Estudiantes vs Moron Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 87-70

25-20 27-17 17-17 18-16

Position#4

Record23-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game86.5

Allowed / game78.2

Estudiantes 🏆

Moron

Position#18

Record3-25

FormWWLLL

Points / game72.4

Allowed / game83.2

Primera FEBRound 29· WiZink Center

Other2024-25

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Moron winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Cartagena

80-70

+10

76avg 77

A08/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

87-76

+11

85avg 77

H12/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

94-64

+30

91avg 77

A16/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

82-69

+13

73avg 77

H02/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

79-73

65avg 77

A08/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

89-85

79avg 77

A11/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

104-98

104

102avg 77

H16/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

73-90

-17

63avg 77

A22/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

76-66

+10

72avg 77

H30/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

71-75

-4

60avg 77

A04/04

Primera FEB

17-14

25-18

19-19

26-20

25-18

15-23

21-15

20-17

29-15

18-21

27-11

26-19

20-16

23-15

13-19

23-21

13-17

24-20

19-15

29-33

15-17

26-22

19-13

29-22

30-36

22-18

23-22

21-26

16-21

21-18

15-25

26-20

17-14

18-15

15-17

12-18

26-16

14-15

19-26

160.1Avg total

83.5Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	86.5	78.2	164.7	+8.2	82%
Season at home (14)	88.3	78.7	167.0	+9.6	86%
Season away (14)	84.6	77.8	162.4	+6.9	79%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	76.6	160.1	+6.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	82.8	165.4	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	95.0	186.0	-4.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	83.2	79.9	163.1	+3.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	86.8	76.2	163.1	+10.6	90%

This opponent (Moron) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Moron

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMoron

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

71-101

101

-30

58avg 60

A08/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

68-84

-16

51avg 60

H12/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

58-70

-12

46avg 60

A16/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

68-87

-19

51avg 60

H02/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

73-97

-24

62avg 60

A07/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

89-59

+30

79avg 60

H11/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

91-78

+13

82avg 60

A15/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

64-68

-4

52avg 60

H22/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

61-74

-13

45avg 60

A29/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

70-99

-29

55avg 60

H06/04

Primera FEB

18-31

30-23

9-27

14-20

19-21

12-22

21-24

16-17

15-14

13-19

17-15

13-22

24-13

13-29

23-23

8-22

21-26

16-27

23-21

13-23

19-12

25-10

30-20

15-17

17-21

29-20

16-17

29-20

16-5

21-19

16-27

11-17

18-13

17-32

15-22

11-7

21-23

20-20

16-24

13-32

153.0Avg total

71.3Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	72.4	83.2	155.7	-10.8	11%
Season at home (15)	74.7	84.1	158.8	-9.3	13%
Season away (13)	69.8	82.3	152.1	-12.5	8%
Last 10 (10)	71.3	81.7	153.0	-10.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	75.6	150.6	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	71.3	83.4	154.7	-12.1	4%
vs Similar (5)	79.2	78.8	158.0	+0.4	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesMoron

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	18.6	42.1	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	23.8	47.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	19.1	41.8	+3.5	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	19.9	39.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.1	40.2	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	23.2	41.6	-4.9	11%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	23.2	41.2	-5.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.4	21.7	40.0	-3.3	32%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cartagena

42-32

+10

A08/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

51-38

+13

H12/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

49-32

+17

A16/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

46-35

+11

H02/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

36-38

-2

A08/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

44-50

-6

A11/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

59-58

H16/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

37-47

-10

A22/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

43-34

H30/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

38-34

A04/04

Primera FEB

84.3Avg total

44.5Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	39.4	82.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	40.3	84.0	+3.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	38.4	80.1	+3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	39.8	84.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	44.6	88.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.3	42.4	83.8	-1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.4	38.0	81.4	+5.4	70%	-

This opponent (Moron) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MoronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

48-54

-6

A08/02

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

31-43

-12

H12/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

28-33

-5

A16/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

37-42

-5

H02/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-53

-16

A07/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

44-22

+22

H11/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

46-41

A15/03

Primera FEB

Cartagena

37-24

+13

H22/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

35-45

-10

A29/03

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

41-43

-2

H06/04

Primera FEB

78.4Avg total

38.4Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.3	79.5	-5.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	39.9	78.2	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	45.0	80.9	-9.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	35.0	75.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	37.1	42.6	79.7	-5.5	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.8	40.6	78.4	-2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	32.0	57.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.1	18.1	39.3	+3.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.1	40.1	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	19.2	40.0	+1.7	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	19.5	35.8	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.5	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	19.7	34.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.6	34.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	15.7	19.6	35.3	-3.9	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	38.0	80.1	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	37.3	79.8	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.8	75.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.2	76.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	56.0	103.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.9	37.4	79.3	+4.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.0	37.4	79.3	+4.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	39.9	75.0	-4.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.8	42.1	77.9	-6.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.3	37.4	71.6	-3.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.9	41.7	74.6	-8.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	40.6	75.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	33.8	40.2	74.0	-6.4	24%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.4	38.2	79.6	+3.2	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Morontheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Moron wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/24	Moron v Estudiantes	93-99 OT

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/04/25	A	Real Betis	71-75
30/03/25	H	Gipuzkoa	76-66
22/03/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	73-90
16/03/25	H	Palencia	104-98
11/03/25	A	Castello	89-85
08/03/25	A	Ourense	79-73
02/03/25	H	Hestia Menorca	82-69
16/02/25	A	Zamora	94-64
12/02/25	H	Real Valladolid	87-76
08/02/25	A	Cartagena	80-70

Moronlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/25	H	Obradoiro CAB	70-99
29/03/25	A	Oviedo	61-74
22/03/25	H	Cartagena	64-68
15/03/25	A	Real Valladolid	91-78
11/03/25	H	Ourense	89-59
07/03/25	A	Tizona Burgos	73-97
02/03/25	H	Estela	68-87
16/02/25	A	Hestia Menorca	58-70
12/02/25	H	Zamora	68-84
08/02/25	A	San Pablo Burgos	71-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	82%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	WWWLL	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	82%	86%	79%
Points / game	86.5	88.3	84.6
Allowed / game	78.2	78.7	77.8
Point differential	+8.2	+9.6	+6.9
Avg total	164.7	167.0	162.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	57%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Moron

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	11%
Home	LLWLL	13%
Away	LLLWL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	11%	13%	8%
Points / game	72.4	74.7	69.8
Allowed / game	83.2	84.1	82.3
Point differential	-10.8	-9.3	-12.5
Avg total	155.7	158.8	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	25% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	29	27	2	93%	88.6	74.4	+14.2
2	Fuenlabrada	29	24	5	83%	84.9	75.5	+9.4
3	Estudiantes	28	23	5	82%	86.5	78.2	+8.2
4	Real Betis	29	23	6	79%	83.6	74.8	+8.8
5	Obradoiro CAB	29	20	9	69%	82.6	73.5	+9.1
6	Palencia	29	19	10	66%	86.5	80.2	+6.3
7	Tizona Burgos	29	15	14	52%	88.8	89.1	-0.3
8	Cartagena	29	13	16	45%	77.3	84.4	-7.1
9	Ourense	29	12	17	41%	82.1	83.2	-1.1
10	Gipuzkoa	29	12	17	41%	78.1	79.3	-1.2
11	Alicante	29	11	18	38%	79.1	79.7	-0.6
12	Oviedo	29	11	18	38%	77.9	81.0	-3.1
13	Zamora	29	11	18	38%	78.6	82.5	-3.9
14	Hestia Menorca	29	10	19	34%	74.4	78.0	-3.6
15	Estela	29	10	19	34%	75.7	83.0	-7.3
16	Real Valladolid	29	9	20	31%	78.0	85.2	-7.2
17	Castello	29	7	22	24%	80.2	89.9	-9.6
18	Moron	28	3	25	11%	72.4	83.2	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	25	27	17	18	87
Moron	20	17	17	16	70

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Estudiantes vs Moron Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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