Fenerbahce will host Lyon-Villeurbanne on 17 November 2026 in the EuroLeague, and the Pythia model names the Turkish side as the favourite, assigning it an 81% chance of victory largely because of its 7-4 record and a points-per-game advantage of 82.9 to 78.6, while Lyon-Villeurbanne sits 16th with a 4-6 record and 88.3 points scored but 93.0 allowed. Fenerbahce has been flawless at home, 6-0 with 85.2 points per game and 70.0 allowed, and has won three of its last five games, though it lost 109-111 to Paris away on 11 November and beat Bursaspor 78-59 away on 7 November. Lyon-Villeurbanne's road form is 1-3, with 88.5 points per game and 103.5 allowed, and it has also won three of its last five games, including a 106-97 win over Pau-Orthez at home on 7 November. Historically, Fenerbahce has dominated the series 8-2 and won the most recent encounter 81-76 on 16 April 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 87-78, a total of 165.1 points, and gives the home team a 47% chance to cover the -10.5 line while the over on the 165.5 line has a 48% probability; the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next matchup will see Fenerbahce extend its home winning streak.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 82.9 | 78.6 | 161.5 | +4.3 | 64% |
| Season at home (6) | 85.2 | 70.0 | 155.2 | +15.2 | 100% |
| Season away (5) | 80.2 | 89.0 | 169.2 | -8.8 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.5 | 77.3 | 159.8 | +5.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 81.4 | 168.4 | +5.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 68.5 | 87.0 | 155.5 | -18.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (16) | 81.5 | 78.9 | 160.4 | +2.6 | 69% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 90.5 | 77.0 | 167.5 | +13.5 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 88.5 | 93.2 | 181.7 | -4.6 | 36% |
| Season at home (7) | 88.6 | 87.3 | 175.9 | +1.3 | 43% |
| Season away (4) | 88.5 | 103.5 | 192.0 | -15.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.4 | 92.8 | 184.2 | -1.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 96.0 | 93.8 | 189.8 | +2.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 83.3 | 93.7 | 177.0 | -10.4 | 10% |
| vs Similar (6) | 91.0 | 87.3 | 178.3 | +3.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 86.4 | 80.3 | 166.7 | +6.1 | 79% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.7 | 39.9 | 81.6 | +1.8 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.9 | 37.9 | 78.8 | +3.1 | 64% | 36% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.4 | 41.8 | 84.1 | +0.6 | 44% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.3 | 38.1 | 76.4 | +0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.4 | 41.6 | 87.0 | +3.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 33.0 | 40.0 | 73.0 | -7.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (16) | 38.8 | 41.3 | 80.1 | -2.6 | 38% | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (12) | 47.1 | 38.1 | 85.2 | +9.0 | 83% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.5 | 42.2 | 85.7 | +1.2 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 45.2 | 40.1 | 85.3 | +5.2 | 78% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 40.8 | 45.5 | 86.3 | -4.7 | 33% | 42% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.0 | 45.8 | 89.8 | -1.8 | 50% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 45.2 | 90.8 | +0.4 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 42.4 | 47.9 | 90.3 | -5.5 | 40% | 60% |
| vs Similar (6) | 44.5 | 39.0 | 83.5 | +5.5 | 67% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 43.8 | 39.6 | 83.4 | +4.2 | 71% | 43% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon-Villeurbanne +16.5 | 73.3% | 1.38 | 1.41 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +9.0pp |
| Lyon-Villeurbanne +15.5 | 70.3% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +8.7pp |
| Fenerbahce (regulation) | 78.3% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.19 | - | - | - | +0.0pp |
| Fenerbahce win | 80.5% | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | -0.1pp |
| Under 174.5 | 72.2% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.5 | 18.9 | 55.2% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.7 | 9.5 | 35.7% | 28.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.4 | 15.9 | 77.1% | 15.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.8 | 21.4 | 55.2% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.8 | 9.5 | 35.7% | 28.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 14.9 | 77.1% | 14.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 | Lyon-Villeurbanne v Fenerbahce | 76-81 |
| 06/11/25 | Fenerbahce v Lyon-Villeurbanne | 81-67 |
| 13/03/25 | Fenerbahce v Lyon-Villeurbanne | 92-82 |
| 08/11/24 | Lyon-Villeurbanne v Fenerbahce | 73-77 |
| 30/01/24 | Lyon-Villeurbanne v Fenerbahce | 73-83 |
| 19/10/23 | Fenerbahce v Lyon-Villeurbanne | 101-86 |
| 26/01/23 | Lyon-Villeurbanne v Fenerbahce | 91-77 |
| 18/10/22 | Fenerbahce v Lyon-Villeurbanne | 84-63 |
| 01/02/22 | Fenerbahce v Lyon-Villeurbanne | 85-76 |
| 23/12/21 | Lyon-Villeurbanne v Fenerbahce | 84-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Paris | 109-111 OT |
| 07/11/26 | A | Bursaspor | 78-59 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Baskonia | 84-65 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Tofas | 88-77 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Real Madrid | 76-95 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Valencia | 78-86 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Karsiyaka | 97-72 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Olympiacos | 64-61 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Petkim Spor | 77-82 |
| 15/10/26 | H | Partizan | 74-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Besiktas | 91-95 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Pau-Orthez | 106-97 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Bayern | 95-99 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Saint Quentin | 94-99 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Baskonia | 94-79 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Partizan | 82-75 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Nancy | 78-74 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas | 85-105 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Limoges | 97-94 OT |
| 15/10/26 | A | Real Madrid | 92-111 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 64% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | LWLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 64% | 100% | 20% |
| Points / game | 82.9 | 85.2 | 80.2 |
| Allowed / game | 78.6 | 70.0 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | +4.3 | +15.2 | -8.8 |
| Avg total | 161.5 | 155.2 | 169.2 |
| Over 166.5 | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 45% | 83% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 9% | 0% | 20% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 36% |
| Home | LWWLL | 43% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 7 | 4 |
| Win % | 36% | 43% | 25% |
| Points / game | 88.5 | 88.6 | 88.5 |
| Allowed / game | 93.2 | 87.3 | 103.5 |
| Point differential | -4.6 | +1.3 | -15.0 |
| Avg total | 181.7 | 175.9 | 192.0 |
| Over 166.5 | 73% | 57% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 18% | 29% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 0% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 86.4 | 78.5 | +7.9 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 88.5 | 80.7 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 96.4 | 88.9 | +7.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 89.6 | 87.4 | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 98.5 | 90.1 | +8.4 | |
| 6 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 83.3 | 77.7 | +5.5 | |
| 7 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 82.9 | 78.6 | +4.3 | |
| 8 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 85.6 | 82.4 | +3.3 | |
| 9 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 86.5 | 85.6 | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 90.4 | 87.2 | +3.2 | |
| 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 79.5 | 77.7 | +1.7 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 85.9 | 87.5 | -1.5 | |
| 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 88.4 | 90.9 | -2.5 | |
| 14 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 91.0 | 94.1 | -3.1 | |
| 15 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 88.5 | 93.2 | -4.6 | |
| 16 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 86.1 | 90.7 | -4.6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 84.3 | 92.1 | -7.8 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 86.8 | 95.2 | -8.4 | |
| 19 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 81.3 | 89.3 | -8.0 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9% | 79.9 | 91.9 | -12.0 |
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