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Fenerbahce vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-78
26-19 25-24 18-17 23-18
Position#3
Record16-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#11
Record7-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game82.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 19
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Manisa
27 Dec 2025
FEN93
MAI79
15 Mar 2025
FEN77
MAI73
16 Mar 2024
FEN98
MAI82
05 Mar 2023
FEN92
MAI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#5
W
100-84
100
84
+16
no box
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
no box
H19/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 79
A26/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
no box
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 79
H31/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
101-86
101
86
+15
89avg 79
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
93avg 79
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
104-72
104
72
+32
105avg 79
H03/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
36-23
22-17
20-24
20-20
19-27
21-13
24-24
27-24
16-21
26-23
24-19
12-25
21-23
22-23
22-20
25-20
23-23
15-12
19-14
10-24
20-27
21-26
22-16
31-27
26-20
24-14
20-25
13-13
19-9
19-21
11-18
22-22
25-24
21-23
29-25
31-14
27-15
27-23
19-20
171.8Avg total
88.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.076.3161.3+8.789%
Season at home (8)86.277.8164.0+8.588%
Season away (10)84.075.2159.2+8.890%
Last 10 (10)88.783.1171.8+5.680%
Last 5 (5)87.481.2168.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar (9)82.085.9167.9-3.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.877.9164.7+8.984%
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#12
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
73-92
73
92
-19
no box
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
no box
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
27-22
19-17
26-17
22-24
16-25
11-20
24-23
23-25
11-26
25-28
26-17
18-17
25-17
9-18
23-23
10-15
27-15
17-18
24-21
22-12
23-21
16-10
18-37
21-8
26-22
11-24
27-18
18-24
25-17
19-20
18-15
16-26
19-11
20-22
21-14
18-13
19-19
21-31
24-13
161.6Avg total
80.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.682.7158.3-7.139%
Season at home (10)73.581.6155.1-8.140%
Season away (8)78.284.1162.4-5.938%
Last 10 (10)80.980.7161.6+0.260%
Last 5 (5)80.475.4155.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.581.2154.6-7.745%
vs Similar (9)80.784.9165.6-4.233%
vs Weaker (10)88.575.3163.8+13.290%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.3+3.3
FenerbahceManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#5
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A26/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H31/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H03/02
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H03/03
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
44.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.683.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.141.384.4+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)40.241.882.0-1.635%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.186.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.083.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar (9)38.943.081.9-4.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.839.683.4+4.253%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#12
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A05/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A16/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Konyaspor
#16
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H15/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
79.1Avg total
40.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.979.4-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.437.978.2+2.569%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.180.8-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.779.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.434.676.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.539.575.1-4.045%-
vs Similar (9)41.641.683.1+0.044%-
vs Weaker (10)42.238.780.9+3.570%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.6
53.7%
54.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.4
37.0%
35.8%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.7
68.8%
76.0%11.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.517.5
41.2%
54.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
35.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws42.011.5
27.4%
76.0%11.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWLWLWWW
Manisa
WWWWLWLLLW
#3
League position
#11
-0.7
Net rating
-26.5
115.2
Offensive rating
72.9
115.9
Defensive rating
99.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
42.2%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
67.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
16.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.65
37.0%
3-point %
29.5%
57.7%
Assist %
58.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 72.9Defence115.9 · 99.5Shooting54.5% · 42.2%3-point %37.0% · 29.5%Ball care17.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds35.4% · 16.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.65Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fenerbahce wins
0
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
22/10/22Manisa v Fenerbahce58-93
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HVirtus Bologna104-72
23/02/23APartizan97-94
05/02/23AKonyaspor62-61
03/02/23HAlba Berlin101-86
31/01/23HOlympiacos73-93
28/01/23HBuyukcekmece82-69
26/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne77-91
22/01/23ABahcesehir Kol.93-87
19/01/23HMonaco98-94 OT
15/01/23ABursaspor100-84
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HTofas82-76
29/01/23ABesiktas76-73
21/01/23HKarsiyaka80-76
15/01/23HGalatasaray85-72
06/01/23HKonyaspor79-80
30/12/22ABuyukcekmece78-69
25/12/22HBahcesehir Kol.81-89 OT
16/12/22ABursaspor85-96
09/12/22HDarussafaka73-92
05/12/22APetkim Spor90-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %89%88%90%
Points / game85.086.284.0
Allowed / game76.377.875.2
Point differential+8.7+8.5+8.8
Avg total161.3164.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW39%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayLWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %39%40%38%
Points / game75.673.578.2
Allowed / game82.781.684.1
Point differential-7.1-8.1-5.9
Avg total158.3155.1162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1816289%85.076.3+8.7
2 Turk Telekom1916384%86.476.7+9.7
3 Anadolu Efes1914574%87.378.9+8.3
4 Karsiyaka1914574%87.884.2+3.6
5 Bursaspor1912763%82.279.0+3.2
6 Darussafaka1991047%81.083.9-2.9
7 Merkezefendi1991047%80.483.4-2.9
8 Bahcesehir Kol.1981142%75.477.9-2.5
9 Manisa1871139%75.682.7-7.1
10 Tofas1971237%79.980.1-0.1
11 Gaziantep1971237%75.575.9-0.5
12 Galatasaray1971237%79.380.3-1.0
13 Buyukcekmece1971237%77.080.8-3.8
14 Petkim Spor1971237%77.182.2-5.2
15 Konyaspor1961332%78.481.8-3.5
16 Besiktas1951426%77.981.8-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2625182392
Manisa1924171878
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