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Fenerbahce vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 May 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-77 (OT)
23-15 18-25 14-17 17-15 16-5
Position#2
Record22-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#4
Record18-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game76.4
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Semi-finals
European cup2015
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FEN98
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FEN75
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FEN66
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FEN69
BAS81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A25/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#13
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H04/03
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A10/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H17/03
Euroleague
Cedevita
#17
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A25/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H01/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A08/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H12/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H14/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#12
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A19/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
16-21
17-19
18-21
14-18
11-16
24-6
23-25
17-13
13-12
13-19
12-8
25-21
20-18
12-15
20-15
13-22
17-22
13-27
16-18
19-16
18-18
29-16
24-36
20-23
8-16
20-19
19-13
15-11
26-18
12-23
22-17
27-14
27-15
22-19
24-30
18-13
12-14
24-13
21-23
145.9Avg total
74.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.372.2150.5+6.181%
Season at home (14)81.971.0152.9+10.9100%
Season away (13)74.573.5148.0+1.162%
Last 10 (10)74.171.8145.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)81.473.4154.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.173.0149.1+3.189%
vs Weaker (20)79.071.5150.4+7.580%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A07/04
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H10/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#6
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H13/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#6
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
H15/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#6
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A19/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#8
W
108-97
108
97
+11
A24/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A29/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#18
W
101-73
101
73
+28
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
102-99
102
99
+3
H04/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
A08/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
14-16
24-18
17-26
19-19
30-11
21-20
30-21
18-16
21-12
25-21
20-19
16-21
22-15
16-15
19-22
20-17
22-20
14-18
28-20
30-20
29-33
30-22
19-22
6-17
24-20
20-27
18-25
22-12
35-14
22-21
22-26
28-24
26-31
21-20
27-24
26-26
26-21
22-22
25-22
172.7Avg total
89.7Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.076.4158.4+5.667%
Season at home (14)86.675.5162.1+11.193%
Season away (13)77.177.3154.4-0.238%
Last 10 (10)89.783.0172.7+6.780%
Last 5 (5)95.689.8185.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.388.3163.7-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.178.1158.2+2.171%
vs Weaker (12)93.380.4173.8+12.975%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
FenerbahceBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A25/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#13
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H04/03
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A10/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H17/03
Euroleague
Cedevita
#17
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A25/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#11
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A08/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H12/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#12
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H14/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#12
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A19/04
Euroleague
69.2Avg total
35.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.875.6+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.235.075.2+5.281%-
Last 30 away (14)39.136.875.9+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.633.669.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.669.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.637.476.0+1.156%-
vs Weaker (20)40.135.475.5+4.770%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A07/04
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H10/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H13/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#8
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A24/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/04
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#18
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H04/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A08/05
ACB
84.2Avg total
44.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.579.6+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.480.6+7.860%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.778.6-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.484.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)50.443.694.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.339.072.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.937.575.4+0.457%-
vs Weaker (12)47.240.387.6+6.958%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fenerbahce wins
8
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
02/04/15Baskonia v Fenerbahce93-76
06/02/15Fenerbahce v Baskonia91-90
03/04/14Baskonia v Fenerbahce95-73
13/02/14Fenerbahce v Baskonia98-64
14/03/13Baskonia v Fenerbahce87-67
18/01/13Fenerbahce v Baskonia75-97
24/11/11Baskonia v Fenerbahce90-85 OT
19/10/11Fenerbahce v Baskonia66-69
04/12/08Fenerbahce v Baskonia69-81
20/10/08Baskonia v Fenerbahce80-70
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/16AReal Madrid75-63
14/04/16HReal Madrid100-78
12/04/16HReal Madrid75-69
08/04/16AUnicaja67-71
01/04/16HAnadolu Efes90-86
25/03/16ACedevita59-89
17/03/16HDarussafaka77-69
10/03/16ALokomotiv Kuban55-52
04/03/16HCrvena zvezda72-65
25/02/16APanathinaikos71-76
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/16AMoraBanc Andorra99-91
04/05/16HJoventut Badalona102-99
01/05/16HGipuzkoa101-73
29/04/16ABarcelona68-89
24/04/16AFuenlabrada108-97
19/04/16APanathinaikos84-75
15/04/16HPanathinaikos82-78 OT
13/04/16HPanathinaikos84-68
10/04/16HTecnyconta Zaragoza100-71
07/04/16ABamberg69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %81%100%62%
Points / game78.381.974.5
Allowed / game72.271.073.5
Point differential+6.1+10.9+1.1
Avg total150.5152.9148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2015
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%93%38%
Points / game82.086.677.1
Allowed / game76.475.577.3
Point differential+5.6+11.1-0.2
Avg total158.4162.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %15%21%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2823582%90.681.1+9.5
2 Fenerbahce2722581%78.372.2+6.1
3 Lokomotiv Kuban30201067%77.071.0+5.9
4 Baskonia2718967%82.076.4+5.6
5 Olympiacos24141058%76.874.9+2.0
6 Panathinaikos27151256%75.773.6+2.1
7 Barcelona29161355%78.975.2+3.7
8 Anadolu Efes24131154%82.779.6+3.0
9 Bamberg24131154%77.175.3+1.8
10 Khimki M.24121250%81.878.2+3.5
11 Unicaja24111346%72.274.8-2.6
12 Real Madrid27121544%82.982.3+0.5
13 Crvena zvezda27121544%75.078.2-3.2
14 Bayern104640%76.378.0-1.7
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv104640%75.079.2-4.2
16 Darussafaka2491538%73.576.0-2.5
17 Cedevita2481633%74.579.5-5.0
18 Olimpia Milano103730%73.779.7-6.0
19 Karsiyaka103730%69.877.2-7.4
20 Strasbourg103730%71.181.4-10.3
21 Limoges103730%69.882.3-12.5
22 Zalgiris Kaunas2471729%71.079.6-8.6
23 Zielona Gora102820%66.474.8-8.4
24 Sassari100100%69.083.9-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fenerbahce231814171688
Baskonia15251715577
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