Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 60-63

28-32 32-31

Position#282

Record7-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game62.1

Allowed / game64.2

Mount St. Mary's

Fairfield 🏆

Position#267

Record9-10

FormLLWWW

Points / game64.7

Allowed / game63.9

NCAA

Other2022-23

Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Fairfield

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Fairfield winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary's USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Loyola Maryland

#281

51-34

+17

H11/12

NCAA

Robert Morris

#216

59-68

-9

H18/12

NCAA

Howard

#99

62-63

-1

A21/12

NCAA

Niagara

#191

55-67

-12

A31/12

NCAA

Canisius

#310

64-60

A02/01

NCAA

Marist

#279

56-63

-7

A08/01

NCAA

Manhattan

#274

57-62

-5

H14/01

NCAA

Quinnipiac

#124

51-58

-7

H15/01

NCAA

Siena

#179

57-72

-15

A21/01

NCAA

Marist

#279

59-55

H22/01

NCAA

24-10

27-24

32-32

27-36

29-31

33-32

27-36

28-31

36-26

28-34

28-23

28-40

32-25

25-37

24-23

27-35

38-37

19-35

26-22

33-33

117.3Avg total

57.1Scored

60.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	62.1	64.2	126.3	-2.1	35%
Season at home (8)	57.9	56.5	114.4	+1.4	38%
Season away (12)	64.9	69.4	134.3	-4.5	33%
Last 10 (10)	57.1	60.2	117.3	-3.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	56.0	62.0	118.0	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	60.3	70.2	130.6	-9.9	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	62.4	61.4	123.8	+1.1	50%
vs Weaker (6)	66.8	57.8	124.7	+9.0	67%

This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Fairfield

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sacred Heart

#219

61-59

H08/12

NCAA

Yale

#50

64-77

-13

H13/12

NCAA

Coast Guard

#563

86-45

+41

H18/12

NCAA

Marist

#279

73-54

+19

H31/12

NCAA

Siena

#179

61-70

-9

H01/01

NCAA

Niagara

#191

69-77 OT

-8

H07/01

NCAA

Iona

#25

69-75

-6

A14/01

NCAA

St. Peters

#257

56-52

A15/01

NCAA

Canisius

#310

67-58

H21/01

NCAA

Siena

#179

62-52

+10

A22/01

NCAA

32-27

29-32

29-24

35-53

40-18

46-27

28-24

45-30

27-36

34-34

26-24

37-39

34-32

35-43

24-31

32-21

32-31

35-27

15-20

47-32

128.7Avg total

66.8Scored

61.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	64.7	63.9	128.7	+0.8	47%
Season at home (8)	68.5	61.9	130.4	+6.6	62%
Season away (11)	62.0	65.5	127.5	-3.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	66.8	61.9	128.7	+4.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	64.6	62.8	127.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	66.0	75.0	141.0	-9.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	62.0	63.6	125.7	-1.6	43%
vs Weaker (3)	71.7	60.7	132.3	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Mount St. Mary'sFairfield

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Loyola Maryland

#281

24-10

+14

H11/12

NCAA

Robert Morris

#216

32-32

H18/12

NCAA

Howard

#99

29-31

-2

A21/12

NCAA

Niagara

#191

27-36

-9

A31/12

NCAA

Canisius

#310

36-26

+10

A02/01

NCAA

Marist

#279

28-23

A08/01

NCAA

Manhattan

#274

32-25

H14/01

NCAA

Quinnipiac

#124

24-23

H15/01

NCAA

Siena

#179

38-37

A21/01

NCAA

Marist

#279

26-22

H22/01

NCAA

56.1Avg total

29.6Scored

26.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.6	29.0	58.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	30.4	27.4	57.8	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	28.9	30.4	59.4	-1.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.6	26.5	56.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	26.0	55.6	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	28.3	32.9	61.2	-4.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	29.6	27.4	57.0	+2.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (6)	31.3	27.7	59.0	+3.7	50%	-

This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sacred Heart

#219

32-27

H08/12

NCAA

Yale

#50

29-24

H13/12

NCAA

Coast Guard

#563

40-18

+22

H18/12

NCAA

Marist

#279

28-24

H31/12

NCAA

Siena

#179

27-36

-9

H01/01

NCAA

Niagara

#191

26-24

H07/01

NCAA

Iona

#25

34-32

A14/01

NCAA

St. Peters

#257

24-31

-7

A15/01

NCAA

Canisius

#310

32-31

H21/01

NCAA

Siena

#179

15-20

-5

A22/01

NCAA

55.4Avg total

28.7Scored

26.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.1	29.3	58.4	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.1	27.2	58.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.1	31.3	58.5	-4.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.7	26.7	55.4	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	27.6	53.8	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.6	31.0	63.6	+1.6	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	27.2	29.8	57.0	-2.5	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	33.0	26.7	59.7	+6.3	100%	-

This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.0	33.5	66.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	30.9	29.7	60.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	36.9	71.7	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.5	33.7	61.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	36.0	62.4	-9.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	32.0	37.3	69.3	-5.3	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	32.8	34.0	66.8	-1.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	35.5	30.2	65.7	+5.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	34.7	69.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.2	34.7	70.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.5	34.8	68.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	33.8	71.3	+3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	32.4	69.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.4	44.0	77.4	-10.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	34.5	33.2	67.7	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.0	32.7	68.7	+3.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mount St. Mary's wins

Fairfield wins

No previous meetings.

Mount St. Mary'slast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/23	H	Marist	59-55
21/01/23	A	Siena	57-72
15/01/23	H	Quinnipiac	51-58
14/01/23	H	Manhattan	57-62
08/01/23	A	Marist	56-63
02/01/23	A	Canisius	64-60
31/12/22	A	Niagara	55-67
21/12/22	A	Howard	62-63
18/12/22	H	Robert Morris	59-68
11/12/22	H	Loyola Maryland	51-34

Fairfieldlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/23	A	Siena	62-52
21/01/23	H	Canisius	67-58
15/01/23	A	St. Peters	56-52
14/01/23	A	Iona	69-75
07/01/23	H	Niagara	69-77 OT
01/01/23	H	Siena	61-70
31/12/22	H	Marist	73-54
18/12/22	H	Coast Guard	86-45
13/12/22	H	Yale	64-77
08/12/22	H	Sacred Heart	61-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	35%
Home	WLLLW	38%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	8	12
Win %	35%	38%	33%
Points / game	62.1	57.9	64.9
Allowed / game	64.2	56.5	69.4
Point differential	-2.1	+1.4	-4.5
Avg total	126.3	114.4	134.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	25%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	33% (3)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Fairfield

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	47%
Home	WWLLW	62%
Away	WLLWW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	8	11
Win %	47%	62%	36%
Points / game	64.7	68.5	62.0
Allowed / game	63.9	61.9	65.5
Point differential	+0.8	+6.6	-3.5
Avg total	128.7	130.4	127.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	38%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quinnipiac	20	14	6	70%	72.2	67.0	+5.1
2	Iona	19	13	6	68%	76.4	67.4	+9.0
3	Siena	20	13	7	65%	69.9	67.3	+2.5
4	Niagara	19	10	9	53%	64.5	64.6	-0.2
5	Rider	18	9	9	50%	69.2	67.9	+1.3
6	Sacred Heart	22	11	11	50%	70.6	71.8	-1.2
7	Fairfield	19	9	10	47%	64.7	63.9	+0.8
8	St. Peters	20	8	12	40%	61.5	64.2	-2.6
9	Marist	18	7	11	39%	62.7	65.6	-2.9
10	Mount St. Mary's	20	7	13	35%	62.1	64.2	-2.1
11	Manhattan	18	6	12	33%	68.3	71.7	-3.4
12	Merrimack Warriors	21	6	15	29%	57.3	62.6	-5.3
13	Canisius	19	5	14	26%	69.5	73.7	-4.2

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Mount St. Mary's	28	32	60
Fairfield	32	31	63

← all games of the day

Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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