Estudiantes vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2018

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 94-78

21-23 22-23 20-16 31-16

Position#11

Record3-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game84.6

Estudiantes 🏆

Quilmes

Position#17

Record3-4

FormWLWLL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game86.1

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Estudiantes v Quilmes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#17

77-87

-10

A17/12

ACB

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

78-71

A19/12

Liga A

HydroTruck Radom

#45

84-77

A20/12

Champions League

Regatas

#15

100-94

100

H23/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#12

95-67

+28

H23/12

ACB

Real Madrid

89-96

-7

A31/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#15

101-94 OT

101

H04/01

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

97-102 OT

102

-5

A07/01

ACB

Olimpico

#13

91-80

+11

H08/01

Liga A

Strasbourg

#16

81-65

+16

H09/01

Champions League

24-15

15-21

21-20

17-31

13-28

27-13

17-15

21-15

23-25

26-26

23-12

12-14

18-21

24-19

24-21

34-33

25-19

21-17

28-14

21-17

16-19

23-27

24-22

26-28

20-25

23-21

18-21

20-14

13-22

15-9

22-30

29-18

20-21

19-16

25-20

27-23

22-13

29-17

15-13

15-22

172.6Avg total

89.3Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	87.4	84.6	172.0	+2.8	60%
Season at home (4)	89.8	88.0	177.8	+1.8	50%
Season away (1)	78.0	71.0	149.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	83.3	172.6	+6.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	87.4	179.2	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	78.6	81.7	160.3	-3.1	30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	82.2	79.7	161.9	+2.6	56%
vs Weaker (4)	87.0	86.8	173.8	+0.2	50%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

76-57

+19

H14/11

South American League

Cimarrones del Choco

88-93

-5

A15/11

South American League

Guaros de Lara

85-88 OT

-3

A16/11

South American League

Gimnasia

82-94

-12

A02/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

103-84

103

+19

A09/12

Liga A

Argentino

89-82

A11/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

79-84

-5

H15/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

90-80

+10

H17/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

83-94

-11

H22/12

Liga A

Argentino

79-85

-6

H05/01

Liga A

24-12

13-14

20-14

19-17

23-22

21-19

17-29

27-23

21-20

26-17

13-26

17-14

20-18

18-27

18-26

26-23

33-23

15-13

25-26

30-22

26-20

20-18

27-23

16-21

19-24

17-20

20-19

23-21

27-15

17-19

24-14

22-32

23-26

14-16

17-32

29-20

24-24

23-21

18-17

14-23

169.5Avg total

85.4Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	86.4	86.1	172.6	+0.3	43%
Season at home (4)	82.8	85.8	168.5	-3.0	25%
Season away (3)	91.3	86.7	178.0	+4.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	84.1	169.5	+1.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	85.0	169.0	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	80.6	89.5	170.1	-8.9	35%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	91.2	88.3	179.6	+2.9	56%
vs Weaker (4)	87.5	75.5	163.0	+12.0	75%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesQuilmes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.1	18.4	39.5	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.3	42.7	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	18.2	41.8	+5.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	24.2	22.0	46.2	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.5	15.8	42.2	+10.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.0	39.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.8	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.7	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.1	20.9	39.9	-1.8	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.3	17.4	36.8	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	17.8	37.5	+2.0	75%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#17

39-36

A17/12

ACB

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

40-41

-1

A19/12

Liga A

HydroTruck Radom

#45

49-51

-2

A20/12

Champions League

Regatas

#15

42-40

H23/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#12

46-36

+10

H23/12

ACB

Real Madrid

39-46

-7

A31/12

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#15

43-46

-3

H04/01

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#16

28-31

-3

A07/01

ACB

Olimpico

#13

39-37

H08/01

Liga A

Strasbourg

#16

51-30

+21

H09/01

Champions League

81.0Avg total

41.6Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.6	77.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	37.5	76.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	39.7	79.3	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	39.4	81.0	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.6	39.8	75.4	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.4	37.6	79.0	+3.9	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.5	39.8	78.2	-1.2	25%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aguada

37-26

+11

H14/11

South American League

Cimarrones del Choco

44-41

A15/11

South American League

Guaros de Lara

47-37

+10

A16/11

South American League

Gimnasia

38-45

-7

A02/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#10

48-36

+12

A09/12

Liga A

Argentino

46-38

A11/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

36-44

-8

H15/12

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

44-34

+10

H17/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#12

37-42

-5

H22/12

Liga A

Argentino

47-45

H05/01

Liga A

81.2Avg total

42.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.7	81.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	37.4	80.5	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.4	41.7	82.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.8	81.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.6	82.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	39.6	41.3	80.9	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.2	33.5	79.8	+12.8	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.6	42.8	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	23.6	44.2	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.0	42.2	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	21.1	43.7	+1.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.5	40.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.5	44.8	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	24.5	47.9	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.9	24.5	45.5	-3.6	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	40.7	81.3	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	41.6	81.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	40.3	84.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.7	39.7	81.4	+2.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.1	41.2	80.2	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	44.0	41.2	85.2	+2.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	46.1	87.5	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	46.0	89.1	-2.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.0	46.2	86.2	-6.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	44.2	86.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	44.4	86.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	40.5	47.8	88.3	-7.2	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.2	44.8	88.0	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 80.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.2	53.8%	53.8%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	9.5	30.4%	32.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.0	70.7%	71.7%	14.0

They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Quilmestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.8	22.0	50.2%	53.8%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.9	7.2	34.4%	32.9%	21.6
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.8	76.7%	71.7%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.2	52.2%	53.8%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	9.2	29.6%	32.9%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.2	73.1%	71.7%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.8	22.2	49.7%	53.8%	44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	7.2	33.9%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.4	78.0%	71.7%	16.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Quilmes wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/17	Estudiantes v Quilmes	79-78
19/12/16	Quilmes v Estudiantes	83-64
15/04/16	Estudiantes v Quilmes	89-84
07/02/16	Quilmes v Estudiantes	90-65
29/04/15	Estudiantes v Quilmes	93-91
06/01/15	Quilmes v Estudiantes	86-78
17/02/14	Estudiantes v Quilmes	67-82
01/12/13	Quilmes v Estudiantes	75-73

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/18	H	Strasbourg	81-65
08/01/18	H	Olimpico	91-80
07/01/18	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	97-102 OT
04/01/18	H	Joventut Badalona	101-94 OT
31/12/17	A	Real Madrid	89-96
23/12/17	H	Obradoiro CAB	95-67
23/12/17	H	Regatas	100-94
20/12/17	A	HydroTruck Radom	84-77
19/12/17	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	78-71
17/12/17	A	Bilbao	77-87

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/18	H	Argentino	79-85
22/12/17	H	Hispano Americano	83-94
17/12/17	H	Olimpico	90-80
15/12/17	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	79-84
11/12/17	A	Argentino	89-82
09/12/17	A	Weber Bahia	103-84
02/12/17	A	Gimnasia	82-94
16/11/17	A	Guaros de Lara	85-88 OT
15/11/17	A	Cimarrones del Choco	88-93
14/11/17	H	Aguada	76-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	60%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	4	1
Win %	60%	50%	100%
Points / game	87.4	89.8	78.0
Allowed / game	84.6	88.0	71.0
Point differential	+2.8	+1.8	+7.0
Avg total	172.0	177.8	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	20%	25%	0%

Quilmes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	43%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	43%	25%	67%
Points / game	86.4	82.8	91.3
Allowed / game	86.1	85.8	86.7
Point differential	+0.3	-3.0	+4.7
Avg total	172.6	168.5	178.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	9	8	1	89%	88.0	80.0	+8.0
2	Atenas	9	7	2	78%	92.0	88.1	+3.9
3	San Martin	6	4	2	67%	89.8	85.0	+4.8
4	La Union	8	5	3	62%	77.9	74.4	+3.5
5	Instituto de Cordoba	8	5	3	62%	83.1	79.9	+3.2
6	Argentino	8	5	3	62%	84.8	82.8	+2.0
7	Estudiantes	5	3	2	60%	87.4	84.6	+2.8
8	Ferro	7	4	3	57%	79.3	74.0	+5.3
9	Gimnasia	7	4	3	57%	77.9	79.1	-1.3
10	Quimsa	7	4	3	57%	78.7	80.6	-1.9
11	Obras Sanitarias	8	4	4	50%	82.9	81.4	+1.5
12	Weber Bahia	8	4	4	50%	79.4	84.6	-5.2
13	Regatas	9	4	5	44%	84.9	88.2	-3.3
14	Quilmes	7	3	4	43%	86.4	86.1	+0.3
15	Penarol	7	3	4	43%	84.9	84.9	+0.0
16	Hispano Americano	8	3	5	38%	91.4	94.1	-2.8
17	Olimpico	9	3	6	33%	81.7	83.3	-1.7
18	Boca Juniors	8	2	6	25%	84.2	87.1	-2.9
19	Comunicaciones Mercedes	8	1	7	12%	80.0	87.0	-7.0
20	Salta	8	1	7	12%	74.9	82.5	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	21	22	20	31	94
Quilmes	23	23	16	16	78

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Quilmes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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