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Mersin SK vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 81-77
19-25 24-23 19-13 19-16
Position#13
Record4-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#11
Record4-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game84.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 16
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Mersin SK v Manisa
18 Jan 2026
MES81
MAI77
27 Oct 2024
MES97
MAI88
20 Nov 2021
MES70
MAI83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 78
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 78
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 78
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
84-76
84
76
+8
84avg 78
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
84avg 78
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
110-92
110
92
+18
110avg 78
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
79avg 78
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
65-92
65
92
-27
60avg 78
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
83-113
83
113
-30
74avg 78
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 78
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
19-22
19-20
17-22
26-10
20-18
17-18
17-26
21-28
24-16
18-29
20-15
18-16
26-17
23-15
17-28
22-20
23-24
20-23
23-32
33-23
33-18
18-22
26-29
16-23
27-29
24-20
13-21
17-15
17-24
12-29
19-24
16-31
15-19
27-31
25-32
25-30
21-21
16-17
17-14
172.4Avg total
82.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.087.1171.1-3.127%
Season at home (8)86.888.9175.6-2.138%
Season away (7)80.985.0165.9-4.114%
Last 10 (10)82.989.5172.4-6.630%
Last 5 (5)83.494.4177.8-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.289.1164.4-13.96%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.882.8173.7+8.083%
vs Weaker (2)77.580.5158.0-3.050%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
72-104
72
104
-32
55avg 77
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 77
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 77
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
58avg 77
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
70-77
70
77
-7
57avg 77
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 77
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 77
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 77
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 77
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
67avg 77
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
19-30
17-34
21-15
26-26
22-30
16-18
18-19
21-20
24-16
15-14
20-19
19-17
25-15
12-25
9-22
26-20
19-21
15-22
10-14
21-14
12-16
8-29
21-21
22-25
29-25
17-23
20-15
20-26
18-17
14-23
27-27
18-24
26-18
24-15
18-18
25-24
15-21
18-22
16-19
163.1Avg total
77.1Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.384.9162.3-7.627%
Season at home (7)81.487.1168.6-5.729%
Season away (8)73.883.0156.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)77.186.0163.1-8.920%
Last 5 (5)80.487.6168.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.588.3166.8-9.713%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.986.8173.8+0.146%
vs Weaker (2)98.079.0177.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
Mersin SKManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
AS Karditsas
#32
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A09/12
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oostende
#46
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/12
Champions League
Bursaspor
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Le Mans
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H06/01
Champions League
Le Mans
#14
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.9Avg total
44.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.484.3-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.344.387.6-1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.480.5-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.886.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.690.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.747.083.7-10.312%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.238.784.8+7.583%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A03/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H09/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A22/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.688.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.146.092.1+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)42.343.385.5-1.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.085.2-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.144.987.0-2.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.344.589.8+0.854%-
vs Weaker (2)53.043.596.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.3
50.6%
54.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.3
33.6%
35.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
76.0%16.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.2
48.4%
54.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.0
27.0%
35.6%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.115.7
68.0%
76.0%15.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mersin SK
LLLLWLWLWL
Manisa
LWLLLLLWLL
#13
League position
#11
-8.6
Net rating
-12.0
107.5
Offensive rating
99.9
116.1
Defensive rating
111.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
45.8%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.6%
3-point %
27.0%
80.4%
Assist %
62.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 99.9Defence116.1 · 111.9Shooting50.5% · 45.8%3-point %33.6% · 27.0%Ball care16.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds35.5% · 31.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Mersin SK   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mersin SK wins
3
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
28/09/25Manisa v Mersin SK68-87
01/03/25Manisa v Mersin SK105-100 OT
27/10/24Mersin SK v Manisa97-88
19/03/22Manisa v Mersin SK91-86
20/11/21Mersin SK v Manisa70-83
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HTrabzonspor79-82
08/01/26ALe Mans83-113
06/01/26HLe Mans65-92
04/01/26AAnadolu Efes80-93
27/12/25HMerkezefendi110-92
21/12/25ABursaspor88-99
17/12/25HOostende84-76
14/12/25HEsenler Erokspor83-88
09/12/25AAS Karditsas80-72
06/12/25ABuyukcekmece77-88
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ATurk Telekom74-86
04/01/26HGalatasaray86-75
27/12/25AFenerbahce79-93
21/12/25HPetkim Spor101-104 OT
13/12/25ATofas62-80
06/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.70-77
22/11/25ABesiktas65-79
15/11/25AKarsiyaka80-69
09/11/25HTrabzonspor82-93
03/11/25AAnadolu Efes72-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%38%14%
Points / game84.086.880.9
Allowed / game87.188.985.0
Point differential-3.1-2.1-4.1
Avg total171.1175.6165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeWLLLW29%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game77.381.473.8
Allowed / game84.987.183.0
Point differential-7.6-5.7-9.2
Avg total162.3168.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1513287%90.180.4+9.7
2 Besiktas1513287%85.878.3+7.5
3 Trabzonspor1611569%87.082.1+4.9
4 Bahcesehir Kol.1611569%81.979.4+2.5
5 Turk Telekom1510567%86.578.7+7.7
6 Esenler Erokspor1610662%83.678.1+5.5
7 Anadolu Efes169756%86.881.4+5.4
8 Galatasaray169756%86.284.4+1.9
9 Tofas158753%83.580.6+2.9
10 Merkezefendi1661038%81.486.8-5.4
11 Bursaspor1661038%81.287.1-5.9
12 Petkim Spor1551033%79.987.0-7.1
13 Mersin SK1541127%84.087.1-3.1
14 Manisa1541127%77.384.9-7.6
15 Karsiyaka1531220%79.589.3-9.9
16 Buyukcekmece1621412%80.990.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mersin SK1924191981
Manisa2523131677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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