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Fenerbahce vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 91-78
21-17 25-15 22-19 23-27
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#13
Record8-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game86.7
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 21· Ülker Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Mersin SK
08 Mar 2026
FEN91
MES78
30 Mar 2025
FEN101
MES93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#14
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 80
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
79-62
79
62
+17
80avg 80
H29/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
91-55
91
55
+36
94avg 80
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
82-78
82
78
+4
85avg 80
A03/02
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
87avg 80
A05/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
74avg 80
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
89avg 80
A13/02
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 80
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 80
H25/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
88-70
88
70
+18
85avg 80
H05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-12
19-18
21-19
27-21
25-8
14-17
22-14
18-23
19-16
29-10
25-14
18-15
29-14
24-27
20-15
9-22
21-23
19-22
22-23
30-22
13-20
19-13
20-24
27-20
25-19
16-23
15-20
29-21
20-20
28-16
22-22
18-18
20-20
15-19
22-17
24-22
20-15
24-21
22-16
22-18
158.2Avg total
84.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.878.3167.1+10.590%
Season at home (10)91.580.1171.6+11.4100%
Season away (10)86.276.5162.7+9.780%
Last 10 (10)84.373.9158.2+10.4100%
Last 5 (5)84.276.8161.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (14)86.679.8166.4+6.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.776.3162.0+9.393%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 76
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
79avg 76
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
65-92
65
92
-27
60avg 76
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
83-113
83
113
-30
74avg 76
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 76
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 76
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
87avg 76
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
91avg 76
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
96avg 76
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
33-18
18-22
26-29
16-23
27-29
24-20
13-21
17-15
17-24
12-29
19-24
16-31
15-19
27-31
25-32
25-30
21-21
16-17
17-14
19-25
24-23
19-13
19-16
16-22
12-19
13-19
18-24
16-24
24-12
25-16
10-23
32-20
21-24
14-20
21-19
27-19
23-24
12-30
20-9
173.5Avg total
83.6Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.086.7170.6-2.740%
Season at home (11)87.888.3176.1-0.555%
Season away (9)79.284.7163.9-5.422%
Last 10 (10)83.689.9173.5-6.350%
Last 5 (5)83.885.4169.2-1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.690.2166.8-13.76%
vs Similar (13)89.983.5173.5+6.485%
vs Weaker (1)77.088.0165.0-11.00%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
FenerbahceMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H29/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A03/02
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/02
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H25/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H05/03
Euroleague
76.3Avg total
41.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.780.8+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.335.675.9+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)44.041.785.7+2.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.035.376.3+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.277.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)43.739.182.8+4.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.138.279.3+2.940%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merkezefendi
#10
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.9Avg total
43.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.185.1-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.544.687.1-2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.582.9-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.587.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.485.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.047.484.4-10.412%-
vs Similar (13)46.039.885.8+6.277%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.416.4
64.6%
54.0%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.9
35.6%
35.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.015.0
78.9%
76.0%15.0
They take 53.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.7
51.3%
54.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.3
35.6%
35.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
76.0%14.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWWW
Mersin SK
WWWLWLLLLW
#1
League position
#13
+10.9
Net rating
-9.1
89.3
Offensive rating
101.0
78.4
Defensive rating
110.1
58.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
35.6%
68.8%
Assist %
77.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 101.0Defence78.4 · 110.1Shooting58.7% · 52.3%3-point %35.6% · 35.6%Ball care17.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds- · 37.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Mersin SK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fenerbahce wins
0
Mersin SK wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Mersin SK v Fenerbahce78-87
30/03/25Fenerbahce v Mersin SK101-93
01/12/24Mersin SK v Fenerbahce69-98
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HMonaco88-70
25/02/26HPartizan81-78
15/02/26ATurk Telekom88-76
13/02/26APanathinaikos85-83
08/02/26HGalatasaray79-77
05/02/26AParis92-90
03/02/26ABarcelona82-78
31/01/26AKarsiyaka91-55
29/01/26HAnadolu Efes79-62
25/01/26APetkim Spor78-70
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HPetkim Spor104-103 OT
07/02/26ATofas88-83
31/01/26HBahcesehir Kol.87-80 OT
24/01/26ABesiktas59-84
18/01/26HManisa81-77
11/01/26HTrabzonspor79-82
08/01/26ALe Mans83-113
06/01/26HLe Mans65-92
04/01/26AAnadolu Efes80-93
27/12/25HMerkezefendi110-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game88.891.586.2
Allowed / game78.380.176.5
Point differential+10.6+11.4+9.7
Avg total167.2171.6162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW40%
HomeWLWWW55%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%55%22%
Points / game84.087.879.2
Allowed / game86.788.384.7
Point differential-2.7-0.5-5.4
Avg total170.6176.1163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%9%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2018290%88.878.3+10.6
2 Besiktas2118386%86.175.5+10.7
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2115671%82.176.6+5.5
4 Trabzonspor2115671%87.281.7+5.5
5 Turk Telekom2113862%85.680.4+5.2
6 Anadolu Efes2012860%88.081.9+6.2
7 Galatasaray2112957%86.282.5+3.7
8 Esenler Erokspor2112957%81.779.0+2.7
9 Tofas2191243%83.183.1+0.0
10 Mersin SK2081240%84.086.7-2.7
11 Merkezefendi2181338%81.087.3-6.3
12 Manisa2071335%79.183.3-4.2
13 Petkim Spor2161529%81.288.6-7.4
14 Bursaspor2161529%78.788.3-9.6
15 Karsiyaka2141719%79.289.2-10.0
16 Buyukcekmece2131814%79.588.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2125222391
Mersin SK1715192778
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