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Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 94-80
43-31 51-49
Position#85
Record15-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.9
Fairfield 🏆
USA
vs
Mount St. Mary's
USA
Position#274
Record11-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fairfield v Mount St. Mary's
01 Mar 2026
FAIR47
MOUN69
28 Feb 2025
FAIR69
MOUN62
18 Feb 2024
FAIR94
MOUN80
12 Feb 2023
FAIR76
MOUN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#206
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A13/01
NCAA
Canisius
#264
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A15/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H20/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H09/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Niagara
#206
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-52
36-44
47-28
41-35
35-28
41-39
38-35
44-40
33-32
31-34
41-47
41-44
30-36
47-32
35-39
49-28
33-36
31-26
30-36
33-29
147.2Avg total
75.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.670.9146.5+4.660%
Season at home (11)75.165.7140.8+9.464%
Season away (14)75.975.0150.9+0.957%
Last 10 (10)75.272.0147.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)74.070.6144.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)69.171.5140.5-2.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.172.8149.9+4.462%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#218
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A14/01
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H20/01
NCAA
Niagara
#206
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H21/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A26/01
NCAA
Rider
#237
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H27/01
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A03/02
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A04/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H09/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H10/02
NCAA
Rider
#237
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
40-52
29-21
36-27
34-38
37-44
35-40
30-39
25-32
37-34
41-20
35-38
43-31
25-30
39-33
43-45
44-43
52-36
27-22
30-39
141.1Avg total
71.2Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.069.8141.8+2.146%
Season at home (9)76.865.4142.2+11.378%
Season away (15)69.172.5141.5-3.427%
Last 10 (10)71.269.9141.1+1.350%
Last 5 (5)75.867.4143.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.274.0143.2-4.840%
vs Similar (16)68.570.9139.4-2.438%
vs Weaker (9)76.265.9142.1+10.378%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
FairfieldMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#206
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A13/01
NCAA
Canisius
#264
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A15/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/01
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Rider
#237
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H09/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Niagara
#206
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H17/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.867.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.431.064.4+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)33.936.270.1-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.972.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.872.6-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)30.432.663.0-2.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.135.871.8+0.344%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#218
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A14/01
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Niagara
#206
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A26/01
NCAA
Rider
#237
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Marist
#143
W
41-20
41
20
+21
A03/02
NCAA
Siena
#366
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A04/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A17/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
34.7Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.165.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.730.665.2+4.167%-
Last 30 away (18)34.131.465.5+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.566.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.829.868.6+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.833.868.6+1.060%-
vs Similar (16)32.431.964.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker (9)37.428.265.7+9.278%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fairfield wins
0
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Fairfield v Mount St. Mary's76-72 OT
27/01/23Mount St. Mary's v Fairfield60-63
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HNiagara63-65
10/02/24ASt. Peters64-62
09/02/24HRider84-67
04/02/24HManhattan77-68
03/02/24AIona82-91
28/01/24HQuinnipiac64-66
21/01/24AManhattan82-75
20/01/24HSt. Peters76-67
15/01/24ACanisius88-63
13/01/24ANiagara72-96
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ARider57-61
10/02/24HQuinnipiac96-79
09/02/24HManhattan82-78
04/02/24ASiena68-61
03/02/24AMarist76-58
27/01/24HRider62-66
26/01/24AQuinnipiac65-79
21/01/24HNiagara71-82
20/01/24HMarist65-48
14/01/24AIona70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %60%64%57%
Points / game75.675.175.9
Allowed / game70.965.775.0
Point differential+4.6+9.4+0.9
Avg total146.5140.8150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL46%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayLLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24915
Win %46%78%27%
Points / game72.076.869.1
Allowed / game69.865.472.5
Point differential+2.1+11.3-3.4
Avg total141.8142.2141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%56%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac2419579%78.872.2+6.6
2 Merrimack Warriors27171063%69.466.1+3.3
3 Marist2314961%65.761.9+3.8
4 Fairfield25151060%75.670.9+4.6
5 Niagara24131154%74.773.2+1.5
6 St. Peters24131154%64.763.6+1.1
7 Iona25131252%73.171.1+2.0
8 Sacred Heart27131448%73.472.5+0.9
9 Mount St. Mary's24111346%72.069.8+2.1
10 Canisius2491538%71.874.2-2.4
11 Rider2591636%71.874.6-2.8
12 Manhattan2351822%67.076.7-9.7
13 Siena2542116%60.175.2-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fairfield435194
Mount St. Mary's314980
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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