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Estudiantes vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 104-98
29-22 30-36 22-18 23-22
Position#4
Record21-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#6
Record17-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game79.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 25· WiZink Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Estudiantes v Palencia
18 Oct 2026
EST86
PAL77
08 Feb 2026
EST72
PAL94
16 Mar 2025
EST104
PAL98
08 Jan 2023
EST73
PAL83
18 Jun 2022
EST89
PAL62
08 May 2022
EST71
PAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 77
A04/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 77
H12/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
80avg 77
A17/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
73avg 77
H02/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 77
A08/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
87-76
87
76
+11
85avg 77
H12/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
94-64
94
64
+30
91avg 77
A16/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
82-69
82
69
+13
73avg 77
H02/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 77
A08/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 77
A11/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
26-21
20-17
23-20
21-23
23-16
25-32
22-24
26-14
14-20
27-19
21-22
26-9
16-26
19-18
15-28
17-14
25-18
19-19
19-19
26-20
25-18
15-23
21-15
20-17
29-15
18-21
27-11
26-19
20-16
23-15
13-19
23-21
13-17
24-20
19-15
29-33
15-17
26-22
19-13
162.1Avg total
85.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.477.6165.0+9.888%
Season at home (12)88.078.2166.2+9.883%
Season away (12)86.877.0163.8+9.892%
Last 10 (10)85.876.3162.1+9.580%
Last 5 (5)86.273.4159.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.095.0186.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.576.0159.5+7.583%
vs Weaker (23)85.876.2162.0+9.683%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
78-84
78
84
-6
63avg 77
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
68avg 77
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
83-59
83
59
+24
83avg 77
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
79avg 77
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
96-95
96
95
+1
97avg 77
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 77
H12/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
79avg 77
A16/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
81avg 77
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
83-92
83
92
-9
71avg 77
A08/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
80avg 77
H12/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-26
18-22
16-18
24-27
18-19
24-18
13-11
24-19
13-14
25-13
21-13
19-20
26-20
22-19
22-29
22-28
20-20
23-21
31-26
24-21
20-18
18-22
23-26
21-21
27-21
22-23
17-20
23-15
16-18
24-18
27-27
22-26
29-22
19-20
13-24
22-15
23-19
26-19
17-18
167.2Avg total
85.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.079.7166.8+7.371%
Season at home (12)89.277.8167.1+11.483%
Season away (12)84.881.6166.4+3.258%
Last 10 (10)85.881.4167.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)86.682.6169.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.088.6170.6-6.614%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.786.0166.7-5.333%
vs Weaker (17)89.877.2167.0+12.588%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
EstudiantesPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estela
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A04/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H02/02
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H12/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A16/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H02/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A11/03
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
44.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.580.6+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.538.681.1+3.981%-
Last 30 away (14)41.838.480.1+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.337.181.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.683.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.740.580.2-0.867%-
vs Weaker (23)42.737.980.7+4.865%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/01
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H10/01
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A18/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A07/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/02
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A16/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A08/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/03
Primera FEB
84.4Avg total
43.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.082.6+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.638.181.7+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.983.5-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.784.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.140.181.3+1.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.044.783.7-5.733%-
vs Weaker (17)44.538.282.8+6.376%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.6%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WWWWWWLWLW
Palencia
WLWWLWWWWL
#4
League position
#6
-13.9
Net rating
-11.7
107.8
Offensive rating
106.7
121.7
Defensive rating
118.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
60.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.3%
3-point %
34.1%
52.5%
Assist %
64.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 106.7Defence121.7 · 118.4Shooting50.7% · 51.8%3-point %34.3% · 34.1%Ball care16.2% · 16.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estudiantes wins
4
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Palencia v Estudiantes80-87
05/05/23Palencia v Estudiantes74-66
08/01/23Estudiantes v Palencia73-83
18/06/22Estudiantes v Palencia89-62
08/05/22Estudiantes v Palencia71-73
13/02/22Palencia v Estudiantes66-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25ACastello89-85
08/03/25AOurense79-73
02/03/25HHestia Menorca82-69
16/02/25AZamora94-64
12/02/25HReal Valladolid87-76
08/02/25ACartagena80-70
02/02/25HOviedo76-81
17/01/25AGipuzkoa88-75
12/01/25HSan Pablo Burgos91-95
04/01/25AEstela92-75
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HCartagena88-71
08/03/25AReal Valladolid83-92
01/03/25HOviedo90-78
16/02/25AGipuzkoa87-85
12/02/25HSan Pablo Burgos85-87
07/02/25AAlicante96-95
01/02/25HFuenlabrada89-88
18/01/25AEstela83-59
10/01/25HZamora79-75
04/01/25AHestia Menorca78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLLWW83%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%83%92%
Points / game87.488.086.8
Allowed / game77.678.277.0
Point differential+9.8+9.8+9.8
Avg total165.0166.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%83%58%
Points / game87.089.284.8
Allowed / game79.777.881.6
Point differential+7.3+11.4+3.2
Avg total166.8167.1166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2523292%89.675.7+13.9
2 Fuenlabrada2421388%85.773.8+11.9
3 Estudiantes2421388%87.477.6+9.8
4 Real Betis2418675%83.174.5+8.6
5 Palencia2417771%87.079.7+7.3
6 Obradoiro CAB2415962%81.074.2+6.7
7 Tizona Burgos24131154%89.588.9+0.7
8 Cartagena25121348%78.284.4-6.2
9 Ourense25111444%82.583.4-1.0
10 Zamora24101442%78.782.5-3.9
11 Hestia Menorca2491538%74.377.3-3.0
12 Estela2381535%75.282.3-7.0
13 Gipuzkoa2481633%76.479.4-3.0
14 Oviedo2481633%77.381.7-4.4
15 Alicante2471729%75.879.6-3.8
16 Castello2471729%80.288.5-8.3
17 Real Valladolid2571828%77.285.0-7.8
18 Moron2532212%73.383.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes29302223104
Palencia2236182298
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