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Fenerbahce vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 26 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:45
Scheduled
Position#5
Record7-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game88.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Barcelona
26 Mar 2027
FEN v BAR
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
FEN72
BAR71
02 Apr 2025
FEN75
BAR83
20 Mar 2024
FEN88
BAR74
10 Mar 2023
FEN81
BAR73
26 Oct 2021
FEN74
BAR76
02 Apr 2021
FEN73
BAR82
15 Mar 2019
FEN88
BAR82
26 Jan 2018
FEN86
BAR82
06 Apr 2017
FEN68
BAR65
06 Nov 2014
FEN78
BAR80
09 Jan 2014
FEN73
BAR76
25 Oct 2013
FEN75
BAR70
21 Feb 2013
FEN60
BAR99
09 Dec 2010
FEN69
BAR75
21 Oct 2009
FEN59
BAR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
97avg 78
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 78
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 78
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 78
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 78
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 78
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
23-29
28-13
21-24
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
155.7Avg total
81.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.375.4155.7+4.970%
Season at home (6)85.270.0155.2+15.2100%
Season away (4)73.083.5156.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)81.574.2155.7+7.370%
Last 5 (5)80.876.4157.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.079.0140.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.181.0162.1+0.159%
vs Weaker (12)87.673.2160.8+14.492%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 84
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 84
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 84
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
185.2Avg total
93.7Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.088.7179.7+2.370%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (5)90.486.2176.6+4.280%
Last 10 (10)93.791.5185.2+2.280%
Last 5 (5)94.089.6183.6+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.098.9186.9-10.943%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.589.5182.1+3.055%
vs Weaker (12)95.786.8182.4+8.992%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
FenerbahceBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.4Avg total
39.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.981.1+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.678.7+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.283.5+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.476.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.142.982.0-3.835%-
vs Weaker (12)45.636.281.8+9.383%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#17
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
89.1Avg total
43.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.342.986.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.842.183.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)44.843.788.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.289.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.044.682.6-6.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.244.288.4+0.036%-
vs Weaker (12)45.640.886.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
77.1%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
77.1%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWLLWWLWW
Barcelona
WWWWWWWLLW
#5
League position
#7
+3.1
Net rating
-0.3
97.9
Offensive rating
104.9
94.8
Defensive rating
105.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
58.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
39.2%
62.7%
Assist %
50.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 104.9Defence94.8 · 105.3Shooting54.2% · 58.1%3-point %33.1% · 39.2%Ball care15.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
6
Barcelona wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
13/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas99-80
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%100%25%
Points / game80.385.273.0
Allowed / game75.470.083.5
Point differential+4.9+15.2-10.5
Avg total155.7155.2156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game91.091.690.4
Allowed / game88.791.286.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+4.2
Avg total179.7182.8176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Fenerbahce107370%80.375.4+4.9
6 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
7 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan105550%79.478.9+0.5
12 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
13 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
14 Paris104640%89.092.6-3.6
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia101910%81.393.1-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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