2026
ZARA90
ESTE49
11 Jan 2026
ZARA62
ESTE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zaragoza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estepona W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zaragoza WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
101-56
101
56
+45
H22/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H08/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A11/04
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#6
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A15/04
Euroleague Women
Galatasaray W
#2
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A17/04
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#8
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H19/04
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#10
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A23/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#9
W
84-68
84
68
+16
A30/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
28-12
32-17
19-15
18-20
20-11
25-15
21-13
18-14
23-17
12-11
20-8
16-15
18-18
16-17
19-17
19-18
16-8
27-14
7-13
4-24
16-13
14-12
22-14
17-15
17-21
23-12
9-15
25-22
15-18
16-16
24-16
23-14
21-12
21-16
26-23
21-17
22-14
18-20
23-17
138.9Avg total
77.3Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.266.0145.2+13.290%
Season at home (15)79.363.7143.1+15.693%
Season away (16)79.068.1147.1+10.988%
Last 10 (10)77.361.6138.9+15.790%
Last 5 (5)75.466.2141.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.566.0127.5-4.50%
vs Similar (8)74.065.9139.9+8.188%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.561.9140.3+16.695%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
106-78
106
78
+28
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
8-24
22-15
13-10
17-22
9-21
22-21
17-27
16-20
23-17
16-20
17-23
30-13
17-20
15-18
19-25
19-8
11-24
11-18
21-3
27-19
31-16
29-23
19-20
17-14
15-24
34-8
24-20
21-17
14-15
21-13
18-24
17-19
21-20
26-21
10-17
17-21
14-22
20-18
17-23
152.1Avg total
77.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.474.5146.9-2.245%
Season at home (16)71.072.2143.2-1.250%
Season away (15)73.877.0150.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)77.175.0152.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)82.474.8157.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.576.4142.9-9.920%
vs Similar (14)72.172.9145.0-0.957%
vs Weaker (6)85.274.2159.3+11.067%
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
Zaragoza WEstepona W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zaragoza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H22/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/04
Liga Femenina W
Leganes W
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/04
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#6
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/04
Euroleague Women
Galatasaray W
#2
L
20-37
20
37
-17
A17/04
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H19/04
Euroleague Women
Estudiantes W
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A23/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/04
Liga Femenina W
69.4Avg total
37.9Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.232.670.7+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.631.971.5+7.871%-
Last 30 away (16)36.933.270.1+3.762%-
Last 10 (10)37.931.569.4+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.070.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.042.069.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.233.072.2+6.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.931.470.3+7.470%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/02
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H28/02
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A22/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A08/04
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
73.8Avg total
36.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.275.0-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.638.473.0-3.827%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.977.1+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.273.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.840.672.4-8.830%-
vs Similar (14)38.336.374.6+2.050%-
vs Weaker (6)42.038.580.5+3.533%-
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zaragoza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zaragoza W: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.3
53.1%
46.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.210.1
71.1%
74.2%10.1
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.2
47.0%
46.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.2
36.8%
32.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.1
74.4%
74.2%13.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zaragoza W
WWWWLWWWWW
Estepona W
LLWWWWWLLW
#1
League position
#9
+21.4
Net rating
+2.9
104.1
Offensive rating
107.3
82.7
Defensive rating
104.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
41.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
5.8%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
36.8%
70.2%
Assist %
62.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 107.3Defence82.7 · 104.3Shooting51.5% · 50.2%3-point %32.7% · 36.8%Ball care5.8% · 0.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Zaragoza W   ■ Estepona W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zaragoza W wins
0
Estepona W wins
DateGameScore
30/04/26Estepona W v Zaragoza W68-84
11/01/26Zaragoza W v Estepona W62-59
23/11/25Estepona W v Zaragoza W70-75
Zaragoza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26AEstepona W84-68
25/04/26HCadi La Seu W91-65
23/04/26AEstudiantes W80-72
19/04/26HUni Girona W66-63
17/04/26AGalatasaray W56-63
15/04/26ALandes W69-53
11/04/26AFerrol W69-67
08/04/26HLeganes W73-50
04/04/26AAraski W84-59
22/03/26HGran Canaria W101-56
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HZaragoza W68-84
25/04/26HAraski W74-77
19/04/26AJoventut Badalona W74-69
11/04/26HCadi La Seu W90-66
08/04/26AGran Canaria W106-78
04/04/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W62-53
22/03/26AGernika Bizkaia W81-76
06/03/26HEstudiantes W72-80
28/02/26HPerfumerias Avenida W65-91
22/02/26AJairis W79-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zaragoza W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %90%93%88%
Points / game79.279.379.0
Allowed / game66.063.768.1
Point differential+13.2+15.6+10.9
Avg total145.2143.1147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%60%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game72.471.073.8
Allowed / game74.572.277.0
Point differential-2.2-1.2-3.2
Avg total146.9143.2150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W3128390%79.266.0+13.2
2 Uni Girona W3225778%82.268.0+14.2
3 Valencia W3223972%76.466.0+10.4
4 Jairis W31191261%73.266.4+6.8
5 Perfumerias Avenida W31191261%69.667.7+1.9
6 Ensino W32161650%73.272.8+0.4
7 Leganes W32151747%69.169.5-0.4
8 Ferrol W30141647%71.273.7-2.5
9 Estepona W31141745%72.474.5-2.2
10 Estudiantes W30121840%75.876.5-0.6
11 IDK Gipuzkoa W30121840%65.468.0-2.6
12 Gernika Bizkaia W30121840%74.577.3-2.8
13 Joventut Badalona W30111937%71.474.3-2.8
14 Cadi La Seu W30111937%67.975.3-7.4
15 Araski W30111937%65.773.4-7.7
16 Gran Canaria W3032710%70.290.3-20.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zaragoza W3019192290
Estepona W12424949
← all games of the day
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