Estudiantes vs Manresa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 95-90

28-24 17-20 23-21 27-25

Position#11

Record11-16

FormWLWWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game82.4

Estudiantes 🏆

Manresa

Position#17

Record4-22

FormLWLLL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game85.9

ACBRound 29

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Estudiantes v Manresa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Manresa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

69-76

-7

A20/03

Liga A

Atenas

#16

94-95

-1

A22/03

Liga A

Baskonia

70-76

-6

H26/03

ACB

Gimnasia

#11

81-69

+12

H30/03

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

83-87

-4

A02/04

ACB

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

106-81

106

+25

A04/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

60-64

-4

H08/04

Liga A

Murcia

109-84

109

+25

H09/04

ACB

Hispano Americano

#17

75-67

A12/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

92-84

A14/04

Liga A

20-13

16-19

8-24

25-20

19-18

16-24

23-20

36-33

20-12

8-22

22-22

20-20

17-23

20-12

25-19

19-15

20-22

20-13

21-21

22-31

32-13

19-14

27-25

28-29

16-14

8-14

17-16

19-20

28-30

22-19

27-17

32-18

18-20

19-12

25-16

13-19

24-18

18-29

26-18

24-19

162.2Avg total

83.9Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.5	82.4	163.9	-0.9	41%
Season at home (14)	83.4	82.2	165.6	+1.1	57%
Season away (13)	79.5	82.6	162.1	-3.2	23%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	78.3	162.2	+5.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	76.0	164.4	+12.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.6	77.0	149.6	-4.4	40%
vs Similar (10)	77.7	75.7	153.4	+2.0	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	85.1	75.8	160.9	+9.3	80%

This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Manresa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#16

91-86

H22/01

ACB

Murcia

63-73

-10

H29/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

75-89

-14

A04/02

ACB

Barcelona

72-92

-20

A12/02

ACB

Bilbao

#10

79-86

-7

H26/02

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

77-85

-8

A04/03

ACB

Baskonia

87-82

H12/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

76-95

-19

A19/03

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#12

82-90

-8

H26/03

ACB

Valencia

73-94

-21

H09/04

ACB

26-13

24-24

21-30

20-19

16-19

15-20

14-23

18-11

21-29

16-20

22-15

16-25

23-33

18-22

20-18

11-19

16-21

22-26

20-22

21-17

29-19

17-17

22-22

9-27

12-16

28-14

30-23

17-29

20-29

23-22

14-21

19-23

21-27

19-19

23-16

19-28

12-24

17-18

21-32

23-20

164.7Avg total

77.5Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	73.8	85.9	159.7	-12.1	15%
Season at home (14)	76.1	83.7	159.9	-7.6	21%
Season away (12)	71.0	88.4	159.4	-17.4	8%
Last 10 (10)	77.5	87.2	164.7	-9.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	89.2	168.2	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	73.6	85.3	158.9	-11.7	14%
vs Similar (2)	71.5	76.0	147.5	-4.5	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesManresa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.3	39.1	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.3	39.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.0	42.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	18.0	34.2	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	21.9	39.2	-4.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.1	20.5	36.6	-4.4	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	23.6	42.1	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	17.1	22.4	39.5	-5.2	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.5	16.0	34.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	17.5	33.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.6	16.1	31.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.9	36.1	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	18.0	32.8	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	14.7	15.6	30.3	-0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.7	37.9	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	19.1	36.0	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

36-32

A20/03

Liga A

Atenas

#16

35-42

-7

A22/03

Liga A

Baskonia

28-34

-6

H26/03

ACB

Gimnasia

#11

37-35

H30/03

Liga A

MoraBanc Andorra

40-35

A02/04

ACB

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

51-27

+24

A04/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

24-28

-4

H08/04

Liga A

Murcia

50-49

H09/04

ACB

Hispano Americano

#17

37-32

A12/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

42-47

-5

A14/04

Liga A

74.1Avg total

38.0Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	35.8	73.3	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	34.5	70.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	37.1	75.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	36.1	74.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.6	77.4	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	31.0	36.0	67.0	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.7	35.6	72.3	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.3	35.8	76.1	+4.5	73%	-

This opponent (Manresa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

#16

50-37

+13

H22/01

ACB

Murcia

31-39

-8

H29/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

37-49

-12

A04/02

ACB

Barcelona

41-55

-14

A12/02

ACB

Bilbao

#10

38-47

-9

H26/02

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

46-36

+10

A04/03

ACB

Baskonia

40-30

+10

H12/03

ACB

Gran Canaria

43-51

-8

A19/03

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#12

40-46

-6

H26/03

ACB

Valencia

29-42

-13

H09/04

ACB

82.7Avg total

39.5Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	41.6	77.1	-6.1	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.6	40.6	76.2	-5.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	42.7	78.1	-7.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	43.2	82.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	41.0	80.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	35.2	42.1	77.4	-6.9	14%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	34.0	73.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.4	42.8	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.9	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.8	39.3	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	20.9	40.2	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.7	38.1	-3.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	39%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.1	41.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.9	20.9	43.8	+1.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	22.6	40.6	-4.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.8	39.1	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	25.4	42.8	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.7	81.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	38.3	81.4	+4.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	41.1	82.4	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	42.2	88.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	39.4	87.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.8	39.6	79.4	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	44.8	40.0	84.8	+4.8	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	42.2	79.8	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	41.3	80.8	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	43.3	78.7	-7.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	44.0	82.0	-6.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	48.2	87.6	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	37.9	42.2	80.2	-4.3	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	32.5	42.0	74.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Manresa wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/16	Manresa v Estudiantes	77-75
14/02/16	Estudiantes v Manresa	86-57
18/10/15	Manresa v Estudiantes	85-67
17/05/15	Manresa v Estudiantes	81-75
11/01/15	Estudiantes v Manresa	78-73
06/04/14	Manresa v Estudiantes	74-81
30/11/13	Estudiantes v Manresa	104-103 OT
31/03/13	Estudiantes v Manresa	90-75
25/11/12	Manresa v Estudiantes	98-89
29/04/12	Manresa v Estudiantes	78-75

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/17	A	Gimnasia	92-84
12/04/17	A	Hispano Americano	75-67
09/04/17	H	Murcia	109-84
08/04/17	H	Obras Sanitarias	60-64
04/04/17	A	Atletico Echague Parana	106-81
02/04/17	A	MoraBanc Andorra	83-87
30/03/17	H	Gimnasia	81-69
26/03/17	H	Baskonia	70-76
22/03/17	A	Atenas	94-95
20/03/17	A	Instituto de Cordoba	69-76

Manresalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/04/17	H	Valencia	73-94
26/03/17	H	Fuenlabrada	82-90
19/03/17	A	Gran Canaria	76-95
12/03/17	H	Baskonia	87-82
04/03/17	A	MoraBanc Andorra	77-85
26/02/17	H	Bilbao	79-86
12/02/17	A	Barcelona	72-92
04/02/17	A	Obradoiro CAB	75-89
29/01/17	H	Murcia	63-73
22/01/17	H	Real Betis	91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	41%
Home	WWLLW	57%
Away	LWLWL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	41%	57%	23%
Points / game	81.5	83.4	79.5
Allowed / game	82.4	82.2	82.6
Point differential	-0.9	+1.1	-3.2
Avg total	163.9	165.6	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	29%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	100% (3)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Manresa

ACB 2016-17

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	15%
Home	LLWLL	21%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	15%	21%	8%
Points / game	73.8	76.1	71.0
Allowed / game	85.9	83.7	88.4
Point differential	-12.1	-7.6	-17.4
Avg total	159.7	159.9	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	43% (7)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	27	20	7	74%	87.1	78.3	+8.8
2	Valencia	26	19	7	73%	82.7	75.1	+7.6
3	Tenerife	27	19	8	70%	77.4	71.1	+6.3
4	Baskonia	27	19	8	70%	84.7	78.5	+6.2
5	Barcelona	26	18	8	69%	83.3	77.3	+6.0
6	Gran Canaria	28	18	10	64%	84.8	76.2	+8.6
7	Unicaja	25	16	9	64%	81.9	77.7	+4.2
8	MoraBanc Andorra	26	14	12	54%	82.5	84.1	-1.6
9	Bilbao	26	13	13	50%	78.1	80.7	-2.5
10	Fuenlabrada	26	11	15	42%	79.4	83.9	-4.5
11	Estudiantes	27	11	16	41%	81.5	82.4	-0.9
12	Murcia	26	10	16	38%	79.3	81.1	-1.8
13	Joventut Badalona	27	9	18	33%	76.6	80.4	-3.8
14	Obradoiro CAB	26	8	18	31%	75.5	83.2	-7.7
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	27	8	19	30%	78.9	84.1	-5.3
16	Real Betis	27	8	19	30%	75.7	83.7	-8.0
17	Manresa	26	4	22	15%	73.8	85.9	-12.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	28	17	23	27	95
Manresa	24	20	21	25	90

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Manresa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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