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Evansville vs UT Arlington Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 76-84
34-35 42-49
Position#362
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game64.0
vs
Position#150
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game56.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Arlington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-44
39-25
46-36
33-38
31-39
46-43
27-38
34-27
23-34
30-28
29-35
24-39
22-41
29-41
44-25
48-25
39-26
37-21
28-36
44-41
137.5Avg total
69.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.864.0136.8+8.850%
Season at home (3)80.058.0138.0+22.067%
Season away (1)51.082.0133.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)69.368.2137.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)68.866.0134.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.372.0137.3-6.729%
vs Similar (4)59.558.0117.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#29
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H23/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H01/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A13/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#632
W
91-40
91
40
+51
H04/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
56-74
56
74
-18
A08/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
117-61
117
61
+56
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
44-52
23-29
44-28
27-40
44-45
23-32
36-38
29-36
39-34
32-46
43-52
46-14
45-26
19-31
37-43
56-31
61-30
34-25
33-24
143.2Avg total
74.6Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.856.0138.8+26.875%
Season at home (3)91.750.0141.7+41.7100%
Season away (1)56.074.0130.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.668.6143.2+6.040%
Last 5 (5)81.264.4145.6+16.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.880.3150.1-10.510%
vs Similar (11)71.470.6142.0+0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.266.5145.8+12.875%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +5.4+5.4
EvansvilleUT Arlington
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H13/11
NCAA
68.3Avg total
32.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.334.364.6-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.533.965.4-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)28.934.863.6-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.468.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.665.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.635.665.2-6.025%-
vs Similar (4)28.531.259.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (UT Arlington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT ArlingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#29
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H23/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H01/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A09/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A13/03
NCAA
North Texas-Dallas
#632
W
46-14
46
14
+32
H04/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Arlington Baptist Patriots
#684
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H15/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
32.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.633.365.9-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.929.265.1+6.657%-
Last 30 away (16)29.836.966.6-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)32.031.463.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.429.466.8+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.234.763.9-5.530%-
vs Similar (11)31.734.966.6-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.431.868.1+4.650%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Evansville wins
1
UT Arlington wins
DateGameScore
19/12/24UT Arlington v Evansville80-54
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HMiddle Tenn. St.72-77
09/11/25HOakland City76-47
07/11/25HCalumet College92-50
04/11/25APurdue51-82
07/03/25AMurray State53-74
02/03/25AIllinois State53-62
27/02/25HDrake61-65
22/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)77-82
20/02/25AIndiana State79-74
17/02/25HValparaiso79-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HMissouri State67-49
11/11/25HArlington Baptist Patriots117-61
08/11/25ANew Mexico56-74
04/11/25HNorth Texas-Dallas91-40
13/03/25AGrand Canyon75-98
09/03/25ACalifornia Baptist68-70
01/03/25HAbilene Christian59-70
28/02/25AGrand Canyon71-85
23/02/25HTarleton67-57
15/02/25HGrand Canyon75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.880.051.0
Allowed / game64.058.082.0
Point differential+8.8+22.0-31.0
Avg total136.8138.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UT Arlington
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game82.891.756.0
Allowed / game56.050.074.0
Point differential+26.8+41.7-18.0
Avg total138.8141.7130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa330100%73.756.3+17.3
2 Murray State43175%95.879.5+16.2
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%82.266.2+16.0
4 Belmont43175%75.075.2-0.2
5 Valparaiso43175%65.270.8-5.5
6 Drake53260%75.065.2+9.8
7 Southern Illinois42250%87.574.5+13.0
8 Evansville42250%72.864.0+8.8
9 Illinois State42250%73.276.0-2.8
10 Indiana State42250%76.580.0-3.5
11 Bradley41325%69.869.0+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist330100%75.065.0+10.0
2 UT Arlington43175%82.856.0+26.8
3 Abilene Christian43175%83.866.2+17.5
4 Utah Valley State42250%89.567.8+21.8
5 Tarleton63350%75.879.8-4.0
6 Utah Tech73443%77.477.1+0.3
7 Southern Utah51420%77.889.6-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville344276
UT Arlington354984
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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