PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Estonia vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-87
18-18 29-23 14-18 20-28
Position#34
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game64.0
EuropeEuroBasket
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H02/07
World Cup
Belgium
#1
L
60-98
60
98
-38
H06/09
Friendly International
Belgium
#1
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#12
L
43-86
43
86
-43
H13/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A16/09
World Cup
Georgia
#43
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H30/11
World Cup
Germany
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A03/12
World Cup
Serbia
#18
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H21/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A24/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
14-20
21-21
8-22
23-30
16-23
12-19
9-26
14-20
12-19
11-9
18-20
15-26
9-23
6-24
13-13
16-22
13-23
11-29
25-17
19-22
13-19
17-16
24-23
19-21
8-20
12-20
31-26
14-16
17-18
18-20
22-16
21-27
27-15
12-20
24-15
20-18
25-5
15-23
21-26
146.5Avg total
65.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.880.7146.5-14.930%
Last 5 (5)75.877.2153.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)67.380.7148.0-13.431%
vs Similar (6)73.575.2148.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (2)72.562.5135.0+10.050%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A02/12
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
75-41
75
41
+34
H22/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A25/02
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
108-62
108
62
+46
A31/08
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H04/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
A08/09
World Cup
Russia
#6
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H20/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
22-11
11-18
17-12
18-31
23-21
24-21
13-21
15-9
19-6
18-18
23-8
16-26
13-21
22-14
22-25
37-8
25-16
23-15
23-23
25-11
19-10
26-21
22-19
23-28
19-22
15-20
20-22
18-18
13-12
17-20
12-17
13-24
13-22
24-18
33-19
26-24
15-9
21-18
21-13
153.1Avg total
81.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.072.1153.1+8.960%
Last 5 (5)81.274.6155.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.680.2149.8-10.620%
vs Similar (6)71.871.5143.3+0.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.466.3146.7+14.179%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
EstoniaItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H02/07
World Cup
Belgium
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H06/09
Friendly International
Belgium
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#12
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H13/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A16/09
World Cup
Georgia
#43
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/11
World Cup
Germany
#12
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A03/12
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H21/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A24/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A20/02
EuroBasket
73.0Avg total
32.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)35.038.373.4-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.538.873.3-4.436%-
Last 30 away (10)35.737.873.5-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)32.840.273.0-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.272.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.539.872.3-7.223%-
vs Similar (6)39.237.376.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (2)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A02/12
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
34-15
34
15
+19
H22/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A25/02
World Cup
Philippines
#46
W
62-24
62
24
+38
A31/08
World Cup
Angola
#25
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H04/09
World Cup
Spain
#1
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#13
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A08/09
World Cup
Russia
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/02
EuroBasket
74.5Avg total
39.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.373.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.175.3+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)36.335.471.8+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.374.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.072.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.043.278.2-8.220%-
vs Similar (6)37.035.872.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.333.172.3+6.268%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia wins
0
Italy wins
No previous meetings.
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/20ANorth Macedonia81-72
24/02/19AGeorgia84-77
21/02/19HSerbia71-70
03/12/18AGermany70-87
30/11/18HGeorgia73-80
16/09/18ASerbia65-91
13/09/18HGermany43-86
07/09/18HBelgium55-68
06/09/18HBelgium60-98
02/07/18HGreece56-78
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/20HRussia83-64
08/09/19APuerto Rico94-89 OT
06/09/19ASpain60-67
04/09/19HSerbia77-92
02/09/19HAngola92-61
31/08/19APhilippines108-62
25/02/19ALithuania73-86
22/02/19HHungary75-41
02/12/18APoland78-94
29/11/18HLithuania70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game72.0-72.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Italy
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+19.0+19.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Italy110100%83.064.0+19.0
2 Croatia110100%72.056.0+16.0
3 Belgium550100%78.263.6+14.6
4 Germany110100%83.069.0+14.0
5 Spain110100%84.071.0+13.0
6 Greece110100%73.063.0+10.0
7 Estonia110100%81.072.0+9.0
8 Montenegro110100%81.074.0+7.0
9 Netherlands110100%72.065.0+7.0
10 Georgia220100%95.089.0+6.0
11 Czech Republic110100%75.071.0+4.0
12 Israel110100%75.071.0+4.0
13 Hungary220100%69.567.5+2.0
14 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%62.061.0+1.0
15 Great Britain97278%81.069.0+12.0
16 Romania97278%79.473.3+6.1
17 Denmark1310377%80.573.8+6.7
18 North Macedonia106460%75.973.3+2.6
19 Serbia21150%85.076.0+9.0
20 Ukraine21150%74.067.5+6.5
21 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
22 Slovenia21150%80.077.5+2.5
23 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
24 Austria63350%79.278.8+0.3
25 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
26 Russia21150%70.575.0-4.5
27 Switzerland94544%82.683.3-0.8
28 Sweden52340%70.870.8+0.0
29 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
30 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
31 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
32 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
33 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
34 Latvia1010%61.062.0-1.0
35 Poland1010%71.075.0-4.0
36 Turkey1010%65.072.0-7.0
37 Bulgaria1010%63.073.0-10.0
38 France1010%69.083.0-14.0
39 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
40 Lithuania1010%65.086.0-21.0
41 Finland1010%58.080.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia1829142081
Italy1823182887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.