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Fenerbahce vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 77-73
17-19 16-18 12-14 32-22
Position#1
Record19-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#12
Record6-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game89.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 21· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Manisa
27 Dec 2025
FEN93
MAI79
15 Mar 2025
FEN77
MAI73
16 Mar 2024
FEN98
MAI82
05 Mar 2023
FEN92
MAI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#9
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
91avg 83
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
87-56
87
56
+31
85avg 83
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
93avg 83
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#2
W
104-81
104
81
+23
106avg 83
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 83
A27/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#15
W
91-75
91
75
+16
82avg 83
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
79avg 83
A03/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
100-76
100
76
+24
100avg 83
A06/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 83
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
92-82
92
82
+10
94avg 83
H13/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
18-22
16-18
29-26
22-7
27-18
21-13
17-18
22-16
20-19
22-11
25-28
27-19
31-21
24-20
22-21
21-25
25-16
17-31
13-22
25-17
16-16
21-21
29-21
16-26
21-19
26-15
24-23
24-19
29-18
23-19
24-20
24-15
25-18
11-20
28-22
30-23
19-21
21-16
22-22
170.5Avg total
91.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.880.2171.0+10.595%
Season at home (9)89.679.8169.3+9.889%
Season away (11)91.780.6172.4+11.1100%
Last 10 (10)91.279.3170.5+11.990%
Last 5 (5)91.678.2169.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)82.584.3166.8-1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.780.8172.5+10.995%
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#16
L
74-79
74
79
-5
68avg 78
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
102avg 78
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
73-91
73
91
-18
56avg 78
A29/01
Champions League
Darussafaka
#15
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
77avg 78
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
74avg 78
H05/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
90avg 78
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
98avg 78
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
L
74-98
74
98
-24
68avg 78
A05/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 78
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
98avg 78
H12/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-18
22-11
15-27
25-23
21-27
28-14
22-16
18-22
24-20
17-22
14-27
25-16
11-30
25-20
21-16
15-28
25-17
15-23
30-28
12-20
28-23
28-18
21-19
26-23
19-24
23-24
23-20
20-27
22-27
16-24
16-20
14-23
19-15
21-25
18-20
28-18
21-25
23-16
26-16
173.0Avg total
85.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.589.7175.2-4.230%
Season at home (10)85.289.4174.6-4.230%
Season away (10)85.889.9175.7-4.130%
Last 10 (10)85.287.8173.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)87.687.2174.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.387.1167.4-6.822%
vs Similar (14)87.690.3177.9-2.643%
vs Weaker (7)89.188.6177.7+0.657%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
FenerbahceManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#2
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#15
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A03/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A06/03
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H13/03
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
46.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.983.1+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.137.982.9+7.287%-
Last 30 away (15)43.339.983.2+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)46.737.784.4+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.484.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)41.841.283.0+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.238.483.6+6.784%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#16
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/01
Champions League
Darussafaka
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H05/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A05/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H12/03
Champions League
85.9Avg total
41.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.085.6-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.682.5-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.346.388.7-4.020%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.985.9-3.910%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.742.683.2-1.933%-
vs Similar (14)42.244.887.0-2.629%-
vs Weaker (7)41.744.185.9-2.429%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.317.9
57.2%
54.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.9
39.8%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws17.114.4
84.2%
76.0%14.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.0
53.4%
54.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
76.0%17.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWLWWWW
Manisa
WLLWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#12
+9.2
Net rating
-2.6
126.1
Offensive rating
111.6
116.9
Defensive rating
114.1
58.5%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
37.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
39.8%
3-point %
34.2%
64.9%
Assist %
56.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence126.1 · 111.6Defence116.9 · 114.1Shooting58.5% · 52.5%3-point %39.8% · 34.2%Ball care16.8% · 14.8%Off. rebounds37.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
0
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Manisa v Fenerbahce82-90
16/03/24Fenerbahce v Manisa98-82
19/11/23Manisa v Fenerbahce69-82
05/03/23Fenerbahce v Manisa92-78
22/10/22Manisa v Fenerbahce58-93
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne92-82
09/03/25APetkim Spor88-75
06/03/25AOlimpia Milano100-76
03/03/25AParis87-83
01/03/25HDarussafaka91-75
27/02/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-94
16/02/25HBesiktas104-81
14/02/25HGalatasaray89-74
11/02/25HBahcesehir Kol.87-56
08/02/25ABursaspor98-97 OT
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HRytas98-75
10/03/25HAnadolu Efes72-83
05/03/25ARytas74-98
01/03/25HMersin SK105-100 OT
10/02/25APetkim Spor89-80
05/02/25HGalatasaray85-96
02/02/25HDarussafaka86-96 OT
29/01/25AUnicaja73-91
25/01/25ABursaspor96-80
17/01/25AYalovaspor74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %95%89%100%
Points / game90.889.691.7
Allowed / game80.279.880.6
Point differential+10.5+9.8+11.1
Avg total171.0169.3172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%67%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL30%
HomeWLLWL30%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%30%30%
Points / game85.585.285.8
Allowed / game89.789.489.9
Point differential-4.2-4.2-4.1
Avg total175.2174.6175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %20%30%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2019195%90.880.2+10.5
2 Besiktas2116576%89.781.8+8.0
3 Anadolu Efes2015575%89.678.9+10.7
4 Tofas2014670%88.284.8+3.3
5 Galatasaray2112957%87.884.2+3.6
6 Bahcesehir Kol.2011955%81.880.1+1.8
7 Mersin SK2011955%84.086.2-2.3
8 Bursaspor2091145%85.389.4-4.0
9 Buyukcekmece2191243%85.185.4-0.2
10 Petkim Spor2081240%82.483.3-0.9
11 Turk Telekom2081240%82.584.2-1.6
12 Karsiyaka2181338%86.188.2-2.0
13 Darussafaka2071335%81.287.0-5.7
14 Manisa2061430%85.589.7-4.2
15 Merkezefendi2051525%80.088.0-8.0
16 Yalovaspor2041620%79.588.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1716123277
Manisa1918142273
← all games of the day
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