Estudiantes vs Melilla Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Feb 2023

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 75-64

18-8 22-20 14-13 21-23

Position#7

Record15-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game73.0

Estudiantes 🏆

Melilla

Position#16

Record4-16

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game81.5

Primera FEBRound 21

Other2022-23

Meetings · Estudiantes v Melilla

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melilla winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

77-52

+25

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

82-76

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

68-63

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

70-62

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

73-83

-10

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

86-78

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

75-55

+20

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

94-75

+19

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

86-76

+10

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

66-74

-8

A05/02

Primera FEB

25-15

22-15

16-13

14-9

23-16

18-22

22-17

19-21

13-19

18-17

16-12

21-15

17-17

20-8

9-17

24-20

24-18

13-16

13-28

23-21

26-20

21-18

17-25

22-15

15-5

14-16

25-20

21-14

22-18

20-15

28-25

24-17

18-12

23-20

23-25

22-19

14-20

17-20

15-21

20-13

147.1Avg total

77.7Scored

69.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.8	73.0	152.8	+6.8	75%
Season at home (10)	81.5	69.6	151.1	+11.9	80%
Season away (10)	78.1	76.4	154.5	+1.7	70%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	69.4	147.1	+8.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	71.6	153.0	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.5	81.0	153.5	-8.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	74.4	74.0	148.4	+0.4	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	78.7	66.3	145.0	+12.5	84%

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melilla

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

63-85

-22

H11/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

63-78

-15

A18/12

Primera FEB

Castello

101-81

101

+20

H20/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

80-83 OT

-3

A28/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

61-70

-9

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

85-92

-7

A13/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

78-89

-11

H20/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

67-88

-21

H27/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

86-97

-11

A01/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

62-74

-12

H05/02

Primera FEB

22-21

19-24

4-14

18-26

13-13

13-19

25-24

12-22

18-22

22-21

37-17

24-21

17-15

16-15

20-21

17-19

18-12

15-23

18-13

10-22

16-19

26-28

22-20

21-25

25-26

13-22

10-21

30-20

19-24

10-19

17-22

21-23

22-16

32-26

15-24

17-31

17-22

23-11

9-20

13-21

158.3Avg total

74.6Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.0	81.5	157.4	-5.5	20%
Season at home (11)	77.1	79.5	156.6	-2.5	36%
Season away (9)	74.6	83.8	158.3	-9.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	83.7	158.3	-9.1	10%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	88.0	163.6	-12.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	74.8	81.8	156.6	-7.1	24%
vs Similar (12)	76.2	77.3	153.5	-1.2	25%
vs Weaker (1)	62.0	74.0	136.0	-12.0	0%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesMelilla

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	16.8	35.6	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.0	35.7	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.0	34.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.9	15.9	35.8	+4.1	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.3	38.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	83%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	22.0	32.0	-12.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	16.5	34.8	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.7	35.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	20.5	32.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.7	16.5	35.2	+2.3	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.9	20.4	38.4	-2.5	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

47-30

+17

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

41-38

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-36

-5

H20/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

37-25

+12

A27/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

37-34

H08/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

47-38

A14/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

29-21

H20/01

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

42-33

H29/01

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

41-32

A01/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

31-40

-9

A05/02

Primera FEB

71.0Avg total

38.3Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	34.2	72.2	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	33.2	70.4	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	32.7	71.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	32.8	70.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	37.5	71.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.4	37.3	74.8	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	38.7	32.4	71.1	+6.3	74%	-

This opponent (Melilla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MelillaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

41-45

-4

H11/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

26-32

-6

A18/12

Primera FEB

Castello

40-43

-3

H20/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

33-30

A28/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

33-35

-2

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

42-47

-5

A13/01

Primera FEB

Palencia

38-48

-10

H20/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

29-43

-14

H27/01

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

54-42

+12

A01/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

40-33

H05/02

Primera FEB

77.4Avg total

37.6Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	39.9	77.9	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	42.6	83.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.5	41.2	77.8	-4.7	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.6	38.2	78.8	+2.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	35.0	61.0	-9.0	0%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.6	40.6	+3.5	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.7	36.9	-0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.7	20.8	39.4	-2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.1	84%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	21.4	36.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	17.0	31.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	16.7	35.5	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	15.6	33.8	+2.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	15.6	37.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	15.9	34.2	+2.4	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	18.7	16.7	35.4	+2.1	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.0	38.5	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	20.5	37.8	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.0	41.3	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.1	18.9	36.0	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	35.4	74.4	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	34.1	74.4	+6.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	36.8	74.4	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	36.7	76.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	38.8	82.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	43.5	82.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.0	36.7	73.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.1	33.9	73.9	+6.2	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.5	76.3	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.9	37.4	75.3	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.5	41.9	77.4	-6.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	42.6	78.6	-6.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	45.4	80.4	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.2	40.6	78.8	-2.4	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	34.8	38.0	72.8	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melillatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Melilla wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/22	Melilla v Estudiantes	79-97
03/02/22	Estudiantes v Melilla	76-66
13/10/21	Melilla v Estudiantes	63-76

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/23	A	Leyma Coruna	66-74
01/02/23	A	Ourense	86-76
29/01/23	H	Forca Lleida	94-75
20/01/23	H	Iraurgi SB	75-55
14/01/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	86-78
08/01/23	H	Palencia	73-83
27/12/22	A	Caceres	70-62
20/12/22	H	Albacete	68-63
17/12/22	A	Estela	82-76
11/12/22	H	Castello	77-52

Melillalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/23	H	Forca Lleida	62-74
01/02/23	A	Iraurgi SB	86-97
27/01/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	67-88
20/01/23	H	Palencia	78-89
13/01/23	A	Caceres	85-92
08/01/23	H	Albacete	61-70
28/12/22	A	Estela	80-83 OT
20/12/22	H	Castello	101-81
18/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	63-78
11/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	63-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	75%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WWWWL	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	75%	80%	70%
Points / game	79.8	81.5	78.1
Allowed / game	73.0	69.6	76.4
Point differential	+6.8	+11.9	+1.7
Avg total	152.8	151.1	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	60%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melilla

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	20%
Home	WLLLL	36%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	20%	36%	0%
Points / game	76.0	77.1	74.6
Allowed / game	81.5	79.5	83.8
Point differential	-5.5	-2.5	-9.2
Avg total	157.4	156.6	158.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	20	18	2	90%	82.0	68.6	+13.3
2	Palencia	20	18	2	90%	81.2	69.3	+11.9
3	Estudiantes	20	15	5	75%	79.8	73.0	+6.8
4	Real Valladolid	20	14	6	70%	75.5	70.3	+5.2
5	Leyma Coruna	20	13	7	65%	83.2	76.5	+6.7
6	Forca Lleida	20	13	7	65%	80.8	78.3	+2.4
7	Alicante	20	13	7	65%	76.0	74.2	+1.8
8	San Pablo Burgos	20	12	8	60%	79.8	75.3	+4.5
9	Gipuzkoa	20	11	9	55%	76.8	72.2	+4.7
10	Estela	20	9	11	45%	72.3	76.6	-4.2
11	Castello	20	8	12	40%	75.7	77.0	-1.3
12	Caceres	20	6	14	30%	71.9	78.2	-6.3
13	Ourense	20	6	14	30%	73.3	80.7	-7.3
14	Almansa	20	6	14	30%	72.5	80.5	-8.1
15	Albacete	20	5	15	25%	71.0	76.5	-5.5
16	Oviedo	20	5	15	25%	68.3	77.0	-8.7
17	Melilla	20	4	16	20%	76.0	81.5	-5.5
18	Iraurgi SB	20	4	16	20%	72.0	82.4	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	18	22	14	21	75
Melilla	8	20	13	23	64

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Estudiantes vs Melilla Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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