Ferro vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 86-67

21-20 18-20 19-16 28-11

Position#3

Record2-2

FormLLWLW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game82.2

Ferro 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#9

Record1-3

FormLWLLL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game85.0

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Ferro v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#17

68-63

H20/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

84-94

-10

A22/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

75-65

+10

H04/11

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

73-62

+11

A09/11

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

92-96

-4

H15/11

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

77-100

100

-23

A18/11

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

87-97

-10

A05/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

74-65

A10/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

77-90

-13

A12/12

Liga A

Penarol

#16

82-77

H15/12

Liga A

19-21

16-16

13-13

20-13

28-19

15-22

24-33

17-20

14-9

16-18

18-14

27-24

13-16

24-11

24-22

12-13

27-29

21-18

21-28

23-21

12-26

19-26

22-23

24-25

12-26

17-17

28-26

30-28

16-17

15-13

22-18

21-17

25-27

10-20

21-17

21-26

22-24

19-9

15-22

26-22

159.8Avg total

78.9Scored

80.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	80.0	82.2	162.2	-2.2	50%
Season at home (1)	82.0	77.0	159.0	+5.0	100%
Season away (3)	79.3	84.0	163.3	-4.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	80.9	159.8	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	85.8	165.2	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.2	88.5	166.8	-10.2	0%
vs Similar (15)	81.1	79.7	160.8	+1.3	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	85.6	78.9	164.5	+6.7	73%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

73-77

-4

H08/11

Torneo Super 20

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

85-91

-6

A11/11

ACB

Barcelona

84-101

101

-17

H18/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

79-85

-6

A24/11

ACB

Argentino

#17

96-85

+11

H06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

61-92

-31

H08/12

Liga A

San Pablo Burgos

#12

80-79

H09/12

ACB

Ferro

65-74

-9

H10/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

81-91

-10

A15/12

ACB

Gimnasia

78-89

-11

A17/12

Liga A

21-20

16-13

10-24

26-20

21-23

22-25

17-18

25-25

19-26

11-25

25-21

29-29

19-19

16-25

18-20

26-21

22-22

22-30

20-11

32-22

11-21

20-24

7-22

23-25

13-16

22-15

20-23

25-25

17-16

13-15

18-22

17-21

14-19

16-27

26-29

25-16

17-20

26-21

24-27

11-21

164.6Avg total

78.2Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	75.0	85.0	160.0	-10.0	25%
Season at home (3)	74.0	83.7	157.7	-9.7	33%
Season away (1)	78.0	89.0	167.0	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	86.4	164.6	-8.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	85.0	158.0	-12.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	71.2	87.2	158.3	-16.0	17%
vs Similar (20)	76.9	77.8	154.8	-0.9	45%
vs Weaker (4)	78.8	76.5	155.2	+2.2	50%

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	24.0	41.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	23.2	45.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.3	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.5	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	18.4	32.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.5	20.5	36.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	17.8	18.4	36.1	-0.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.1	36.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	19.4	37.7	-1.1	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.1	15.7	35.8	+4.4	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.3	22.7	38.0	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	25%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

#17

35-37

-2

H20/10

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

43-41

A22/10

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

30-27

H04/11

Torneo Super 20

Gimnasia

37-27

+10

A09/11

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

48-47

H15/11

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

31-52

-21

A18/11

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

29-43

-14

A05/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

31-30

A10/12

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

35-47

-12

A12/12

Liga A

Penarol

#16

41-33

H15/12

Liga A

74.4Avg total

36.0Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	37.2	76.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	34.7	74.4	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.7	78.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.4	74.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	41.0	74.4	-7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	42.8	82.2	-3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.4	37.3	75.7	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	39.9	35.1	75.0	+4.8	73%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

37-33

H08/11

Torneo Super 20

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

43-48

-5

A11/11

ACB

Barcelona

30-51

-21

H18/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

35-44

-9

A24/11

ACB

Argentino

#17

44-52

-8

H06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

31-45

-14

H08/12

Liga A

San Pablo Burgos

#12

35-31

H09/12

ACB

Ferro

30-31

-1

H10/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

30-46

-16

A15/12

ACB

Gimnasia

43-41

A17/12

Liga A

78.0Avg total

35.8Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	39.6	75.8	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.2	39.9	76.1	-3.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.3	39.2	75.5	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	42.2	78.0	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	38.8	72.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	30.8	43.2	74.0	-12.3	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	37.5	38.2	75.8	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	0%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	23.5	46.0	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	26.2	45.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.1	19.5	39.7	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.6	23.5	46.2	-0.9	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.6	43.6	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	21.9	43.9	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.6	48.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.9	22.1	43.9	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.1	20.3	43.4	+2.8	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	22.5	46.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	43.0	85.9	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	40.5	81.9	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.4	45.5	89.9	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	42.5	85.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	44.8	90.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.8	45.8	84.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	42.0	41.6	83.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	45.7	43.8	89.5	+1.9	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	39.6	79.1	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	41.9	81.4	-2.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	36.9	76.4	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	44.2	86.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	46.2	85.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	40.3	44.0	84.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (20)	39.0	39.0	78.1	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	35.5	76.2	+5.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 77.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	20.2	50.6%	53.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.0	31.6%	32.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.0	73.0%	71.7%	13.0

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.4	53.0%	53.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	9.1	37.9%	32.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	22.5	17.3	76.9%	71.7%	17.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.3	50.9%	53.8%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.0	32.0%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.0	74.4%	71.7%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.6	21.8	52.3%	53.8%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	8.3	35.6%	32.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.3	74.6%	71.7%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
10/12/18	Estudiantes v Ferro	65-74
26/04/18	Ferro v Estudiantes	84-80
10/04/18	Estudiantes v Ferro	87-82
24/04/17	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-66
08/02/17	Ferro v Estudiantes	67-76
10/04/16	Ferro v Estudiantes	68-75
17/02/16	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-84

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/18	H	Penarol	82-77
12/12/18	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	77-90
10/12/18	A	Estudiantes	74-65
05/12/18	A	Obras Sanitarias	87-97
18/11/18	A	San Lorenzo	77-100
15/11/18	H	San Lorenzo	92-96
09/11/18	A	Gimnasia	73-62
04/11/18	H	Gimnasia	75-65
22/10/18	A	San Lorenzo	84-94
20/10/18	H	Boca Juniors	68-63

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/18	A	Gimnasia	78-89
15/12/18	A	Obradoiro CAB	81-91
10/12/18	H	Ferro	65-74
09/12/18	H	San Pablo Burgos	80-79
08/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	61-92
06/12/18	H	Argentino	96-85
24/11/18	A	Gran Canaria	79-85
18/11/18	H	Barcelona	84-101
11/11/18	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	85-91
08/11/18	H	Olimpico	73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLW	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	50%	100%	33%
Points / game	80.0	82.0	79.3
Allowed / game	82.2	77.0	84.0
Point differential	-2.2	+5.0	-4.7
Avg total	162.2	159.0	163.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLL	25%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	25%	33%	0%
Points / game	75.0	74.0	78.0
Allowed / game	85.0	83.7	89.0
Point differential	-10.0	-9.7	-11.0
Avg total	160.0	157.7	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	4	4	0	100%	90.0	72.2	+17.8
2	Instituto de Cordoba	1	1	0	100%	103.0	97.0	+6.0
3	Regatas	4	3	1	75%	88.0	76.8	+11.2
4	Quimsa	4	3	1	75%	94.8	88.2	+6.5
5	Boca Juniors	4	3	1	75%	73.0	67.2	+5.8
6	San Martin	4	3	1	75%	77.5	78.2	-0.8
7	La Union	3	2	1	67%	99.0	90.7	+8.3
8	Gimnasia	5	3	2	60%	85.2	80.8	+4.4
9	Olimpico	2	1	1	50%	77.5	71.5	+6.0
10	Comunicaciones Mercedes	4	2	2	50%	85.2	81.0	+4.2
11	Ferro	4	2	2	50%	80.0	82.2	-2.2
12	Obras Sanitarias	4	2	2	50%	81.8	85.0	-3.2
13	Hispano Americano	2	1	1	50%	69.5	73.0	-3.5
14	Weber Bahia	2	1	1	50%	72.5	81.5	-9.0
15	Libertad	5	2	3	40%	73.2	76.0	-2.8
16	Penarol	4	1	3	25%	88.2	90.0	-1.8
17	Estudiantes	4	1	3	25%	75.0	85.0	-10.0
18	Atenas	2	0	2	0%	82.0	94.0	-12.0
19	Quilmes	4	0	4	0%	80.0	93.5	-13.5
20	Argentino	4	0	4	0%	80.8	95.2	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	21	18	19	28	86
Estudiantes	20	20	16	11	67

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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