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Fenerbahce vs Merkezefendi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 82-69
27-14 24-19 12-25 19-11
Position#1
Record20-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#10
Record10-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game86.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 25· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Merkezefendi
04 Apr 2026
FEN82
MER69
29 Dec 2024
FEN91
MER72
11 Nov 2023
FEN90
MER64
21 Apr 2023
FEN79
MER72
14 Nov 2021
FEN85
MER77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merkezefendi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A13/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
A17/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H20/03
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A24/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H27/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A01/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
25-15
22-19
23-27
20-17
22-16
14-28
17-18
22-25
20-22
22-19
27-19
29-23
17-25
21-26
20-30
17-23
12-14
28-15
22-23
22-17
24-26
15-27
27-24
20-25
23-32
23-15
23-22
25-22
19-27
18-17
20-26
19-16
13-23
24-26
19-10
12-25
18-18
30-24
16-18
171.4Avg total
83.9Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.879.7168.4+9.183%
Season at home (12)91.281.1172.2+10.192%
Season away (12)86.378.2164.6+8.175%
Last 10 (10)83.987.5171.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)83.690.8174.4-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.592.0179.5-4.550%
vs Similar (13)85.581.0166.5+4.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.578.5165.0+7.980%
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
77-93
77
93
-16
H13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
18-20
20-15
16-25
21-22
28-13
18-20
23-35
33-15
18-24
18-20
14-22
21-17
27-23
14-23
25-17
17-23
21-17
20-22
18-29
20-24
30-24
15-22
12-23
18-20
20-26
24-34
12-19
21-15
17-23
8-22
19-19
21-24
27-23
17-18
28-23
20-22
25-16
28-17
19-25
170.6Avg total
83.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.286.7167.9-5.442%
Season at home (12)81.283.1164.3-1.858%
Season away (12)81.290.2171.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)83.087.6170.6-4.650%
Last 5 (5)80.287.8168.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.187.3166.4-8.229%
vs Similar (12)84.883.9168.8+0.967%
vs Weaker (1)104.097.0201.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
FenerbahceMerkezefendi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A17/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H20/03
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A24/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H27/03
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A01/04
Euroleague
82.8Avg total
40.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.781.6+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.177.6+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)42.442.885.2-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.882.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.285.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (13)44.140.985.0+3.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.238.178.3+2.147%-
This opponent (Merkezefendi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MerkezefendiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A16/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A06/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A21/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.8Avg total
44.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.886.8-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.386.4+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.846.387.1-5.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.385.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.487.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)41.445.386.6-3.924%-
vs Similar (12)44.441.886.2+2.783%-
vs Weaker (1)52.044.096.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers17.713.8
78.0%
54.0%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
35.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws9.98.4
84.8%
76.0%8.4
They take 46.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 62% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Merkezefenditheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Merkezefendi: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.7
54.1%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.7
38.5%
35.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.614.2
80.7%
76.0%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLLLLWLWLW
Merkezefendi
WWLLLLWWWL
#1
League position
#10
+1.7
Net rating
-4.8
54.6
Offensive rating
100.1
52.9
Defensive rating
105.0
61.0%
Effective FG%
55.6%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
22.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.7%
3-point %
38.5%
74.4%
Assist %
63.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence54.6 · 100.1Defence52.9 · 105.0Shooting61.0% · 55.6%3-point %33.7% · 38.5%Ball care22.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds- · 21.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Merkezefendi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fenerbahce wins
2
Merkezefendi wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26ABayern76-85
29/03/26ABursaspor83-89 OT
27/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas82-92
24/03/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-94
22/03/26HEsenler Erokspor88-94
20/03/26HOlimpia Milano79-75
17/03/26AOlympiacos87-104
15/03/26ABuyukcekmece91-85
13/03/26ACrvena zvezda73-79
08/03/26HMersin SK91-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HPetkim Spor92-80
21/03/26ATofas93-88
13/03/26HBahcesehir Kol.65-79
06/03/26ABesiktas74-99
13/02/26HManisa77-93
07/02/26ATrabzonspor76-91
01/02/26HAnadolu Efes87-80
26/01/26HKarsiyaka83-81
16/01/26ABursaspor107-103 OT
10/01/26AEsenler Erokspor76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL83%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%92%75%
Points / game88.891.286.3
Allowed / game79.781.178.2
Point differential+9.1+10.1+8.1
Avg total168.4172.2164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%42%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Merkezefendi
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeWWLLW58%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game81.281.281.2
Allowed / game86.783.190.2
Point differential-5.4-1.8-9.0
Avg total167.9164.3171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas2420483%86.576.0+10.5
2 Fenerbahce2420483%88.879.7+9.1
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2418675%82.175.9+6.2
4 Turk Telekom2416867%86.880.1+6.8
5 Trabzonspor2416867%86.682.3+4.3
6 Anadolu Efes2415962%87.681.7+5.9
7 Esenler Erokspor24141058%82.078.8+3.3
8 Galatasaray24141058%86.284.4+1.8
9 Tofas24101442%84.685.1-0.5
10 Merkezefendi24101442%81.286.7-5.4
11 Mersin SK2591636%84.687.9-3.2
12 Manisa2481633%79.784.5-4.8
13 Petkim Spor2471729%80.587.9-7.3
14 Bursaspor2471729%80.789.3-8.6
15 Karsiyaka2451921%79.589.1-9.6
16 Buyukcekmece2542116%81.289.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2724121982
Merkezefendi1419251169
← all games of the day
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