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Murray State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-53
35-29 39-24
Position#214
Record15-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game69.6
vs
Position#319
Record11-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Murray State v Evansville
09 Jan 2027
MURR v EVAN
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
MURR88
EVAN75
06 Mar 2025
MURR74
EVAN53
03 Dec 2024
MURR63
EVAN61
10 Feb 2024
MURR73
EVAN70
18 Feb 2023
MURR74
EVAN58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H05/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-20
49-58
19-43
37-34
18-32
27-23
33-23
41-33
31-20
32-33
34-37
33-37
33-24
29-36
39-36
36-39
39-40
46-35
22-41
38-29
135.2Avg total
66.9Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.169.6141.7+2.548%
Season at home (17)69.964.5134.4+5.459%
Season away (14)74.875.9150.7-1.136%
Last 10 (10)66.968.3135.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)71.472.8144.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.267.2134.3+0.033%
vs Similar (17)71.872.0143.8-0.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)71.170.7141.9+0.457%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
20-25
58-49
37-38
43-37
23-38
36-30
25-43
49-37
26-36
28-35
40-44
39-25
46-36
33-38
31-39
46-43
27-38
34-27
23-34
30-28
141.4Avg total
69.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)66.570.6137.1-4.235%
Season at home (16)72.669.1141.6+3.544%
Season away (15)59.972.3132.2-12.327%
Last 10 (10)69.472.0141.4-2.640%
Last 5 (5)69.870.4140.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.272.8138.0-7.629%
vs Similar (4)59.558.0117.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (2)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.7+4.7
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +4.7+4.7
Murray StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
18-32
18
32
-14
H05/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A02/03
NCAA
60.9Avg total
29.3Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.064.5-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.432.964.2-1.538%-
Last 30 away (14)31.733.164.9-1.457%-
Last 10 (10)29.331.660.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.669.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.233.864.0-3.717%-
vs Similar (17)32.733.866.5-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)29.930.360.1-0.471%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#214
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#334
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A13/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A02/03
NCAA
66.9Avg total
29.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.165.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.633.967.4-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)28.934.363.2-5.421%-
Last 10 (10)29.837.166.9-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.271.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.635.165.7-4.529%-
vs Similar (4)28.531.259.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (2)47.027.074.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murray State wins
2
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ABelmont60-70
26/02/25HIndiana State85-75
22/02/25ABradley83-85 OT
20/02/25HSouthern Illinois62-60
18/02/25HNorthern Iowa67-74
12/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-53
08/02/25AValparaiso74-56
05/02/25HDrake45-55
01/02/25AMissouri State56-77
30/01/25AEvansville74-78
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AIllinois State53-62
27/02/25HDrake61-65
22/02/25AIllinois (Chi.)77-82
20/02/25AIndiana State79-74
17/02/25HValparaiso79-69
13/02/25AMissouri State54-71
09/02/25HBradley74-80
06/02/25HSouthern Illinois59-68
02/02/25ABelmont80-75
30/01/25HMurray State78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeLWLWW59%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %48%59%36%
Points / game72.169.974.8
Allowed / game69.664.575.9
Point differential+2.5+5.4-1.1
Avg total141.7134.4150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)75% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %13%0%29%
Evansville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %35%44%27%
Points / game66.572.659.9
Allowed / game70.669.172.3
Point differential-4.2+3.5-12.3
Avg total137.1141.6132.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake3027390%70.859.2+11.5
2 Bradley3124777%78.269.3+8.9
3 Belmont31211068%80.477.7+2.7
4 Northern Iowa31201165%73.967.3+6.6
5 Illinois State32191359%75.971.8+4.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)31181358%77.474.0+3.3
7 Murray State31151648%72.169.6+2.5
8 Indiana State32141844%80.179.5+0.6
9 Southern Illinois32141844%73.574.6-1.1
10 Valparaiso31131842%75.675.2+0.4
11 Evansville31112035%66.570.6-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State353974
Evansville292453
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