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Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 96-89
19-16 27-23 22-24 28-26
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game80.5
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Estudiantes
Spain
Position#10
Record5-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.0
SpainACBRound 14
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes
25 Oct 2020
MAD93
EST77
09 May 2019
MAD109
EST92
15 Feb 2019
MAD94
EST63
31 Dec 2017
MAD96
EST89
30 Apr 2017
MAD79
EST72
07 Feb 2016
MAD97
EST79
29 Mar 2015
MAD92
EST66
24 Nov 2013
MAD72
EST57
05 May 2013
MAD93
EST82
22 Apr 2012
MAD85
EST80
22 Jan 2011
MAD82
EST61
03 Apr 2010
MAD101
EST77
06 Dec 2008
MAD98
EST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
108avg 116
A24/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
116avg 116
H01/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
W
96-72
96
72
+24
126avg 116
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-92 OT
83
92
-9
no box
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
no box
H10/12
ACB
Barcelona
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
119avg 116
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
102-93
102
93
+9
133avg 116
A17/12
ACB
Valencia
#11
W
91-72
91
72
+19
123avg 116
H19/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
81-66
81
66
+15
114avg 116
A21/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
79-77
79
77
+2
106avg 116
A28/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
26-17
15-24
11-18
24-19
15-27
19-21
25-20
23-17
30-19
18-17
25-19
8-18
22-16
17-22
25-16
16-22
21-19
12-13
25-20
15-15
25-23
28-14
19-23
18-21
34-16
24-30
26-26
24-18
19-23
21-17
27-14
29-13
21-22
18-16
13-15
10-17
27-19
25-25
17-16
167.0Avg total
86.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.280.5172.7+11.792%
Season at home (6)91.579.8171.3+11.783%
Season away (6)92.881.2174.0+11.7100%
Last 10 (10)86.980.1167.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)88.076.6164.6+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.682.6160.1-5.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.679.3168.9+10.377%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
99avg 106
H10/12
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H12/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H14/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H15/12
South American League
Bilbao
#17
L
77-87
77
87
-10
103avg 106
A17/12
ACB
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#19
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
A19/12
Liga A
HydroTruck Radom
#45
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
A20/12
Champions League
Regatas
#15
W
100-94
100
94
+6
no box
H23/12
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
95-67
95
67
+28
124avg 106
H23/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
18-28
22-23
24-25
21-21
15-18
14-17
23-15
18-14
23-20
15-21
22-30
12-17
26-22
17-14
19-15
15-18
26-27
16-22
22-15
24-15
15-21
21-20
17-31
13-28
27-13
17-15
21-15
23-25
26-26
23-12
12-14
18-21
24-19
24-21
34-33
25-19
21-17
28-14
21-17
161.1Avg total
82.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.582.0162.5-1.542%
Season at home (6)78.577.0155.5+1.550%
Season away (6)82.587.0169.5-4.533%
Last 10 (10)82.179.0161.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)86.879.2166.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.080.0157.0-3.036%
vs Similar (15)79.378.5157.8+0.947%
vs Weaker (4)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Real MadridEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A24/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H01/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H10/12
ACB
Barcelona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H14/12
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A17/12
ACB
Valencia
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H19/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/12
Euroleague
81.9Avg total
43.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.182.9+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.339.583.8+4.862%-
Last 30 away (17)41.640.582.1+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.481.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.481.8+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.642.982.4-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.539.383.8+5.259%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/12
South American League
Valencia
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/12
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/12
Champions League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/12
South American League
Guaros de Lara
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H15/12
South American League
Bilbao
#17
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A17/12
ACB
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#19
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/12
Liga A
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A20/12
Champions League
Regatas
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H23/12
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H23/12
ACB
81.0Avg total
40.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.576.9-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.237.974.1-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.179.6-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.181.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.440.975.3-6.50%-
vs Similar (15)38.937.976.8+0.960%-
vs Weaker (4)39.841.881.5-2.025%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.2
56.9%
51.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
35.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.816.3
82.3%
74.6%16.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.2
53.8%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.3
30.7%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
74.6%14.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWLL
Estudiantes
WWWWLLWLWL
#1
League position
#10
+19.3
Net rating
+2.3
121.0
Offensive rating
107.8
101.7
Defensive rating
105.5
59.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.3%
3-point %
30.7%
68.6%
Assist %
55.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 107.8Defence101.7 · 105.5Shooting59.3% · 50.2%3-point %41.3% · 30.7%Ball care15.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
30/04/17Real Madrid v Estudiantes79-72
23/10/16Estudiantes v Real Madrid88-96
07/02/16Real Madrid v Estudiantes97-79
08/11/15Estudiantes v Real Madrid75-80
29/03/15Real Madrid v Estudiantes92-66
07/12/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid89-84
13/04/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid64-71
24/11/13Real Madrid v Estudiantes72-57
05/05/13Real Madrid v Estudiantes93-82
09/12/12Estudiantes v Real Madrid74-87
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/17AFenerbahce79-77
21/12/17ABamberg81-66
19/12/17HValencia91-72
17/12/17AObradoiro CAB102-93
14/12/17HBarcelona87-75
10/12/17HMurcia87-85 OT
08/12/17AOlympiacos83-92 OT
03/12/17HGran Canaria96-72
01/12/17HCrvena zvezda83-87
24/11/17APanathinaikos80-82
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/17HObradoiro CAB95-67
23/12/17HRegatas100-94
20/12/17AHydroTruck Radom84-77
19/12/17AComunicaciones Mercedes78-71
17/12/17ABilbao77-87
15/12/17HGuaros de Lara79-82
14/12/17HGuaros de Lara74-68
12/12/17HAEK Athens78-85
10/12/17HValencia73-71
07/12/17AGuaros de Lara83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game92.291.592.8
Allowed / game80.579.881.2
Point differential+11.7+11.7+11.7
Avg total172.7171.3174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game80.578.582.5
Allowed / game82.077.087.0
Point differential-1.5+1.5-4.5
Avg total162.5155.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%92.280.5+11.7
2 Valencia1310377%84.277.9+6.2
3 Fuenlabrada1310377%77.375.6+1.7
4 Barcelona128467%89.381.2+8.2
5 Baskonia128467%85.881.2+4.6
6 Tenerife148657%76.874.9+1.9
7 Gran Canaria148657%84.983.1+1.8
8 MoraBanc Andorra147750%82.680.1+2.5
9 Obradoiro CAB147750%74.677.8-3.1
10 Unicaja136746%79.774.2+5.5
11 Murcia136746%78.878.5+0.3
12 Estudiantes125742%80.582.0-1.5
13 Gipuzkoa135838%78.277.3+0.9
14 Bilbao145936%77.984.2-6.3
15 Joventut Badalona134931%79.084.2-5.2
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza1441029%80.984.3-3.4
17 Real Betis1441029%74.185.1-11.0
18 San Pablo Burgos1431121%77.788.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1927222896
Estudiantes1623242689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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