Estudiantes vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 85-72

18-25 28-20 18-9 21-18

Position#4

Record23-9

FormLWWWW

Points / game84.2

Allowed / game76.7

Estudiantes 🏆

Melilla

Position#16

Record10-22

FormLLLLW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game81.9

Primera FEBRound 33· WiZink Center

Other2023-24

Meetings · Estudiantes v Melilla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

88-114

114

-26

75avg 78

A08/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-83

+15

97avg 78

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

65-75

-10

52avg 78

A16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

71-92

-21

60avg 78

A23/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

95-79

+16

94avg 78

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-90

-7

74avg 78

A05/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

88-73

+15

81avg 78

A09/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

90-81

81avg 78

H14/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

81-67

+14

79avg 78

A20/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

89-73

+16

92avg 78

H28/04

Primera FEB

23-38

29-21

18-16

18-39

18-25

33-25

20-16

27-17

20-9

7-20

16-25

22-21

17-23

23-21

17-20

14-28

24-11

18-17

26-19

27-32

22-21

15-19

20-23

26-27

20-31

24-13

21-12

23-17

21-25

31-14

19-17

19-25

23-22

12-18

26-8

20-19

23-19

23-20

26-18

17-16

167.5Avg total

84.8Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	84.2	76.7	161.0	+7.5	72%
Season at home (16)	87.4	75.1	162.5	+12.4	75%
Season away (16)	81.1	78.4	159.4	+2.7	69%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	82.7	167.5	+2.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	76.8	163.0	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	82.7	86.0	168.7	-3.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	85.5	72.4	157.9	+13.1	85%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMelilla

Date

Competition

Real Betis

70-86

-16

63avg 70

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

71-84

-13

62avg 70

H13/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

72-99

-27

59avg 70

A16/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

80-81

-1

80avg 70

H22/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

80-88

-8

62avg 70

A31/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

85-90

-5

76avg 70

A05/04

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

74-92

-18

67avg 70

H10/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

74-89

-15

63avg 70

A14/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

75-80

-5

68avg 70

H19/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

91-68

+23

80avg 70

H26/04

Primera FEB

14-23

16-26

18-22

22-15

15-20

20-17

15-21

21-26

15-26

22-20

17-24

18-29

23-18

22-26

14-21

21-16

18-32

21-21

24-19

17-16

24-19

19-15

16-27

26-29

15-24

19-21

18-18

22-29

14-27

14-16

31-23

15-23

16-16

14-22

24-20

21-22

27-10

21-15

21-21

22-22

162.9Avg total

77.2Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	76.0	81.9	157.9	-5.9	31%
Season at home (16)	78.4	81.1	159.4	-2.7	31%
Season away (16)	73.6	82.8	156.3	-9.2	31%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	85.7	162.9	-8.5	10%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	83.8	163.6	-4.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.1	86.4	162.5	-10.3	18%
vs Similar (9)	73.7	77.8	151.4	-4.1	33%
vs Weaker (4)	81.5	74.8	156.2	+6.8	75%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesMelilla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.1	39.0	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.9	40.9	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.8	17.1	39.9	+5.6	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.6	23.5	41.1	-5.8	12%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	17.1	37.6	+3.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.5	39.7	+2.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	19.6	43.5	+4.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	17.3	35.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.8	40.3	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.7	19.5	41.2	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.0	17.9	39.0	+3.1	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	24%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

52-59

-7

A08/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

51-50

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

27-29

-2

A16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

40-44

-4

A23/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

42-28

+14

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-40

-3

A05/04

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

44-44

A09/04

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

52-39

+13

H14/04

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

35-40

-5

A20/04

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

46-39

H28/04

Primera FEB

83.8Avg total

42.6Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	37.0	79.7	+5.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	36.7	82.5	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	37.2	76.9	+2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.2	83.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	40.6	40.8	81.4	-0.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.8	35.0	78.8	+8.7	80%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Betis

30-49

-19

A08/03

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

35-37

-2

H13/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

37-46

-9

A16/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

45-44

H22/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

39-53

-14

A31/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

43-34

A05/04

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

34-45

-11

H10/04

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

28-43

-15

A14/04

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

30-38

-8

H19/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

48-25

+23

H26/04

Primera FEB

78.3Avg total

36.9Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	40.9	78.5	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	39.7	77.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	42.1	79.1	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.4	78.3	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	37.0	73.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.9	44.1	79.9	-8.2	6%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.2	37.8	80.0	+4.5	75%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	17.3	39.9	+5.4	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.6	38.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.7	40.5	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.5	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.5	38.5	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	24.1	45.4	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.8	26.2	48.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.8	39.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	21.5	37.6	-5.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	25.0	46.2	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.6	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	21.2	40.6	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	36.7	78.5	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	42.4	83.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	41.5	83.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	36.4	79.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	42.1	45.2	87.3	-3.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	41.3	79.9	-2.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	40.9	82.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	41.7	77.7	-5.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	44.3	84.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	46.8	90.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	40.2	42.4	82.6	-2.1	53%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.1	41.3	76.4	-6.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.2	37.0	76.2	+2.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Melilla wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/23	Melilla v Estudiantes	80-81
17/02/23	Estudiantes v Melilla	75-64
23/10/22	Melilla v Estudiantes	79-97
03/02/22	Estudiantes v Melilla	76-66
13/10/21	Melilla v Estudiantes	63-76

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/24	H	Caceres	89-73
20/04/24	A	Estela	81-67
14/04/24	H	Gipuzkoa	90-81
09/04/24	A	Real Valladolid	88-73
05/04/24	A	Tizona Burgos	83-90
31/03/24	H	Castello	95-79
23/03/24	A	Ourense	71-92
16/03/24	A	Alicante	65-75
12/03/24	H	Fuenlabrada	98-83
08/03/24	A	Leyma Coruna	88-114

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/24	H	Clavijo	91-68
19/04/24	H	Forca Lleida	75-80
14/04/24	A	Tizona Burgos	74-89
10/04/24	H	Hestia Menorca	74-92
05/04/24	A	Castello	85-90
31/03/24	A	Gipuzkoa	80-88
22/03/24	H	Real Valladolid	80-81
16/03/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	72-99
13/03/24	H	Estela	71-84
08/03/24	A	Real Betis	70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	72%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	LLLWW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	72%	75%	69%
Points / game	84.2	87.4	81.1
Allowed / game	76.7	75.1	78.4
Point differential	+7.5	+12.4	+2.7
Avg total	161.0	162.5	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	56%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	33% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Melilla

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	31%
Home	LLLLW	31%
Away	LLLLL	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	31%	31%	31%
Points / game	76.0	78.4	73.6
Allowed / game	81.9	81.1	82.8
Point differential	-5.9	-2.7	-9.2
Avg total	157.9	159.4	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	25%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	17% (6)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leyma Coruna	33	26	7	79%	89.8	81.5	+8.3
2	San Pablo Burgos	33	25	8	76%	87.3	76.6	+10.7
3	Forca Lleida	33	25	8	76%	81.5	75.0	+6.5
4	Tizona Burgos	33	24	9	73%	89.1	80.3	+8.8
5	Estudiantes	32	23	9	72%	84.2	76.7	+7.5
6	Gipuzkoa	33	22	11	67%	82.8	77.5	+5.3
7	Alicante	33	19	14	58%	79.6	76.5	+3.1
8	Real Valladolid	33	18	15	55%	78.1	79.7	-1.6
9	Real Betis	33	16	17	48%	81.1	79.0	+2.1
10	Fuenlabrada	33	15	18	45%	77.5	78.8	-1.3
11	Hestia Menorca	33	14	19	42%	72.8	76.1	-3.3
12	Ourense	33	14	19	42%	73.6	78.9	-5.3
13	Oviedo	33	13	20	39%	79.2	80.5	-1.3
14	Estela	33	11	22	33%	77.4	82.8	-5.4
15	Melilla	32	10	22	31%	76.0	81.9	-5.9
16	Castello	33	10	23	30%	78.8	86.6	-7.8
17	Caceres	33	6	27	18%	74.3	85.0	-10.7
18	Clavijo	33	5	28	15%	69.9	79.5	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	18	28	18	21	85
Melilla	25	20	9	18	72

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Estudiantes vs Melilla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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