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Estepona W vs Zaragoza W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game60.0
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 25
Women2026-27
Meetings · Estepona W v Zaragoza W
13 Mar 2027
ESTE v ZARA
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
ESTE68
ZARA84
23 Nov 2025
ESTE70
ZARA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estepona W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zaragoza W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estepona WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Araski W
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
49-90
49
90
-41
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#24
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#24
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
41-68
41
68
-27
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#14
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
21-20
26-21
10-17
17-21
14-22
20-18
17-23
12-30
4-19
24-19
9-22
25-25
13-16
16-13
11-22
16-25
14-17
24-14
17-20
8-22
11-16
9-11
13-19
14-17
20-11
25-10
23-17
23-19
17-19
18-20
14-26
21-28
22-16
21-15
17-8
17-16
14-15
15-9
24-12
140.2Avg total
67.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.265.2134.4+4.060%
Season at home (2)81.561.0142.5+20.5100%
Season away (3)61.068.0129.0-7.033%
Last 10 (10)67.372.9140.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)69.265.2134.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)63.577.6141.1-14.218%
vs Similar (9)71.069.9140.9+1.167%
vs Weaker (10)81.670.3151.9+11.370%
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H14/05
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A17/05
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#6
W
68-41
68
41
+27
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
108-72
108
72
+36
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#16
W
83-52
83
52
+31
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#11
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#14
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Athinaikos W
#19
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#6
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
7-22
19-16
24-22
22-18
14-15
17-18
14-17
22-8
16-11
11-9
19-13
21-15
28-16
34-26
25-15
13-12
23-11
25-18
22-11
25-14
13-20
19-20
11-14
24-18
27-21
19-13
25-12
25-12
21-23
20-23
23-20
20-13
23-19
21-24
19-15
25-22
20-9
18-6
14-18
147.6Avg total
81.9Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.460.0147.4+27.4100%
Season at home (2)81.552.5134.0+29.0100%
Season away (3)91.365.0156.3+26.3100%
Last 10 (10)81.965.7147.6+16.280%
Last 5 (5)84.068.6152.6+15.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.063.0119.0-7.00%
vs Similar (8)73.566.9140.4+6.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.763.7146.4+19.090%
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
Estepona WZaragoza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estepona WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Araski W
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
16-49
16
49
-33
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#24
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/09
EuroCup Women
San Giovanni W
#24
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A30/09
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A04/10
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#14
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H08/10
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A24/10
Liga Femenina W
71.3Avg total
32.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.138.173.3-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.437.472.8-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)34.938.973.7-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)32.039.371.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.869.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.541.170.5-11.618%-
vs Similar (9)36.735.672.2+1.144%-
vs Weaker (10)40.037.277.2+2.840%-
This opponent (Zaragoza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H14/05
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/05
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#6
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A07/10
Liga Femenina W
Celta W
#16
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Landes W
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#14
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H17/10
Liga Femenina W
Athinaikos W
#19
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A21/10
Euroleague Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Kibirkstis Vilnius W
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H29/10
Euroleague Women
73.2Avg total
41.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.831.971.7+7.977%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.430.672.1+10.879%-
Last 30 away (16)38.433.071.4+5.475%-
Last 10 (10)41.232.073.2+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.278.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.037.057.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (8)38.433.672.0+4.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.331.072.3+10.381%-
This opponent (Estepona W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estepona Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estepona W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.215.8
44.9%
46.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
30.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.710.3
75.2%
74.7%10.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zaragoza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zaragoza W: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.1
52.5%
46.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
30.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.4
75.0%
74.7%14.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estepona W
WWLWLLLLLL
Zaragoza W
WWWWWWWWLL
#6
League position
#1
-8.6
Net rating
+21.4
94.0
Offensive rating
108.3
102.5
Defensive rating
86.9
45.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
3.7%
Turnover %
4.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.2%
3-point %
34.2%
59.3%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 108.3Defence102.5 · 86.9Shooting45.7% · 52.0%3-point %31.2% · 34.2%Ball care3.7% · 4.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Estepona W   ■ Zaragoza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estepona W wins
5
Zaragoza W wins
DateGameScore
04/10/26Zaragoza W v Estepona W68-41
03/05/26Zaragoza W v Estepona W90-49
30/04/26Estepona W v Zaragoza W68-84
11/01/26Zaragoza W v Estepona W62-59
23/11/25Estepona W v Zaragoza W70-75
Estepona Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AEstudiantes W70-52
17/10/26HPerfumerias Avenida W81-67
11/10/26AFerrol W72-84
08/10/26HEnsino W82-55
04/10/26AZaragoza W41-68
30/09/26ASan Giovanni W71-76
24/09/26HSan Giovanni W65-76
03/05/26AZaragoza W49-90
30/04/26HZaragoza W68-84
25/04/26HAraski W74-77
Zaragoza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HKibirkstis Vilnius W77-55
25/10/26APerfumerias Avenida W83-71
21/10/26AAthinaikos W89-78
17/10/26HEnsino W95-64
14/10/26HLandes W76-75 OT
11/10/26ACelta W83-52
07/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W108-72
04/10/26HEstepona W68-41
17/05/26AValencia W67-68
14/05/26HValencia W73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estepona W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game69.281.561.0
Allowed / game65.261.068.0
Point differential+4.0+20.5-7.0
Avg total134.4142.5129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zaragoza W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.481.591.3
Allowed / game60.052.565.0
Point differential+27.4+29.0+26.3
Avg total147.4134.0156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W550100%87.460.0+27.4
2 Valencia W54180%82.864.8+18.0
3 Mallorca Palma W54180%77.466.4+11.0
4 Jairis W54180%69.459.8+9.6
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W54180%66.458.2+8.2
6 Estepona W53260%69.265.2+4.0
7 Cadi La Seu W53260%65.467.6-2.2
8 Ferrol W53260%70.676.2-5.6
9 Perfumerias Avenida W52340%70.872.2-1.4
10 Estudiantes W52340%66.671.4-4.8
11 Leganes W52340%63.468.8-5.4
12 Gernika Bizkaia W52340%73.685.8-12.2
13 Uni Girona W51420%66.069.6-3.6
14 Ensino W51420%61.477.4-16.0
15 Araski W5050%60.072.8-12.8
16 Celta W5050%66.881.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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