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Paris vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-87
26-16 19-21 15-26 23-24
Position#9
Record16-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game84.7
Paris
vs
Fenerbahce 🏆
Position#1
Record17-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Adidas Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Paris v Fenerbahce
11 Nov 2026
PRS v FEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
PRS90
FEN92
29 Apr 2025
PRS88
FEN98
03 Mar 2025
PRS83
FEN87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Cholet
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
97avg 90
H26/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 90
H30/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
102avg 90
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
58avg 90
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 90
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
111-96
111
96
+15
122avg 90
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 90
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 90
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
81avg 90
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
89avg 90
H01/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
16-28
33-20
17-12
20-15
34-25
15-24
22-18
27-22
24-22
19-20
22-14
15-30
16-18
27-19
15-23
17-25
18-21
23-18
25-13
24-30
25-34
38-16
24-16
21-22
25-19
25-16
22-21
17-21
32-16
18-31
19-24
23-15
24-23
24-30
22-20
20-19
25-29
20-25
21-15
174.4Avg total
89.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.784.7170.4+1.062%
Season at home (13)82.481.8164.2+0.569%
Season away (13)89.087.6176.6+1.454%
Last 10 (10)89.884.6174.4+5.270%
Last 5 (5)93.888.4182.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.590.0174.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.190.8180.8-0.750%
vs Weaker (15)90.682.1172.7+8.580%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 83
H31/01
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#16
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 83
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
86avg 83
A04/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
78-67
78
67
+11
76avg 83
H06/02
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#9
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
91avg 83
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
87-56
87
56
+31
85avg 83
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#3
W
89-74
89
74
+15
93avg 83
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#2
W
104-81
104
81
+23
106avg 83
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 83
A27/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#15
W
91-75
91
75
+16
82avg 83
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
24-24
23-17
26-27
27-25
21-19
27-23
25-27
24-24
16-17
24-20
26-30
16-16
24-12
18-19
20-20
25-22
18-22
16-18
29-26
22-7
27-18
21-13
17-18
22-16
20-19
22-11
25-28
27-19
31-21
24-20
22-21
21-25
25-16
17-31
13-22
25-17
16-16
21-21
29-21
171.8Avg total
90.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.680.4162.0+1.265%
Season at home (13)82.679.3161.9+3.369%
Season away (13)80.581.5162.1-1.062%
Last 10 (10)90.881.0171.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)89.476.0165.4+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.083.0165.0-1.060%
vs Weaker (19)90.681.6172.2+9.184%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
ParisFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H30/01
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/02
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H05/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A07/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/03
LNB
89.8Avg total
44.7Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.489.3+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.944.488.3-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)46.144.490.5+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.189.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)47.245.692.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.046.086.0-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.845.890.5-1.033%-
vs Weaker (15)45.543.589.1+2.047%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H31/01
Euroleague
Yalovaspor
#16
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A04/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/02
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#8
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#2
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#15
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.1Avg total
45.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.781.6+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.781.9+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)41.639.781.3+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.336.882.1+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.234.882.0+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.839.881.6+2.060%-
vs Weaker (19)43.238.882.0+4.474%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.319.2
59.4%
54.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.2
35.7%
36.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.217.6
79.3%
78.0%17.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.1
53.7%
54.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.613.0
41.1%
36.2%39.0
🏀 Free throws19.015.5
81.6%
78.0%15.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWLWWWLWWW
Fenerbahce
WLWWWWWLWW
#9
League position
#1
+8.5
Net rating
+6.9
122.8
Offensive rating
121.3
114.3
Defensive rating
114.4
56.5%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
41.1%
54.3%
Assist %
69.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence122.8 · 121.3Defence114.3 · 114.4Shooting56.5% · 57.8%3-point %35.7% · 41.1%Ball care14.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Paris   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paris wins
0
Fenerbahce wins
No previous meetings.
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HSaint Quentin86-88
27/02/25HBayern93-88
14/02/25HSaint Quentin86-92
11/02/25HDijon93-78
09/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-96
07/02/25AVirtus Bologna83-77
05/02/25HOlympiacos73-90
01/02/25ANanterre92-78
30/01/25HLyon-Villeurbanne91-82
26/01/25HCholet90-77
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HDarussafaka91-75
27/02/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-94
16/02/25HBesiktas104-81
14/02/25HGalatasaray89-74
11/02/25HBahcesehir Kol.87-56
08/02/25ABursaspor98-97 OT
06/02/25HReal Madrid78-67
04/02/25APanathinaikos90-91
02/02/25HYalovaspor100-94
31/01/25HVirtus Bologna95-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayLLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game85.782.489.0
Allowed / game84.781.887.6
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.4
Avg total170.4164.2176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)86% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL65%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%69%62%
Points / game81.682.680.5
Allowed / game80.479.381.5
Point differential+1.2+3.3-1.0
Avg total162.0161.9162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%54%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2720774%88.081.9+6.1
2 Fenerbahce2617965%81.680.4+1.2
3 Panathinaikos27171063%87.483.4+4.0
4 Paris26161062%85.784.7+1.0
5 Monaco27161159%86.382.9+3.4
6 Crvena zvezda27161159%81.980.2+1.7
7 Bayern27161159%86.186.5-0.4
8 Partizan27151256%83.479.1+4.2
9 Olimpia Milano27151256%85.685.3+0.3
10 Barcelona27141352%87.284.6+2.7
11 Real Madrid27141352%84.982.9+2.0
12 Anadolu Efes27131448%85.282.7+2.5
13 Zalgiris Kaunas27131448%77.978.5-0.6
14 Baskonia27111641%81.082.7-1.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne27111641%80.884.6-3.7
16 Virtus Bologna2772026%79.884.7-4.9
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2772026%84.689.8-5.1
18 Alba Berlin2742315%78.691.1-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2619152383
Fenerbahce1621262487
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