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Bilbao vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 87-77
15-24 21-15 20-21 31-17
Position#17
Record3-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game85.1
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Estudiantes
Spain
Position#10
Record4-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.0
SpainACBRound 12
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Bilbao v Estudiantes
06 Dec 2020
BIL77
EST78
17 Dec 2017
BIL87
EST77
07 Oct 2016
BIL79
EST74
19 Dec 2015
BIL85
EST91
30 Nov 2014
BIL64
EST63
07 Dec 2013
BIL72
EST55
20 Oct 2012
BIL86
EST85
27 Nov 2011
BIL72
EST66
08 Jan 2011
BIL66
EST57
02 May 2010
BIL73
EST78
18 Jan 2009
BIL99
EST65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A01/11
Eurocup
Barcelona
#3
L
83-104
83
104
-21
H05/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H08/11
Eurocup
Valencia
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H12/11
ACB
Rytas
#12
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H15/11
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A19/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#14
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H03/12
ACB
Limoges
#17
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A05/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#2
L
71-94
71
94
-23
A09/12
ACB
Partizan
#24
W
83-67
83
67
+16
A13/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
16-29
26-25
20-22
15-29
21-26
24-24
23-25
18-18
24-34
28-25
16-17
15-19
21-15
14-12
27-35
22-17
17-25
25-31
15-23
23-17
19-23
8-20
21-22
18-18
11-15
20-23
13-22
20-22
10-24
23-16
21-24
21-21
15-22
17-24
18-27
22-18
16-12
15-19
30-18
165.6Avg total
77.2Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.685.1161.7-8.527%
Season at home (5)75.884.4160.2-8.620%
Season away (6)77.385.7163.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)77.288.4165.6-11.210%
Last 5 (5)72.281.4153.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.487.5165.9-9.118%
vs Similar (9)73.881.9155.7-8.122%
vs Weaker (4)88.580.5169.0+8.075%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H10/12
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H12/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H14/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H15/12
South American League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
14-10
27-19
20-19
15-18
18-22
22-22
27-21
19-23
24-14
16-23
20-31
20-18
13-22
23-16
25-24
21-21
17-17
16-17
20-22
19-12
18-28
22-23
24-25
21-21
15-18
14-17
23-15
18-14
23-20
15-21
22-30
12-17
26-22
17-14
19-15
15-18
26-27
16-22
22-15
160.9Avg total
78.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.483.0162.4-3.640%
Season at home (5)75.279.0154.2-3.840%
Season away (5)83.687.0170.6-3.440%
Last 10 (10)78.982.0160.9-3.130%
Last 5 (5)77.478.8156.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.779.6156.2-2.933%
vs Similar (12)76.478.8155.2-2.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.271.8151.0+7.383%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
BilbaoEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A01/11
Eurocup
Barcelona
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H05/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H08/11
Eurocup
Valencia
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H12/11
ACB
Rytas
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/11
Eurocup
Murcia
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A19/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H03/12
ACB
Limoges
#17
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A05/12
Eurocup
Baskonia
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/12
ACB
Partizan
#24
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/12
Eurocup
79.8Avg total
36.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.176.6-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.440.378.7-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)36.737.974.5-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)36.843.079.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.473.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.839.977.8-2.135%-
vs Similar (9)34.640.475.0-5.922%-
vs Weaker (4)43.032.575.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/12
ACB
Venezia
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A06/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/12
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/12
South American League
75.3Avg total
36.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.775.5-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.737.573.1-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.977.8-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.775.3-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.541.175.6-6.60%-
vs Similar (12)37.937.775.6+0.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.036.075.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.0
47.9%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.1
35.9%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
74.6%14.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.5
52.0%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.6
28.7%
35.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
74.6%13.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLLLLLLLLL
Estudiantes
LWLWLLWLLL
#17
League position
#10
-10.2
Net rating
-4.9
101.6
Offensive rating
102.0
111.8
Defensive rating
107.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
19.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.9%
3-point %
28.7%
50.6%
Assist %
55.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 102.0Defence111.8 · 107.0Shooting50.7% · 48.0%3-point %35.9% · 28.7%Ball care19.3% · 13.8%Off. rebounds25.9% · 24.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Bilbao   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bilbao wins
5
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
22/01/17Estudiantes v Bilbao87-83
07/10/16Bilbao v Estudiantes79-74
13/03/16Estudiantes v Bilbao81-70
19/12/15Bilbao v Estudiantes85-91
05/04/15Estudiantes v Bilbao83-77
30/11/14Bilbao v Estudiantes64-63
02/03/14Estudiantes v Bilbao86-80
07/12/13Bilbao v Estudiantes72-55
17/03/13Estudiantes v Bilbao79-88
20/10/12Bilbao v Estudiantes86-85
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/17APartizan83-67
09/12/17ABaskonia71-94
05/12/17ALimoges74-86
03/12/17HSan Pablo Burgos62-78
19/11/17AMurcia71-82
15/11/17HRytas79-96
12/11/17HValencia77-81
08/11/17HAlba Berlin86-94
05/11/17HBarcelona83-104
01/11/17ALokomotiv Kuban86-102
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/17HGuaros de Lara79-82
14/12/17HGuaros de Lara74-68
12/12/17HAEK Athens78-85
10/12/17HValencia73-71
07/12/17AGuaros de Lara83-88
06/12/17AGuaros de Lara74-77
06/12/17HVenezia81-80
03/12/17HMurcia79-91
03/12/17HSan Lorenzo82-83
30/11/17HInstituto de Cordoba86-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%20%33%
Points / game76.675.877.3
Allowed / game85.184.485.7
Point differential-8.5-8.6-8.3
Avg total161.7160.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game79.475.283.6
Allowed / game83.079.087.0
Point differential-3.6-3.8-3.4
Avg total162.4154.2170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%91.379.4+11.9
2 Fuenlabrada129375%77.276.2+0.9
3 Barcelona118373%90.580.5+9.9
4 Valencia118373%82.478.9+3.5
5 Baskonia117464%84.880.1+4.7
6 Gran Canaria117464%86.082.2+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB117464%74.574.1+0.5
8 Tenerife127558%76.274.9+1.3
9 Unicaja126650%80.874.6+6.2
10 MoraBanc Andorra115645%80.679.0+1.6
11 Murcia115645%80.479.7+0.6
12 Estudiantes104640%79.483.0-3.6
13 Gipuzkoa114736%77.676.6+1.0
14 Tecnyconta Zaragoza114736%82.785.4-2.6
15 Joventut Badalona103730%77.182.1-5.0
16 Bilbao113827%76.685.1-8.5
17 San Pablo Burgos1221017%77.088.2-11.2
18 Real Betis111109%73.589.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1521203187
Estudiantes2415211777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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