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Illinois State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 62-53
34-23 28-30
Position#141
Record17-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#319
Record11-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Illinois State v Evansville
01 Jan 2026
ILLI73
EVAN47
02 Mar 2025
ILLI62
EVAN53
07 Mar 2024
ILLI53
EVAN59
18 Feb 2024
ILLI86
EVAN79
26 Feb 2023
ILLI72
EVAN53
21 Jan 2022
ILLI94
EVAN56
29 Jan 2020
ILLI77
EVAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H20/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-28
31-33
35-31
46-47
45-38
41-40
45-37
36-42
36-32
29-36
32-40
45-44
33-40
43-45
35-27
47-44
35-32
35-36
35-43
44-45
151.4Avg total
75.4Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.673.0149.6+3.557%
Season at home (16)81.071.7152.7+9.375%
Season away (14)71.574.6146.1-3.136%
Last 10 (10)75.476.0151.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)76.879.2156.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.271.6140.8-2.420%
vs Similar (17)78.477.2155.6+1.159%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)77.465.0142.4+12.475%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-26
34-42
20-25
58-49
37-38
43-37
23-38
36-30
25-43
49-37
26-36
28-35
40-44
39-25
46-36
33-38
31-39
46-43
27-38
34-27
144.5Avg total
71.9Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)66.970.9137.8-4.037%
Season at home (16)72.669.1141.6+3.544%
Season away (14)60.473.0133.4-12.629%
Last 10 (10)71.972.6144.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)70.072.2142.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.673.5139.2-7.929%
vs Similar (4)59.558.0117.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.7+3.7
Illinois StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.634.170.7+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.532.469.9+5.175%-
Last 30 away (14)35.636.171.6-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.870.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.470.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.834.466.2-2.620%-
vs Similar (17)38.635.874.5+2.871%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.230.465.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H27/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
31.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.365.5-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.633.967.4-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)28.534.963.4-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)31.936.368.2-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.672.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.335.565.8-5.129%-
vs Similar (4)28.531.259.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.074.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois State wins
5
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ASouthern Illinois79-88
23/02/25AMissouri State70-68
20/02/25HBradley82-71
15/02/25AIndiana State76-85
13/02/25HDrake77-84
08/02/25ANorthern Iowa65-68
06/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)81-79
01/02/25HValparaiso86-78
30/01/25HBelmont81-78
25/01/25ABradley57-61
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HDrake61-65
22/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)77-82
20/02/25AIndiana State79-74
17/02/25HValparaiso79-69
13/02/25AMissouri State54-71
09/02/25HBradley74-80
06/02/25HSouthern Illinois59-68
02/02/25ABelmont80-75
30/01/25HMurray State78-74
25/01/25AValparaiso78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %57%75%36%
Points / game76.681.071.5
Allowed / game73.071.774.6
Point differential+3.5+9.3-3.1
Avg total149.6152.7146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Evansville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL37%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %37%44%29%
Points / game66.972.660.4
Allowed / game70.969.173.0
Point differential-4.0+3.5-12.6
Avg total137.8141.6133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2926390%70.959.2+11.7
2 Bradley3124777%78.269.3+8.9
3 Belmont30201067%80.778.3+2.4
4 Northern Iowa31201165%73.967.3+6.6
5 Illinois State30171357%76.673.0+3.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)30171357%77.474.1+3.3
7 Murray State30151550%72.569.6+2.9
8 Indiana State31141745%79.979.3+0.6
9 Valparaiso30131743%75.775.1+0.6
10 Southern Illinois31131842%73.174.3-1.2
11 Evansville30111937%66.970.9-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State342862
Evansville233053
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