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Estudiantes vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 81-80
20-18 13-22 23-16 25-24
Position#14
Record4-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#13
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 7
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#17
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
A07/11
Champions League
Pinheiros
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H07/11
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A08/11
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H03/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-11
21-22
19-27
13-22
20-19
12-16
21-17
18-16
11-19
20-20
22-14
19-13
17-26
19-15
23-20
16-28
21-17
15-12
7-21
26-21
27-14
14-32
19-23
20-13
30-26
28-25
18-21
19-27
12-25
14-10
27-19
20-19
15-18
18-22
22-22
27-21
19-23
24-14
16-23
20-31
162.7Avg total
79.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.677.0156.6+2.650%
Season at home (3)76.772.7149.3+4.067%
Season away (5)81.479.6161.0+1.840%
Last 10 (10)79.982.8162.7-2.930%
Last 5 (5)84.490.0174.4-5.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.879.7156.5-2.933%
vs Weaker (6)79.271.8151.0+7.383%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H21/10
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#45
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A24/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A29/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#16
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H01/11
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H05/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#9
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
A11/11
Lega A
Bayreuth
#17
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H14/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H18/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
77-87 OT
77
87
-10
A02/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
23-21
23-13
16-22
6-22
31-17
17-12
27-20
16-25
23-22
29-28
20-12
18-17
19-13
20-15
21-22
25-23
20-27
20-24
26-22
13-22
18-14
21-12
24-18
30-13
15-30
25-23
14-18
23-17
18-13
15-21
14-16
27-17
18-24
23-15
16-24
16-22
14-17
19-15
21-16
162.4Avg total
83.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.779.2164.8+6.583%
Season at home (4)89.284.5173.8+4.875%
Season away (2)78.568.5147.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.079.4162.4+3.680%
Last 5 (5)80.078.4158.4+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.178.0158.1+2.071%
vs Weaker (7)84.980.0164.9+4.986%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
EstudiantesVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A07/11
Champions League
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H07/11
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A08/11
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
Liga A
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/12
ACB
77.2Avg total
38.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.475.7-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.537.872.4-3.331%-
Last 30 away (17)37.640.678.2-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.677.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.882.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.942.775.6-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.238.976.1-1.753%-
vs Weaker (6)39.036.075.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H21/10
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#16
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H01/11
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H05/11
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A11/11
Lega A
Bayreuth
#17
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H14/11
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A02/12
Lega A
80.4Avg total
40.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.477.8+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.536.976.4+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.079.3-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.180.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.040.079.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.637.275.8+1.448%-
vs Weaker (7)42.143.085.1-0.943%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.2
50.3%
52.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.7
29.2%
34.3%26.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.6%
73.8%14.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.4
49.7%
52.6%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.5
39.1%
34.3%34.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.2
73.7%
73.8%13.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LLLLLLLWWW
Venezia
LWWWWLWWWW
#14
League position
#13
-5.7
Net rating
+2.4
101.3
Offensive rating
105.1
106.9
Defensive rating
102.7
47.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
39.1%
56.6%
Assist %
63.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 105.1Defence106.9 · 102.7Shooting47.5% · 54.1%3-point %29.2% · 39.1%Ball care14.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds24.6% · 22.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estudiantes wins
0
Venezia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17HMurcia79-91
03/12/17HSan Lorenzo82-83
30/11/17HInstituto de Cordoba86-95 OT
19/11/17AGran Canaria95-99
14/11/17ABanvit80-82
12/11/17HFuenlabrada69-71
09/11/17AFlamengo75-89
08/11/17AOlimpia Kings72-66
07/11/17HPinheiros71-68
07/11/17ABayreuth90-84 OT
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/17AAvellino77-87 OT
18/11/17HPistoia84-80
14/11/17HBayreuth70-67
11/11/17ACantu93-92 OT
07/11/17APetrol Olimpija76-66
05/11/17HTorino91-96
01/11/17HStrasbourg78-67
29/10/17AVirtus Bologna88-87
24/10/17AHydroTruck Radom81-71
21/10/17HCremona92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Champions League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game79.676.781.4
Allowed / game77.072.779.6
Point differential+2.6+4.0+1.8
Avg total156.6149.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %25%33%20%
Venezia
Champions League 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game85.789.278.5
Allowed / game79.284.568.5
Point differential+6.5+4.8+10.0
Avg total164.8173.8147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco660100%83.563.5+20.0
2 Ludwigsburg1312192%85.267.8+17.5
3 Tenerife76186%81.666.9+14.7
4 Besiktas76186%75.466.7+8.7
5 Venezia65183%85.779.2+6.5
6 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
7 Karsiyaka86275%90.286.0+4.2
8 Neptunas75271%85.477.1+8.3
9 Strasbourg75271%78.373.7+4.6
10 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
11 Nanterre96367%78.773.7+5.0
12 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
13 Oldenburg74357%90.086.3+3.7
14 Banvit74357%78.478.7-0.3
15 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
16 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
17 Estudiantes84450%79.677.0+2.6
18 Nymburk63350%78.876.7+2.2
19 Bayreuth63350%82.280.2+2.0
20 AEK Athens63350%86.284.5+1.7
21 Avellino63350%74.773.0+1.7
22 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
24 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
25 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
26 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
27 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
28 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
29 Juventus94544%79.986.0-6.1
30 Sassari73443%81.081.3-0.3
31 Chalon/Saone73443%71.472.0-0.6
32 Ventspils73443%74.676.0-1.4
33 Murcia73443%78.781.1-2.4
34 Oostende73443%68.173.6-5.4
35 Aris73443%66.672.6-6.0
36 Bonn83538%75.976.8-0.9
37 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
38 Zielona Gora62433%74.576.7-2.2
39 Hapoel Holon72529%78.785.0-6.3
40 Petrol Olimpija72529%75.682.0-6.4
41 Enisey72529%75.782.4-6.7
42 PAOK72529%71.779.7-8.0
43 Gaziantep72529%75.788.3-12.6
44 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
45 HydroTruck Radom92722%71.877.6-5.8
46 Capo d'Orlando92722%65.071.8-6.8
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2013232581
Venezia1822162480
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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