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Evansville vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-77
28-36 44-41
Position#362
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game59.7
vs
Position#179
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game53.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
28-35
40-44
39-25
46-36
33-38
31-39
46-43
27-38
34-27
23-34
30-28
29-35
24-39
22-41
29-41
44-25
48-25
39-26
37-21
135.1Avg total
67.5Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.059.7132.7+13.367%
Season at home (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
Season away (1)51.082.0133.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)67.567.6135.1-0.140%
Last 5 (5)65.063.0128.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)65.071.8136.8-6.830%
vs Similar (4)59.558.0117.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (3)88.759.3148.0+29.3100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-31
0-0
35-39
0-0
27-28
0-0
44-38
0-0
31-33
0-0
35-33
0-0
37-42
0-0
44-44
0-0
41-20
0-0
37-36
0-0
40-31
0-0
22-31
0-0
35-35
0-0
33-35
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
48-26
0-0
52-25
0-0
54-23
0-0
55-33
155.1Avg total
83.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.553.5158.0+51.0100%
Season at home (2)104.553.5158.0+51.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.771.4155.1+12.370%
Last 5 (5)91.472.2163.6+19.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.876.5145.2-7.825%
vs Similar (16)72.972.8145.7+0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.862.9148.7+22.9100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.7-2.71st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
EvansvilleMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#334
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Murray State
#214
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A04/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#553
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#523
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H09/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
32.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.934.265.0-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.633.666.2-1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)28.934.863.6-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)32.735.468.1-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.263.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.735.665.3-5.926%-
vs Similar (4)28.531.259.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (3)43.027.370.3+15.7100%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A28/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
40.0Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.170.2+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.131.070.1+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)34.935.670.4-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.031.271.2+8.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.031.676.6+13.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.837.071.8-2.250%-
vs Similar (16)34.433.668.0+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.729.671.2+12.167%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Evansville wins
1
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
14/11/24Middle Tenn. St. v Evansville80-63
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HOakland City76-47
07/11/25HCalumet College92-50
04/11/25APurdue51-82
07/03/25AMurray State53-74
02/03/25AIllinois State53-62
27/02/25HDrake61-65
22/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)77-82
20/02/25AIndiana State79-74
17/02/25HValparaiso79-69
13/02/25AMissouri State54-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56
05/11/25HMilligan100-51
19/03/25HChattanooga Mocs103-109 OT
14/03/25AJacksonville State68-70
14/03/25HLouisiana Tech77-75 OT
08/03/25HFlorida International78-56
07/03/25HLiberty81-86
01/03/25AUTEP76-75 OT
28/02/25ANew Mexico State71-66
22/02/25HSam Houston St.74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game73.084.051.0
Allowed / game59.748.582.0
Point differential+13.3+35.5-31.0
Avg total132.7132.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game104.5104.5-
Allowed / game53.553.5-
Point differential+51.0+51.0-
Avg total158.0158.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois220100%92.060.0+32.0
2 Northern Iowa220100%75.557.5+18.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)32167%87.367.3+20.0
4 Murray State32167%94.779.7+15.0
5 Drake32167%81.767.7+14.0
6 Evansville32167%73.059.7+13.3
7 Indiana State32167%81.373.3+8.0
8 Belmont32167%72.380.3-8.0
9 Bradley21150%74.061.5+12.5
10 Illinois State21150%72.068.5+3.5
11 Valparaiso21150%62.585.0-22.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville State220100%115.551.0+64.5
2 Middle Tenn. St.220100%104.553.5+51.0
3 Kennesaw State330100%102.754.0+48.7
4 Liberty330100%92.066.7+25.3
5 New Mexico State220100%78.565.0+13.5
6 Western Kentucky220100%84.574.5+10.0
7 Missouri State32167%93.071.0+22.0
8 UTEP32167%87.765.7+22.0
9 Louisiana Tech21150%71.556.0+15.5
10 Florida International21150%83.572.5+11.0
11 Sam Houston St.21150%86.078.5+7.5
12 Delaware3030%66.778.0-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Evansville284472
Middle Tenn. St.364177
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