Estudiantes vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Feb 2022

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 76-66

17-18 20-11 26-20 13-17

Position#2

Record13-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game71.6

Estudiantes 🏆

Melilla

Position#13

Record7-7

FormWLLWL

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game78.1

Primera FEBRound 19

Other2021-22

Meetings · Estudiantes v Melilla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

78-66

+12

A10/11

Primera FEB

Almansa

#15

94-67

+27

H14/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

71-62

A19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

81-60

+21

H05/12

Primera FEB

Granada

58-69

-11

A11/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

88-80

H17/12

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

88-80

H16/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#18

70-59

+11

H19/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

75-67

A23/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

75-81

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

16-17

18-14

19-16

25-19

24-16

32-15

23-17

15-19

16-15

14-17

13-15

28-15

17-16

12-16

26-15

26-13

10-21

21-19

11-14

16-15

19-20

20-19

22-22

27-19

22-16

23-25

20-22

23-17

15-16

21-14

13-13

21-16

16-16

16-23

24-19

19-9

19-17

23-26

11-17

22-21

146.9Avg total

77.8Scored

69.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	79.0	71.6	150.6	+7.4	81%
Season at home (8)	85.8	72.4	158.1	+13.4	100%
Season away (8)	72.2	70.8	143.0	+1.5	62%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	69.1	146.9	+8.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	73.4	152.6	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	86.2	94.1	180.3	-7.9	22%
vs Similar (7)	84.7	88.1	172.9	-3.4	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	79.9	71.1	151.0	+8.7	86%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prat Joventut

#16

81-97

-16

A30/10

Primera FEB

Castello

58-75

-17

H05/11

Primera FEB

Almansa

#15

70-89

-19

A09/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

75-67

H14/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

72-68

A19/11

Primera FEB

Granada

89-77

+12

H05/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

69-95

-26

A12/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#10

71-79

-8

H17/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

79-78

H16/01

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

#17

82-89 OT

-7

H28/01

Primera FEB

23-30

17-19

23-26

18-22

14-24

18-18

14-18

12-15

21-20

19-22

18-18

12-29

13-16

22-26

21-9

19-16

21-12

14-20

20-19

17-17

20-27

20-17

25-14

24-19

16-31

11-16

20-24

22-24

14-22

23-26

26-17

8-14

19-18

13-23

25-18

22-19

16-18

21-19

22-17

17-22

156.0Avg total

74.6Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	74.3	78.1	152.4	-3.8	50%
Season at home (8)	75.1	76.0	151.1	-0.9	50%
Season away (6)	73.2	80.8	154.0	-7.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	81.4	156.0	-6.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	83.6	161.6	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	75.4	81.0	156.4	-5.6	44%
vs Similar (19)	73.5	76.3	149.7	-2.8	42%
vs Weaker (2)	96.0	88.0	184.0	+8.0	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesMelilla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.0	40.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.6	41.9	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.0	34.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	26.4	47.2	-5.7	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.1	39.7	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	23.2	40.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.7	21.6	40.2	-2.9	22%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	24.5	57.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.6	42.9	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	25.1	47.1	-3.1	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	24.9	45.4	-4.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	44%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.4	19.6	38.1	-1.2	21%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	50%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

34-31

A10/11

Primera FEB

Almansa

#15

56-31

+25

H14/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

30-32

-2

A19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

29-32

-3

H05/12

Primera FEB

Granada

31-40

-9

A11/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-39

H17/12

Primera FEB

Basquet Girona

45-41

H16/01

Primera FEB

Huesca

#18

36-30

H19/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

32-39

-7

A23/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-43

-1

A28/01

Primera FEB

73.2Avg total

37.4Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	43.1	83.1	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	46.1	84.8	-7.5	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	35.8	73.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	38.4	77.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	42.8	51.6	94.3	-8.8	11%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.6	45.0	84.6	-5.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.4	36.8	75.1	+1.6	43%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Prat Joventut

#16

40-49

-9

A30/10

Primera FEB

Castello

32-42

-10

H05/11

Primera FEB

Almansa

#15

40-42

-2

A09/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

35-42

-7

H14/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#11

35-32

A19/11

Primera FEB

Granada

40-44

-4

H05/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

27-47

-20

A12/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

#10

37-48

-11

H17/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

32-41

-9

H16/01

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

#17

37-37

H28/01

Primera FEB

77.9Avg total

35.5Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.1	76.6	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.9	39.1	76.1	-2.2	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	39.1	77.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	42.4	77.9	-6.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	43.4	78.0	-8.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.7	39.7	75.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.6	26%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	41.5	91.5	+8.5	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.3	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.3	36.6	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.7	18.6	39.2	+2.1	56%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	12.5	24.0	36.5	-11.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	17.9	39.6	+3.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	16.3	38.5	+5.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.4	38.8	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.7	20.8	40.4	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.1	22.0	45.1	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.9	16.6	38.4	+5.3	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	20.6	37.9	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.7	36.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.8	21.7	39.4	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	16.0	39.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	38.0	79.2	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	39.3	81.6	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	36.5	76.4	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	33.3	73.7	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	35.0	75.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.4	40.9	80.3	-1.4	44%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.1	43.1	88.3	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.3	33.6	73.9	+6.7	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	38.1	75.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	36.6	75.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.6	39.9	74.5	-5.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.7	76.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	37.6	79.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.4	40.2	78.7	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	36.2	36.9	73.1	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	40.0	76.0	-4.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Melilla wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/21	Melilla v Estudiantes	63-76

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/22	A	Forca Lleida	75-81
23/01/22	A	Oviedo	75-67
19/01/22	H	Huesca	70-59
16/01/22	H	Basquet Girona	88-80
17/12/21	H	Leyma Coruna	88-80
11/12/21	A	Granada	58-69
05/12/21	H	Real Valladolid	81-60
19/11/21	A	Caceres	71-62
14/11/21	H	Almansa	94-67
10/11/21	A	Castello	78-66

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/22	H	Fibwi Palma	82-89 OT
16/01/22	H	Oviedo	79-78
17/12/21	H	Gipuzkoa	71-79
12/12/21	A	Leyma Coruna	69-95
05/12/21	H	Granada	89-77
19/11/21	A	Real Valladolid	72-68
14/11/21	H	Caceres	75-67
09/11/21	A	Almansa	70-89
05/11/21	H	Castello	58-75
30/10/21	A	Prat Joventut	81-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2021-22

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	81%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	81%	100%	62%
Points / game	79.0	85.8	72.2
Allowed / game	71.6	72.4	70.8
Point differential	+7.4	+13.4	+1.5
Avg total	150.6	158.1	143.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Melilla

Primera FEB 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	WLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	74.3	75.1	73.2
Allowed / game	78.1	76.0	80.8
Point differential	-3.8	-0.9	-7.7
Avg total	152.4	151.1	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	16	13	3	81%	79.0	71.6	+7.4
2	Granada	18	14	4	78%	81.9	73.6	+8.3
3	Forca Lleida	15	11	4	73%	83.8	80.5	+3.3
4	Oviedo	17	10	7	59%	78.0	75.1	+2.9
5	Castello	17	10	7	59%	78.4	78.7	-0.3
6	Palencia	14	8	6	57%	81.2	77.9	+3.3
7	Leyma Coruna	16	9	7	56%	83.4	77.9	+5.5
8	Caceres	18	10	8	56%	73.1	76.7	-3.6
9	Gipuzkoa	17	9	8	53%	80.7	78.2	+2.5
10	Almansa	17	9	8	53%	82.2	82.2	-0.1
11	Alicante	16	8	8	50%	83.2	77.8	+5.4
12	Melilla	14	7	7	50%	74.3	78.1	-3.8
13	Real Valladolid	17	7	10	41%	76.4	80.4	-4.0
14	Prat Joventut	18	7	11	39%	78.6	79.2	-0.6
15	Basquet Girona	16	6	10	38%	75.8	75.4	+0.4
16	Iraurgi SB	16	6	10	38%	76.4	79.7	-3.2
17	Fibwi Palma	17	2	15	12%	71.3	79.4	-8.1
18	Huesca	17	2	15	12%	72.8	87.2	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	17	20	26	13	76
Melilla	18	11	20	17	66

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Estudiantes vs Melilla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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