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Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 82-92
25-22 19-27 18-17 20-26
Position#4
Record23-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.0
Fenerbahce
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Position#5
Record19-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Oct 2026
FEN99
ZAL80
30 Apr 2026
FEN86
ZAL74
28 Apr 2026
FEN89
ZAL78
27 Mar 2026
FEN82
ZAL92
17 Jan 2025
FEN98
ZAL86
20 Dec 2023
FEN80
ZAL78
24 Mar 2023
FEN87
ZAL79
20 Jan 2022
FEN73
ZAL67
18 Mar 2021
FEN84
ZAL61
18 Apr 2019
FEN80
ZAL82
16 Apr 2019
FEN76
ZAL43
10 Jan 2019
FEN78
ZAL61
18 May 2018
FEN76
ZAL67
14 Dec 2017
FEN89
ZAL90
26 Oct 2016
FEN82
ZAL68
02 Feb 2011
FEN80
ZAL72
14 Jan 2010
FEN68
ZAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 80
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 80
H25/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
88-70
88
70
+18
85avg 80
H05/03
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
93avg 80
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 80
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
81avg 80
A17/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 80
H20/03
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
88-94
88
94
-6
87avg 80
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
86avg 80
A24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
28-16
22-22
18-18
20-20
15-19
22-17
24-22
20-15
24-21
22-16
22-18
21-17
25-15
22-19
23-27
20-17
22-16
14-28
17-18
22-25
20-22
22-19
27-19
29-23
17-25
21-26
20-30
17-23
12-14
28-15
22-23
22-17
24-26
15-27
27-24
20-25
23-32
23-15
23-22
168.8Avg total
85.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.680.0162.6+2.670%
Season at home (17)80.574.7155.2+5.882%
Season away (16)84.885.6170.4-0.856%
Last 10 (10)85.583.3168.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)86.890.4177.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.592.0179.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.978.9163.7+6.079%
vs Weaker (14)86.578.8165.3+7.786%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
119-81
119
81
+38
128avg 87
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
106avg 87
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 87
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
88avg 87
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
96avg 87
H08/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
88-92
88
92
-4
83avg 87
A12/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 87
H15/03
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-85
87
85
+2
81avg 87
H20/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 87
H22/03
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
78-71
78
71
+7
72avg 87
H24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
25-22
35-20
28-17
25-21
37-16
22-27
17-21
18-18
19-21
14-21
22-13
13-25
26-25
25-21
23-20
24-17
24-22
25-24
24-27
27-24
13-20
19-21
29-27
35-9
23-24
25-24
15-24
25-29
28-26
15-17
19-13
22-15
23-22
25-20
24-8
18-18
16-20
29-19
15-14
178.3Avg total
94.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.583.7172.3+4.858%
Season at home (16)87.278.4165.6+8.875%
Season away (17)89.888.8178.6+1.141%
Last 10 (10)94.883.5178.3+11.380%
Last 5 (5)89.078.8167.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)92.084.5176.5+7.562%
vs Weaker (21)91.679.6171.1+12.081%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
FenerbahceZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H25/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H05/03
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A17/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H20/03
Euroleague
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A24/03
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
42.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.381.7+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.835.075.8+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)43.843.086.8+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.882.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.487.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.139.182.3+4.064%-
vs Weaker (14)41.938.780.6+3.150%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/03
LKL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A12/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H15/03
LKL
Real Madrid
#2
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H20/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/03
LKL
Bayern
#14
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/03
Euroleague
88.8Avg total
47.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.039.685.6+6.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.638.488.0+11.276%-
Last 30 away (13)41.441.182.5+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.688.8+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.487.4+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.042.288.2+3.850%-
vs Weaker (21)46.538.685.0+7.967%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers17.014.1
82.9%
60.4%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws12.29.9
81.1%
78.2%9.9
They take 45.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 62% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.918.6
64.4%
60.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.711.4
44.4%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws12.810.1
78.9%
78.2%10.1
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LLWLWLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#5
+4.5
Net rating
+14.1
55.5
Offensive rating
81.8
51.0
Defensive rating
67.7
62.4%
Effective FG%
65.4%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.3%
3-point %
44.4%
74.5%
Assist %
73.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence55.5 · 81.8Defence51.0 · 67.7Shooting62.4% · 65.4%3-point %33.3% · 44.4%Ball care21.6% · 15.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
03/10/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Fenerbahce84-81
17/01/25Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas98-86
15/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Fenerbahce65-72
19/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Fenerbahce98-75
20/12/23Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas80-78
24/03/23Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas87-79
05/01/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Fenerbahce86-66
20/01/22Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas73-67
19/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Fenerbahce86-75
18/03/21Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas84-61
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-94
22/03/26HEsenler Erokspor88-94
20/03/26HOlimpia Milano79-75
17/03/26AOlympiacos87-104
15/03/26ABuyukcekmece91-85
13/03/26ACrvena zvezda73-79
08/03/26HMersin SK91-78
05/03/26HMonaco88-70
25/02/26HPartizan81-78
15/02/26ATurk Telekom88-76
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26HBayern78-71
22/03/26HSiauliai94-65
20/03/26HReal Madrid87-85
15/03/26HRytas98-81
12/03/26APanathinaikos88-92
08/03/26HJonava97-90
05/03/26AValencia87-91
25/02/26HOlympiacos99-94 OT
22/02/26HRytas101-85
21/02/26HNeptunas119-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL70%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %70%82%56%
Points / game82.680.584.8
Allowed / game80.074.785.6
Point differential+2.6+5.8-0.8
Avg total162.6155.2170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)71% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW58%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %58%75%41%
Points / game88.587.289.8
Allowed / game83.778.488.8
Point differential+4.8+8.8+1.1
Avg total172.3165.6178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce33231070%82.680.0+2.6
2 Olympiacos34221265%90.484.1+6.2
3 Real Madrid34221265%87.782.5+5.2
4 Valencia33211264%89.685.6+4.0
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32201262%87.183.6+3.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas33191458%88.583.7+4.8
7 Monaco33191458%90.186.3+3.8
8 Crvena zvezda33191458%87.185.4+1.7
9 Panathinaikos33191458%86.284.7+1.5
10 Barcelona33191458%84.883.7+1.1
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv33171652%90.091.8-1.8
12 Dubai34171750%88.788.5+0.3
13 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.986.2-0.3
14 Bayern34142041%80.583.7-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna33132039%82.085.9-3.9
16 Partizan33132039%80.886.7-6.0
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes34102429%80.384.2-4.0
19 Baskonia3392427%87.293.1-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3482624%79.286.4-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2519182082
Zalgiris Kaunas2227172692
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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