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Estudiantes vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 79-91
19-23 24-14 16-23 20-31
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game79.0
SpainACBRound 10
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Estudiantes v Murcia
04 Apr 2021
EST75
MUR85
24 Mar 2019
EST86
MUR110
03 Dec 2017
EST79
MUR91
09 Apr 2017
EST109
MUR84
10 May 2016
EST67
MUR82
08 Feb 2015
EST90
MUR79
02 Nov 2013
EST69
MUR77
28 Apr 2013
EST94
MUR85
06 May 2012
EST80
MUR86
24 Apr 2010
EST75
MUR64
11 Oct 2008
EST93
MUR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#18
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A05/11
ACB
Bayreuth
#17
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
A07/11
Champions League
Pinheiros
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H07/11
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A08/11
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
L
95-99
95
99
-4
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H03/12
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-22
27-17
25-23
29-11
21-22
19-27
13-22
20-19
12-16
21-17
18-16
11-19
20-20
22-14
19-13
17-26
19-15
23-20
16-28
21-17
15-12
7-21
26-21
27-14
14-32
19-23
20-13
30-26
28-25
18-21
19-27
12-25
14-10
27-19
20-19
15-18
18-22
22-22
27-21
162.8Avg total
81.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.283.5163.8-3.238%
Season at home (3)74.777.7152.3-3.033%
Season away (5)83.687.0170.6-3.440%
Last 10 (10)81.081.8162.8-0.840%
Last 5 (5)82.486.0168.4-3.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.778.3154.9-1.640%
vs Weaker (6)79.271.8151.0+7.383%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#44
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A18/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H22/10
ACB
Sassari
#25
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H25/10
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
97-94
97
94
+3
A29/10
ACB
Oldenburg
#10
L
80-100
80
100
-20
A01/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H05/11
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
L
91-96 OT
91
96
-5
H08/11
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#14
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A11/11
ACB
Monaco
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H14/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H19/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
20-19
21-11
13-12
12-26
32-25
25-21
22-21
21-22
18-15
24-21
15-25
23-21
27-27
25-19
22-27
20-25
16-21
23-28
21-26
10-16
17-14
15-14
18-18
15-16
17-23
24-16
24-25
23-18
20-26
20-14
23-31
14-14
16-16
20-18
13-20
17-23
23-19
20-8
22-21
161.4Avg total
79.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.779.0157.7-0.344%
Season at home (5)75.675.4151.0+0.240%
Season away (4)82.583.5166.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.681.8161.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)76.477.2153.6-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.080.6156.6-4.630%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.181.4159.5-3.327%
vs Weaker (9)83.173.9157.0+9.289%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.3-3.3
EstudiantesMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A05/11
ACB
Bayreuth
#17
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A07/11
Champions League
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H07/11
South American League
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A08/11
South American League
Flamengo
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/11
South American League
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/11
ACB
Banvit
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A14/11
Champions League
Gran Canaria
#5
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A19/11
ACB
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/11
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H03/12
Liga A
77.1Avg total
38.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.575.9-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.838.172.9-3.231%-
Last 30 away (17)37.640.678.2-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.077.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.942.775.6-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.539.176.5-1.653%-
vs Weaker (6)39.036.075.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Enisey
#44
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/10
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H22/10
ACB
Sassari
#25
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/10
Champions League
Barcelona
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/10
ACB
Oldenburg
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#12
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H05/11
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H08/11
Champions League
San Pablo Burgos
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/11
ACB
Monaco
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H14/11
Champions League
Bilbao
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H19/11
ACB
78.1Avg total
37.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.675.1-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.036.573.5+0.535%-
Last 30 away (13)38.239.077.2-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.678.1-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.071.4-2.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.240.177.3-2.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.736.573.2+0.345%-
vs Weaker (9)38.836.174.9+2.744%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.5
50.3%
51.8%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.8
29.8%
35.4%26.2
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.3%
74.6%13.8
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.715.6
44.9%
51.8%31.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
33.8%
35.4%29.6
🏀 Free throws25.419.3
75.8%
74.6%19.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
LLLLLLWWWW
Murcia
WLLLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#9
-4.8
Net rating
+2.9
101.9
Offensive rating
106.7
106.7
Defensive rating
103.9
47.9%
Effective FG%
47.5%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.8%
3-point %
33.8%
57.1%
Assist %
43.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 106.7Defence106.7 · 103.9Shooting47.9% · 47.5%3-point %29.8% · 33.8%Ball care13.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds24.0% · 34.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Estudiantes wins
6
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
09/04/17Estudiantes v Murcia109-84
30/12/16Murcia v Estudiantes100-91
10/05/16Estudiantes v Murcia67-82
17/01/16Murcia v Estudiantes83-70
08/02/15Estudiantes v Murcia90-79
09/11/14Murcia v Estudiantes79-65
23/03/14Murcia v Estudiantes85-84
02/11/13Estudiantes v Murcia69-77
28/04/13Estudiantes v Murcia94-85
30/12/12Murcia v Estudiantes68-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/17HSan Lorenzo82-83
30/11/17HInstituto de Cordoba86-95 OT
19/11/17AGran Canaria95-99
14/11/17ABanvit80-82
12/11/17HFuenlabrada69-71
09/11/17AFlamengo75-89
08/11/17AOlimpia Kings72-66
07/11/17HPinheiros71-68
07/11/17ABayreuth90-84 OT
05/11/17AReal Betis90-81
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/17HBilbao82-71
14/11/17HMonaco63-68
11/11/17ASan Pablo Burgos86-89
08/11/17HKarsiyaka91-96 OT
05/11/17HObradoiro CAB60-62
01/11/17AOldenburg80-100
29/10/17ABarcelona97-94
25/10/17HSassari78-83
22/10/17HValencia91-93
18/10/17AEnisey68-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game80.274.783.6
Allowed / game83.577.787.0
Point differential-3.2-3.0-3.4
Avg total163.8152.3170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game78.775.682.5
Allowed / game79.075.483.5
Point differential-0.3+0.2-1.0
Avg total157.7151.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid98189%91.279.6+11.7
2 Barcelona97278%89.478.6+10.9
3 Valencia97278%82.978.7+4.2
4 Obradoiro CAB97278%73.971.9+2.0
5 Fuenlabrada107370%77.276.8+0.4
6 Gran Canaria96367%87.480.9+6.6
7 Baskonia95456%83.881.3+2.4
8 Tenerife105550%74.173.1+1.0
9 Unicaja94544%78.273.7+4.6
10 MoraBanc Andorra94544%81.880.0+1.8
11 Tecnyconta Zaragoza94544%83.082.0+1.0
12 Murcia94544%78.779.0-0.3
13 Gipuzkoa104640%79.477.9+1.5
14 Estudiantes83538%80.283.5-3.2
15 Joventut Badalona83538%77.481.5-4.1
16 Bilbao93633%78.984.9-6.0
17 San Pablo Burgos91811%77.493.2-15.8
18 Real Betis100100%72.590.2-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes1924162079
Murcia2314233191
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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