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Fenerbahce vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 88-70
20-15 24-21 22-16 22-18
Position#4
Record21-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#10
Record16-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Monaco
05 Mar 2026
FEN88
MCO70
12 Dec 2024
FEN69
MCO99
03 May 2024
FEN62
MCO65
01 May 2024
FEN89
MCO78
15 Dec 2023
FEN86
MCO74
19 Jan 2023
FEN98
MCO94
02 Dec 2021
FEN96
MCO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
84-71
84
71
+13
79avg 81
H23/01
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 81
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
79-62
79
62
+17
80avg 81
H29/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
91-55
91
55
+36
94avg 81
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
82-78
82
78
+4
85avg 81
A03/02
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
92-90
92
90
+2
87avg 81
A05/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
74avg 81
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
89avg 81
A13/02
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 81
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
70avg 81
H25/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-18
27-12
15-21
11-12
19-18
21-19
27-21
25-8
14-17
22-14
18-23
19-16
29-10
25-14
18-15
29-14
24-27
20-15
9-22
21-23
19-22
22-23
30-22
13-20
19-13
20-24
27-20
25-19
16-23
15-20
29-21
20-20
28-16
22-22
18-18
20-20
15-19
22-17
24-22
157.9Avg total
83.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.579.2161.7+3.375%
Season at home (15)80.175.0155.1+5.180%
Season away (13)85.284.0169.2+1.269%
Last 10 (10)83.974.0157.9+9.9100%
Last 5 (5)85.080.8165.8+4.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.580.5167.1+6.085%
vs Weaker (16)86.276.6162.8+9.694%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#14
W
98-73
98
73
+25
106avg 90
A25/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 90
H30/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
113-86
113
86
+27
119avg 90
H01/02
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 90
A03/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 90
A05/02
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 90
A08/02
LNB
Baskonia
#18
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 90
H13/02
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 90
A15/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 90
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 90
H26/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
28-23
20-13
19-19
30-22
21-22
14-18
17-22
26-19
27-21
29-21
31-25
18-35
20-21
22-20
27-28
23-24
16-24
24-20
19-23
17-14
28-20
24-21
23-23
29-24
17-26
28-23
28-19
17-24
28-14
23-18
13-20
22-18
24-24
25-23
27-30
17-30
23-19
23-19
23-23
179.1Avg total
92.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.886.3177.1+4.555%
Season at home (14)96.687.4183.9+9.264%
Season away (15)85.485.3170.7+0.147%
Last 10 (10)92.187.0179.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)91.886.4178.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.095.0193.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)94.291.9186.1+2.258%
vs Weaker (16)95.281.1176.2+14.181%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
FenerbahceMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H23/01
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H29/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A03/02
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/02
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/02
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#15
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H25/02
Euroleague
76.3Avg total
40.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.881.0+3.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.135.675.6+4.557%-
Last 30 away (16)44.241.685.8+2.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.576.3+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.739.383.0+4.462%-
vs Weaker (16)41.538.279.8+3.244%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
A25/01
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Le Portel
#16
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H01/02
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A03/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A05/02
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A08/02
LNB
Baskonia
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/02
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A15/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H26/02
Euroleague
90.4Avg total
46.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.842.790.5+5.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.043.993.9+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)45.341.486.6+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)46.244.290.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.042.088.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.344.089.3+1.367%-
vs Weaker (16)48.740.989.6+7.881%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.017.0
60.7%
60.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.217.0
80.2%
78.2%17.0
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.719.8
62.5%
60.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.1
38.0%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
78.2%18.3
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWWW
Monaco
LWWWWLLWLW
#4
League position
#10
+12.1
Net rating
+6.8
96.1
Offensive rating
101.1
84.1
Defensive rating
94.3
57.4%
Effective FG%
59.9%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.9%
3-point %
38.0%
65.5%
Assist %
73.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 101.1Defence84.1 · 94.3Shooting57.4% · 59.9%3-point %35.9% · 38.0%Ball care17.8% · 14.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Monaco v Fenerbahce86-92
25/05/25Monaco v Fenerbahce70-81
20/03/25Monaco v Fenerbahce91-82
12/12/24Fenerbahce v Monaco69-99
08/05/24Monaco v Fenerbahce79-80 OT
03/05/24Fenerbahce v Monaco62-65
01/05/24Fenerbahce v Monaco89-78
26/04/24Monaco v Fenerbahce93-88
24/04/24Monaco v Fenerbahce91-95 OT
02/02/24Monaco v Fenerbahce76-69
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/26HPartizan81-78
15/02/26ATurk Telekom88-76
13/02/26APanathinaikos85-83
08/02/26HGalatasaray79-77
05/02/26AParis92-90
03/02/26ABarcelona82-78
31/01/26AKarsiyaka91-55
29/01/26HAnadolu Efes79-62
25/01/26APetkim Spor78-70
23/01/26HBaskonia84-71
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-91
17/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-95
15/02/26ANanterre81-76
13/02/26HBaskonia102-92
08/02/26AChalon/Saone92-78
05/02/26ABayern82-91
03/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas87-104
01/02/26HLe Portel113-86
30/01/26HVirtus Bologna82-84
25/01/26ASaint Quentin98-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %75%80%69%
Points / game82.580.185.2
Allowed / game79.275.084.0
Point differential+3.3+5.1+1.2
Avg total161.7155.1169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%64%47%
Points / game90.896.685.4
Allowed / game86.387.485.3
Point differential+4.5+9.2+0.1
Avg total177.1183.9170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)20% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2821775%82.579.2+3.3
2 Valencia29191066%91.085.9+5.1
3 Olympiacos28181064%90.184.3+5.9
4 Real Madrid29181162%87.482.8+4.6
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv28171161%86.583.4+3.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas29171259%89.083.6+5.4
7 Crvena zvezda29171259%87.485.5+1.9
8 Barcelona29171259%86.084.9+1.2
9 Monaco29161355%90.886.3+4.5
10 Panathinaikos29161355%85.784.3+1.4
11 Dubai29151452%88.087.6+0.4
12 Olimpia Milano29141548%85.386.3-1.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%89.691.7-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna29131645%81.484.3-2.8
15 Bayern29121741%80.584.0-3.5
16 Paris28101836%89.591.9-2.4
17 Anadolu Efes2992031%80.284.0-3.8
18 Baskonia2992031%87.092.3-5.2
19 Partizan2992031%80.087.8-7.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne2972224%78.486.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2024222288
Monaco1521161870
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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