Fenerbahce vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 101-93

27-29 22-20 25-21 27-23

Position#1

Record21-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game89.7

Allowed / game80.0

Fenerbahce 🏆

Mersin SK

Position#6

Record12-10

FormLLLLW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game86.4

Basketbol Süper LigiRound 23· Ülker Sports Arena

Domestic2024-25

Meetings · Fenerbahce v Mersin SK

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mersin SK winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fenerbahce Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFenerbahce

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

#15

91-75

+16

82avg 82

H01/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

87-83

79avg 82

A03/03

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#11

100-76

100

+24

100avg 82

A06/03

Euroleague

Petkim Spor

#11

88-75

+13

79avg 82

A09/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

92-82

+10

94avg 82

H13/03

Euroleague

Manisa

#12

77-73

70avg 82

H15/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Monaco

82-91

-9

72avg 82

A20/03

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

82-81

81avg 82

A23/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

101-100

101

100

88avg 82

H25/03

Euroleague

Baskonia

#14

82-77

77avg 82

H28/03

Euroleague

25-17

16-16

21-21

29-21

16-26

21-19

26-15

24-23

24-19

29-18

23-19

24-20

24-15

25-18

11-20

28-22

30-23

19-21

21-16

22-22

17-19

16-18

12-14

32-22

28-26

15-21

15-16

24-28

14-20

25-23

25-22

18-16

17-24

27-27

27-33

30-16

19-13

27-19

26-27

10-18

169.5Avg total

88.2Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	89.7	80.0	169.7	+9.8	95%
Season at home (10)	88.3	79.1	167.4	+9.2	90%
Season away (12)	90.9	80.7	171.6	+10.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	81.3	169.5	+6.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	84.4	169.2	+0.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	87.1	84.2	171.3	+2.9	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	91.4	80.8	172.2	+10.6	94%

This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mersin SK

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSK

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

#15

81-89

-8

78avg 81

A18/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Merkezefendi

#14

111-108 OT

111

108

114avg 81

H26/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Petkim Spor

#11

85-77

83avg 81

A01/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Karsiyaka

#13

94-87 OT

86avg 81

H07/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Tofas

101-95

101

102avg 81

H12/02

Turkish Cup

Besiktas

63-83

-20

56avg 81

H14/02

Turkish Cup

Manisa

#12

100-105 OT

100

105

-5

93avg 81

A01/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Besiktas

93-99

-6

92avg 81

H09/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

83-102

102

-19

83avg 81

A17/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

89-73

+16

83avg 81

H22/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

22-18

14-23

21-29

24-19

23-27

29-28

15-20

28-20

24-22

17-10

22-22

22-23

15-23

14-19

25-24

26-14

24-23

21-20

29-27

27-25

12-23

21-16

22-21

8-23

23-26

24-19

24-23

20-23

26-18

24-28

26-24

17-29

19-22

19-26

19-25

26-29

30-23

20-21

21-15

18-14

181.8Avg total

90.0Scored

91.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	84.1	86.4	170.5	-2.2	55%
Season at home (11)	85.8	82.5	168.4	+3.3	73%
Season away (11)	82.5	90.2	172.6	-7.7	36%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	91.8	181.8	-1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	92.4	178.0	-6.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	75.4	84.9	160.2	-9.5	25%
vs Similar (16)	88.1	86.4	174.4	+1.7	69%
vs Weaker (5)	77.8	73.6	151.4	+4.2	80%

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FenerbahceMersin SK

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.1	39.6	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.9	23.0	42.9	-3.1	9%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.4	22.6	43.9	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.5	42.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	19.8	42.6	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.7	19.7	42.3	+3.0	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.6	21.5	39.1	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	-

FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

#15

41-33

H01/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

37-45

-8

A03/03

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#11

53-37

+16

A06/03

Euroleague

Petkim Spor

#11

49-33

+16

A09/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

49-44

H13/03

Euroleague

Manisa

#12

33-37

-4

H15/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Monaco

43-47

-4

A20/03

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

39-43

-4

A23/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

44-51

-7

H25/03

Euroleague

Baskonia

#14

46-32

+14

H28/03

Euroleague

83.6Avg total

43.4Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	39.5	83.5	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	37.8	82.2	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.4	41.5	84.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	40.2	83.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	42.6	42.4	85.0	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.4	38.6	83.1	+5.8	78%	-

This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

#15

36-41

-5

A18/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Merkezefendi

#14

52-55

-3

H26/01

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Petkim Spor

#11

41-32

A01/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Karsiyaka

#13

29-42

-13

H07/02

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Tofas

45-43

H12/02

Turkish Cup

Besiktas

33-39

-6

H14/02

Turkish Cup

Manisa

#12

47-45

A01/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Besiktas

50-46

H09/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Anadolu Efes

38-48

-10

A17/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Galatasaray

50-44

H22/03

Basketbol Süper Ligi

85.6Avg total

42.1Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.3	81.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	42.1	83.7	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	40.4	79.3	-1.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	43.5	85.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	44.4	88.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.1	41.4	77.5	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.4	42.9	85.2	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	60%	-

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	22.6	43.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.1	62%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	21.8	42.8	-0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	21.8	45.7	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	19.9	44.5	+4.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	23.9	47.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.8	44.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.9	21.9	46.8	+2.9	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.0	23.1	42.1	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.3	19.6	41.9	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	41.4	86.8	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	40.1	86.2	+6.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.6	42.9	87.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	41.1	85.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.4	86.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	44.5	41.8	86.3	+2.6	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	46.4	41.7	88.1	+4.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	41.7	83.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	45.6	87.6	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	44.9	88.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	45.2	85.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.2	43.5	82.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.4	37.6	76.0	+0.8	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 87.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game

47%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	18.7	53.7%	54.3%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.5	11.9	37.8%	35.7%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	16.1	14.2	88.2%	76.0%	14.2

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	22.3	53.3%	54.3%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	8.1	36.8%	35.7%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.6	76.8%	76.0%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.4	17.2	51.5%	54.3%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	11.3	37.6%	35.7%	33.8
🏀 Free throws	17.4	14.2	81.8%	76.0%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	21.0	53.5%	54.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.9	36.5%	35.7%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.1	76.6%	76.0%	15.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fenerbahce wins

Mersin SK wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/24	Mersin SK v Fenerbahce	69-98

Fenerbahcelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/25	H	Baskonia	82-77
25/03/25	H	Paris	101-100
23/03/25	A	Anadolu Efes	82-81
20/03/25	A	Monaco	82-91
15/03/25	H	Manisa	77-73
13/03/25	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	92-82
09/03/25	A	Petkim Spor	88-75
06/03/25	A	Olimpia Milano	100-76
03/03/25	A	Paris	87-83
01/03/25	H	Darussafaka	91-75

Mersin SKlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/25	H	Galatasaray	89-73
17/03/25	A	Anadolu Efes	83-102
09/03/25	H	Besiktas	93-99
01/03/25	A	Manisa	100-105 OT
14/02/25	H	Besiktas	63-83
12/02/25	H	Tofas	101-95
07/02/25	H	Karsiyaka	94-87 OT
01/02/25	A	Petkim Spor	85-77
26/01/25	H	Merkezefendi	111-108 OT
18/01/25	A	Darussafaka	81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	95%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	95%	90%	100%
Points / game	89.7	88.3	90.9
Allowed / game	80.0	79.1	80.7
Point differential	+9.8	+9.2	+10.2
Avg total	169.7	167.4	171.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	60%	58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

Mersin SK

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	55%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	WLWLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	55%	73%	36%
Points / game	84.1	85.8	82.5
Allowed / game	86.4	82.5	90.2
Point differential	-2.2	+3.3	-7.7
Avg total	170.5	168.4	172.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	36%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	18%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fenerbahce	22	21	1	95%	89.7	80.0	+9.8
2	Besiktas	23	18	5	78%	90.3	82.0	+8.2
3	Anadolu Efes	22	16	6	73%	89.8	79.2	+10.5
4	Tofas	23	16	7	70%	89.9	86.3	+3.6
5	Bahcesehir Kol.	22	13	9	59%	82.6	79.7	+2.9
6	Galatasaray	22	12	10	55%	87.1	84.4	+2.7
7	Mersin SK	22	12	10	55%	84.1	86.4	-2.2
8	Turk Telekom	22	10	12	45%	83.0	83.9	-0.9
9	Bursaspor	23	10	13	43%	84.8	89.2	-4.4
10	Buyukcekmece	22	9	13	41%	85.3	85.5	-0.3
11	Karsiyaka	23	9	14	39%	85.5	87.3	-1.8
12	Petkim Spor	22	8	14	36%	82.3	83.9	-1.6
13	Manisa	23	7	16	30%	85.9	89.4	-3.5
14	Darussafaka	23	7	16	30%	81.9	88.0	-6.0
15	Merkezefendi	23	7	16	30%	81.5	88.3	-6.9
16	Yalovaspor	23	5	18	22%	80.1	89.2	-9.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fenerbahce	27	22	25	27	101
Mersin SK	29	20	21	23	93

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Fenerbahce vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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