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Fenerbahce vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 79-75
17-23 12-14 28-15 22-23
Position#4
Record22-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#13
Record16-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Olimpia Milano
12 Feb 2027
FEN v MIL
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
FEN79
MIL75
29 Nov 2024
FEN85
MIL91
06 Oct 2023
FEN85
MIL82
21 Mar 2023
FEN75
MIL82
12 Nov 2021
FEN43
MIL68
15 Dec 2020
FEN71
MIL79
13 Dec 2018
FEN92
MIL85
22 Feb 2018
FEN89
MIL70
06 Jan 2017
FEN86
MIL79
20 Mar 2015
FEN98
MIL77
17 Oct 2014
FEN77
MIL74
28 Mar 2014
FEN73
MIL82
25 Jan 2012
FEN65
MIL63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
87avg 80
A05/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
74avg 80
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
89avg 80
A13/02
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 80
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 80
H25/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
88-70
88
70
+18
85avg 80
H05/03
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
93avg 80
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 80
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
81avg 80
A17/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
19-22
22-23
30-22
13-20
19-13
20-24
27-20
25-19
16-23
15-20
29-21
20-20
28-16
22-22
18-18
20-20
15-19
22-17
24-22
20-15
24-21
22-16
22-18
21-17
25-15
22-19
23-27
20-17
22-16
14-28
17-18
22-25
20-22
22-19
27-19
29-23
17-25
21-26
20-30
167.5Avg total
85.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.579.7162.2+2.871%
Season at home (16)80.674.7155.3+5.981%
Season away (15)84.585.0169.5-0.560%
Last 10 (10)85.582.0167.5+3.580%
Last 5 (5)86.083.2169.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.592.0179.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.779.7165.5+6.080%
vs Weaker (13)86.477.6164.0+8.892%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
109-89
109
89
+20
110avg 81
H03/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
77-76
77
76
+1
78avg 81
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
73avg 81
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 81
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 81
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 81
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
90avg 81
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
74avg 81
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
82avg 81
A15/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
25-27
27-15
25-18
20-22
22-15
25-16
10-23
16-15
21-17
20-20
19-19
20-18
26-33
13-22
19-23
23-20
25-11
23-17
15-19
19-29
28-20
17-24
22-19
24-17
22-17
32-17
9-33
33-20
14-21
19-22
22-23
25-26
28-16
21-25
22-20
22-30
23-24
28-20
21-30
172.9Avg total
87.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.786.3172.0-0.552%
Season at home (17)87.887.2175.1+0.659%
Season away (14)83.285.1168.3-1.943%
Last 10 (10)87.785.2172.9+2.570%
Last 5 (5)90.290.6180.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.791.3174.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)88.387.9176.1+0.453%
vs Weaker (12)84.280.0164.2+4.283%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
FenerbahceOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/02
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H25/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H05/03
Euroleague
Mersin SK
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A13/03
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A17/03
Euroleague
80.7Avg total
41.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.981.4+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.435.076.4+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)43.542.385.8+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.180.7+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.638.782.3+4.967%-
vs Weaker (13)41.538.479.9+3.246%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H03/02
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/02
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/02
Lega A
Dubai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A15/03
Lega A
89.5Avg total
46.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.388.6+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.442.388.7+4.267%-
Last 30 away (12)43.744.888.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.789.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.644.091.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.346.089.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.345.892.1+0.540%-
vs Weaker (12)44.739.584.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.115.3
69.2%
60.4%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.7
34.4%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.513.0
78.8%
78.2%13.0
They take 50.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.818.3
59.4%
60.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.3
38.7%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.412.0
77.9%
78.2%12.0
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWLWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLWLWWW
#4
League position
#13
+5.2
Net rating
+2.9
74.1
Offensive rating
91.3
68.9
Defensive rating
88.4
59.3%
Effective FG%
58.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
38.7%
74.4%
Assist %
67.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence74.1 · 91.3Defence68.9 · 88.4Shooting59.3% · 58.8%3-point %34.4% · 38.7%Ball care18.7% · 14.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26AOlympiacos87-104
15/03/26ABuyukcekmece91-85
13/03/26ACrvena zvezda73-79
08/03/26HMersin SK91-78
05/03/26HMonaco88-70
25/02/26HPartizan81-78
15/02/26ATurk Telekom88-76
13/02/26APanathinaikos85-83
08/02/26HGalatasaray79-77
05/02/26AParis92-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26AVirtus Bologna94-104
13/03/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv96-87
09/03/26HCantu88-86
05/03/26HBarcelona87-84
26/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-92
15/02/26ACremona86-67
13/02/26HDubai78-96
09/02/26ATreviso76-71
06/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne77-76
03/02/26HBaskonia109-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %71%81%60%
Points / game82.580.684.5
Allowed / game79.774.785.0
Point differential+2.8+5.9-0.5
Avg total162.2155.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeWWLWW59%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %52%59%43%
Points / game85.787.883.2
Allowed / game86.387.285.1
Point differential-0.5+0.6-1.9
Avg total172.0175.1168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce3122971%82.579.7+2.8
2 Olympiacos33221167%90.584.1+6.5
3 Real Madrid31201165%87.882.7+5.1
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv31201165%87.383.3+3.9
5 Valencia32201262%89.885.6+4.1
6 Crvena zvezda31181358%86.985.1+1.8
7 Monaco32181456%90.186.3+3.7
8 Barcelona32181456%85.084.1+0.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas31171455%88.984.1+4.8
10 Panathinaikos31171455%85.784.5+1.2
11 Dubai32171553%87.987.4+0.5
12 Olimpia Milano31161552%85.786.3-0.5
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv30141647%89.591.9-2.4
14 Bayern32131941%80.483.9-3.5
15 Virtus Bologna32131941%81.885.4-3.6
16 Partizan32122038%80.887.0-6.2
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes32102231%80.884.5-3.7
19 Baskonia3292328%86.892.6-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3182326%78.986.4-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1712282279
Olimpia Milano2314152375
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