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Fenerbahce vs Bursaspor Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game82.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 22· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Bursaspor
12 Mar 2027
FEN v BUR
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
FEN92
BUR84
20 Oct 2024
FEN95
BUR78
30 Dec 2023
FEN97
BUR90
22 May 2023
FEN84
BUR82
19 May 2022
FEN93
BUR81
15 May 2022
FEN100
BUR87
06 Feb 2022
FEN99
BUR96
20 Dec 2020
FEN90
BUR54
05 Jan 2020
FEN86
BUR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 78
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 78
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 78
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 78
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
18-32
17-11
25-11
17-21
161.1Avg total
82.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.679.0164.6+6.675%
Season at home (4)81.879.5161.2+2.275%
Season away (4)89.578.5168.0+11.075%
Last 10 (10)82.878.3161.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)87.277.4164.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.587.0155.5-18.50%
vs Similar (16)80.378.2158.5+2.169%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 75
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 75
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#9
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 75
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
67avg 75
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
94avg 75
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 75
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 75
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 75
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
59-78
59
78
-19
no box
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
26-25
16-19
18-14
14-16
34-15
18-31
16-22
22-26
17-16
17-22
20-18
26-19
10-20
15-18
18-21
20-20
25-21
21-19
27-28
20-20
16-21
31-28
13-21
15-20
13-23
17-22
19-18
19-21
20-21
18-24
26-20
15-23
21-20
11-16
12-19
15-24
12-21
23-10
21-21
158.7Avg total
76.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.482.6157.0-8.212%
Season at home (4)72.883.0155.8-10.20%
Season away (4)76.082.2158.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)76.082.7158.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)71.482.6154.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)78.889.6168.4-10.821%
vs Similar (11)85.588.2173.6-2.736%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
FenerbahceBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.081.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.278.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)37.941.579.4-3.631%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#14
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#7
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.9Avg total
38.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.284.5-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.545.286.8-3.825%-
Last 30 away (14)36.845.181.9-8.314%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.679.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)33.242.876.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.645.984.5-7.416%-
vs Similar (11)40.543.884.4-3.327%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
54.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
75.9%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.3
55.9%
54.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
75.9%12.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWWLLWWL
Bursaspor
LLLLLWLLLW
#3
League position
#16
+3.1
Net rating
-2.9
97.9
Offensive rating
95.3
94.8
Defensive rating
98.2
54.2%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.1%
3-point %
38.7%
62.7%
Assist %
69.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 95.3Defence94.8 · 98.2Shooting54.2% · 56.9%3-point %33.1% · 38.7%Ball care15.6% · 18.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Fenerbahce wins
1
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Bursaspor v Fenerbahce59-78
29/03/26Bursaspor v Fenerbahce89-83 OT
23/11/25Fenerbahce v Bursaspor92-84
08/02/25Bursaspor v Fenerbahce97-98 OT
20/10/24Fenerbahce v Bursaspor95-78
11/05/24Bursaspor v Fenerbahce112-116 OT
30/12/23Fenerbahce v Bursaspor97-90
22/05/23Fenerbahce v Bursaspor84-82
15/01/23Bursaspor v Fenerbahce84-100
19/05/22Fenerbahce v Bursaspor93-81
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HAnadolu Efes77-75
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABesiktas71-76
07/11/26HFenerbahce59-78
01/11/26HKarsiyaka83-86
23/10/26ACayirova64-83
17/10/26HBahcesehir Kol.80-90
12/10/26AGalatasaray93-88
03/10/26HTurk Telekom69-78
27/09/26ATrabzonspor76-82
10/05/26AKarsiyaka82-84
02/05/26AEsenler Erokspor83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.681.889.5
Allowed / game79.079.578.5
Point differential+6.6+2.2+11.0
Avg total164.6161.2168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game74.472.876.0
Allowed / game82.683.082.2
Point differential-8.2-10.2-6.2
Avg total157.0155.8158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce86275%85.679.0+6.6
4 Anadolu Efes85362%84.679.1+5.5
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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